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Author: Publisher: ISBN: 9780753020494 Category : Keynesian economics Languages : en Pages :
Book Description
I introduce unemployment into the New Keynesian model by assuming search and matching frictions in the labor market, and analyze the implications for optimal monetary policy. In this framework, firms can adjust both their number of workers and hours per worker. Social efficiency requires eliminating inflation, closing the output gap (equivalently, setting hours at their efficient level), as well as preventing deviations of employment from its efficient path. I show that, provided the economy's steady state is efficient, if wages follow the Nash bargaining rule the central bank can achieve the efficient allocation. If wages are rigid, then the central bank faces a trade-off among its stabilization objectives. Following e.g. a negative productivity shock, the central bank must temporarily concede an increase in inflation, a drop in the output gap and a fall in employment below its efficient path.
Author: Publisher: ISBN: 9780753020494 Category : Keynesian economics Languages : en Pages :
Book Description
I introduce unemployment into the New Keynesian model by assuming search and matching frictions in the labor market, and analyze the implications for optimal monetary policy. In this framework, firms can adjust both their number of workers and hours per worker. Social efficiency requires eliminating inflation, closing the output gap (equivalently, setting hours at their efficient level), as well as preventing deviations of employment from its efficient path. I show that, provided the economy's steady state is efficient, if wages follow the Nash bargaining rule the central bank can achieve the efficient allocation. If wages are rigid, then the central bank faces a trade-off among its stabilization objectives. Following e.g. a negative productivity shock, the central bank must temporarily concede an increase in inflation, a drop in the output gap and a fall in employment below its efficient path.
Author: Edmund S. Phelps Publisher: London : Macmillan ISBN: Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 360
Book Description
Monograph on economic theory and economic policies relevant to unemployment and inflation, proposing a cost benefit analysis approach to optimal monetary policy for the USA - includes economic models. References and statistical tables.
Author: Demosthenes N. Tambakis Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 1451921713 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 29
Book Description
Recent theoretical and empirical work has cast doubt on the hypotheses of a linear Phillips curve and a symmetric quadratic loss function underlying traditional thinking on monetary policy. This paper analyzes the Barro-Gordon optimal monetary policy problem under alternative loss functions—including an asymmetric loss function corresponding to the “opportunistic approach” to disinflation—when the Phillips curve is convex. Numerical simulations are used to compare the implications of the alternative loss functions for equilibrium levels of inflation and unemployment. For parameter estimates relevant to the United States, the symmetric loss function dominates the asymmetric alternative.
Author: Willi Semmler Publisher: Routledge ISBN: 1135993807 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 237
Book Description
This book pulls together papers presented at a conference in honour of the 1981 Nobel Prize Winner for Economic Science, the late James Tobin. Among the contributors are Olivier Blanchard, Edmund Phelps, Charles Goodhart and Marco Buti. One of the main aims of the conference was to discuss what potential role monetary policy has on economic activity and unemployment reduction in three key currency zones - the United States, European Union and Japan.
Author: Edmund S. Phelps Publisher: Harvard University Press ISBN: 9780674843738 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 444
Book Description
Dissatisfied with the explanations of the business cycle provided by the Keynesian, monetarist, New Keynesian, and real business cycle schools, Edmund Phelps has developed from various existing strands-some modern and some classical--a radically different theory to account for the long periods of unemployment that have dogged the economies of the United States and Western Europe since the early 1970s. Phelps sees secular shifts and long swings of the unemployment rate as structural in nature. That is, they are typically the result of movements in the natural rate of unemployment (to which the equilibrium path is always tending) rather than of long-persisting deviations around a natural rate itself impervious to changing structure. What has been lacking is a "structuralist" theory of how the natural rate is disturbed by real demand and supply shocks, foreign and domestic, and the adjustments they set in motion. To study the determination of the natural rate path, Phelps constructs three stylized general equilibrium models, each one built around a distinct kind of asset in which firms invest and which is important for the hiring decision. An element of these models is the modern economics of the labor market whereby firms, in seeking to dampen their employees' propensities to quit and shirk, drive wages above market-clearing levels-the phenomenon of the "incentive wage"--and so generate involuntary unemployment in labor-market equilibrium. Another element is the capital market, where interest rates are disturbed by demand and supply shocks such as shifts in profitability, thrift, productivity, and the rate of technical progress and population increase. A general-equilibrium analysis shows how various real shocks, operating through interest rates upon the demand for employees and through the propensity to quit and shirk upon the incentive wage, act upon the natural rate (and thus equilibrium path). In an econometric and historical section, the new theory of economic activity is submitted to certain empirical tests against global postwar data. In the final section the author draws from the theory some suggestions for government policy measures that would best serve to combat structural slumps.
Author: Francesco Furlanetto Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 1498331157 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 44
Book Description
The recent global financial crisis illustrates that financial frictions are a significant source of volatility in the economy. This paper investigates monetary policy stabilization in an environment where financial frictions are a relevant source of macroeconomic fluctuation. We derive a measure of output gap that accounts for frictions in financial market. Furthermore we illustrate that, in the presence of financial frictions, a benevolent central bank faces a substantial trade-off between nominal and real stabilization; optimal monetary policy significantly reduces fluctuations in price and wage inflations but fails to alleviate the output gap volatility. This suggests a role for macroprudential policies.
Author: Andreas Pollak Publisher: Mohr Siebeck ISBN: 9783161493041 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 204
Book Description
Designing a good unemployment insurance scheme is a delicate matter. In a system with no or little insurance, households may be subject to a high income risk, whereas excessively generous unemployment insurance systems are known to lead to high unemployment rates and are costly both from a fiscal perspective and for society as a whole. Andreas Pollak investigates what an optimal unemployment insurance system would look like, i.e. a system that constitutes the best possible compