Escaping from Bad Decisions PDF Download

Author: Kazuhisa Takemura
Publisher: Academic Press
ISBN: 0128160330
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 544

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Book Description
Escaping from Bad Decisions presents a modern conceptual and mathematical framework of the decision-making process. By interpreting ordinal utility theory as normative analysis examined in view of rationality, it shows how decision-making under certainty, risk, and uncertainty can be better understood. It provides a critical examination of psychological models in multi-attribute decision-making, and evaluates the constitutive elements of "good" and "bad" decisions. Multi-attribute decision-making is analysed descriptively, based on the psychological model of decision-making and computer simulations of decision strategies. Finally, prescriptive examinations of multi-attribute decision-making are performed, supporting the argument that decision-making from a pluralistic perspective creates results that can help "escape" from bad decisions. This book will be of particular interest to graduate students and early career researchers in economics, decision-theory, behavioral economics, experimental economics, psychology, cognitive sciences, and decision neurosciences. - Provides a comprehensive background to the phenomena of bad decisions, considered in their economic, psychological and cognitive aspects - Reinterprets existing theories and phenomena and proposes a new overview of decision behaviors by integrating mathematical and psychological perspectives - Adapts model-based techniques, such as mathematical model based functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) using mathematical models of the decision process

Author: Kazuhisa Takemura
Publisher: Academic Press
ISBN: 9780128160329
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 352

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Book Description
Escaping from Bad Decisions: A Behavioral Decision-Theoretic Perspective presents a modern, conceptual and mathematical framework that explains how decision-making under certainty, risk and uncertainty can be better understood and theoretically explained. In addition, the book provides a critical examination of psychological models in multi-attribute decision-making and evaluates and defines the constitutive elements of "good decisions" and "bad decisions." By defining ordinal utility theory relating to multi-attribute decision-making, this book re-interprets the rationality of multi-attribute decision-making based on Arrow's general possibility theorem. This book will be ideal for graduate students and early career researchers in economics, decision theory and cognitive science. Provides a comprehensive background to the phenomena of bad decisions, considered in their economic, psychological and cognitive aspects Reinterprets existing theories and phenomena and proposes a new overview of decision behaviors by integrating mathematical and psychological perspectives Adapts model-based techniques, such as mathematical model based functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) using mathematical models of the decision process

Author: Kerri Maniscalco
Publisher: Little, Brown Books for Young Readers
ISBN: 0316551694
Category : Young Adult Fiction
Languages : en
Pages : 431

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Book Description
The #1 bestselling series that started with Stalking Jack the Ripper and Hunting Prince Dracula continues its streak in this third bloody installment . . . Audrey Rose and Thomas Cresswell find themselves aboard a luxurious ocean liner that becomes a floating prison of horror when passengers are murdered one by one, with nowhere to run from the killer. Embarking on a week-long voyage across the Atlantic on the opulent RMS Etruria , Audrey Rose Wadsworth and her partner-in-crime-investigation, Thomas Cresswell, are delighted to discover a traveling troupe of circus performers, fortune tellers, and a certain charismatic young escape artist entertaining the first-class passengers nightly. But privileged young women begin to go missing without explanation, and a series of brutal slayings shocks the entire ship. The strange and disturbing influence of the Moonlight Carnival pervades the decks as the murders grow more and more bizarre. It's up to Audrey Rose and Thomas to piece together the gruesome investigation before more passengers die before reaching their destination. But with clues to the next victim pointing to someone she loves, can Audrey Rose unravel the mystery before the killer's horrifying finale?

Author: Ali Almossawi
Publisher: Penguin
ISBN: 0735222231
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 162

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Book Description
A relatable, interactive, and funny exploration of algorithms, those essential building blocks of computer science—and of everyday life—from the author of the wildly popular Bad Arguments Algorithms—processes that are made up of unambiguous steps and do something useful—make up the very foundations of computer science. But they also inform our choices in approaching everyday tasks, from managing a pile of clothes fresh out of the dryer to deciding what music to listen to. With Bad Choices, Ali Almossawi presents twelve scenes from everyday life that help demonstrate and demystify the fundamental algorithms that drive computer science, bringing these seemingly elusive concepts into the understandable realms of the everyday. Readers will discover how: • Matching socks can teach you about search and hash tables • Planning trips to the store can demonstrate the value of stacks • Deciding what music to listen to shows why link analysis is all-important • Crafting a succinct Tweet draws on ideas from compression • Making your way through a grocery list helps explain priority queues and traversing graphs • And more As you better understand algorithms, you’ll also discover what makes a method faster and more efficient, helping you become a more nimble, creative problem-solver, ready to face new challenges. Bad Choices will open the world of algorithms to all readers, making this a perennial go-to for fans of quirky, accessible science books.

Author: Melissa Perri
Publisher: O'Reilly Media
ISBN: 1491973765
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 200

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Book Description
To stay competitive in today’s market, organizations need to adopt a culture of customer-centric practices that focus on outcomes rather than outputs. Companies that live and die by outputs often fall into the "build trap," cranking out features to meet their schedule rather than the customer’s needs. In this book, Melissa Perri explains how laying the foundation for great product management can help companies solve real customer problems while achieving business goals. By understanding how to communicate and collaborate within a company structure, you can create a product culture that benefits both the business and the customer. You’ll learn product management principles that can be applied to any organization, big or small. In five parts, this book explores: Why organizations ship features rather than cultivate the value those features represent How to set up a product organization that scales How product strategy connects a company’s vision and economic outcomes back to the product activities How to identify and pursue the right opportunities for producing value through an iterative product framework How to build a culture focused on successful outcomes over outputs

Author: Lisa Hayes
Publisher: Lisa Hayes
ISBN: 9781435713666
Category : Family & Relationships
Languages : en
Pages : 132

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Book Description
How to Escape from Relationship Hell is like having a candid conversation with your best friend or sister. You might laugh, you might cry, but if you can't relate, you aren't female! This hard hitting, straight shooting book is an intimate look into the lives of relationships for women. Sometimes raw, sometimes tender, sometimes humorous, this book will lead you on a journey that will get you to the other side smarter and better prepared to get happy on your own terms. This book is packed with real life advice that will set you free.

Author: Daniel Kahneman
Publisher: Farrar, Straus and Giroux
ISBN: 1429969350
Category : Psychology
Languages : en
Pages : 511

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Book Description
*Major New York Times Bestseller *More than 2.6 million copies sold *One of The New York Times Book Review's ten best books of the year *Selected by The Wall Street Journal as one of the best nonfiction books of the year *Presidential Medal of Freedom Recipient *Daniel Kahneman's work with Amos Tversky is the subject of Michael Lewis's best-selling The Undoing Project: A Friendship That Changed Our Minds In his mega bestseller, Thinking, Fast and Slow, Daniel Kahneman, world-famous psychologist and winner of the Nobel Prize in Economics, takes us on a groundbreaking tour of the mind and explains the two systems that drive the way we think. System 1 is fast, intuitive, and emotional; System 2 is slower, more deliberative, and more logical. The impact of overconfidence on corporate strategies, the difficulties of predicting what will make us happy in the future, the profound effect of cognitive biases on everything from playing the stock market to planning our next vacation—each of these can be understood only by knowing how the two systems shape our judgments and decisions. Engaging the reader in a lively conversation about how we think, Kahneman reveals where we can and cannot trust our intuitions and how we can tap into the benefits of slow thinking. He offers practical and enlightening insights into how choices are made in both our business and our personal lives—and how we can use different techniques to guard against the mental glitches that often get us into trouble. Topping bestseller lists for almost ten years, Thinking, Fast and Slow is a contemporary classic, an essential book that has changed the lives of millions of readers.

Author: Kenneth Atchity
Publisher: Simon and Schuster
ISBN: 1621535894
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 215

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Book Description
For the Type C, or creative, personalities who want their work to "fill" their deepest creative urges, this is the frontline guide to making the transition from a secure and soulless job to a life built around a creative dream. Individuals learn how to follow the mind's eye to construct a life that conforms to personal vision, steal time to make creative dreams come true, use as assets the resources around them, and turn creative goals and objectives into an effective life plan. • Introduces the catchy buzzword "Type C" Allworth Press, an imprint of Skyhorse Publishing, publishes a broad range of books on the visual and performing arts, with emphasis on the business of art. Our titles cover subjects such as graphic design, theater, branding, fine art, photography, interior design, writing, acting, film, how to start careers, business and legal forms, business practices, and more. While we don't aspire to publish a New York Times bestseller or a national bestseller, we are deeply committed to quality books that help creative professionals succeed and thrive. We often publish in areas overlooked by other publishers and welcome the author whose expertise can help our audience of readers.

Author: Stephen Weir
Publisher: Allen & Unwin
ISBN: 9781740456692
Category : History
Languages : en
Pages : 264

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Book Description
History is strewn with mistakes. Many made by well intentioned people who were bright, intelligent, capable, but just made the wrong decision.

Author: Bozena Szwed-Giacchini
Publisher: Xlibris Corporation
ISBN:
Category : Biography & Autobiography
Languages : en
Pages : 238

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Book Description
The beginning of the story takes place during the times of the Polish People's Republic in the early seventies. The heroine, after her parent’s divorce, lives in solitude then gets to know a local gangster, whom she marries. She’s going through hell with him. She is beaten, battered, and threatened by him. A daughter is born to them. Heroine decides to escape the nightmare that she’s living in, but shortly the gangster finds her. Upon another beating, where he has a broken jaw and teeth, she makes another attempt to escape. There is no other way but to leave the country, where the gangster’s power does not reach. This time takes place during strict “communism” and the implementation of such a plan border near to a miracle. It was impossible to have her husband sign a consent form for their daughter to leave. But in some remarkable way she manages to complete all the formalities for the trip which leads her to a refugee camp in Italy. She spends a year there and then emigrates to Canada. She meets a millionaire whom she dumps for a young and poor man whom she falls in love with. She begins to successfully build a real estate business but after few months, it is ruined by her husband. After losing all their property, they decide to move the whole family to South Korea. In Seoul, the heroine's husband gets a job as an English teacher at a local university. The heroine quickly establishes relations with various embassies, and she opens her own company. She has great business and financial successes. With all her successes in the field of business, she fails in her private life. Her husband cheats on her notoriously, while being jealous of his wife's successes. Travels between Poland and Korea unable to decide whether to leave Asia or not. After another betrayal of her husband who is putting her to jail for trespassing of their own house, and a painful divorce, she decides to return to Poland.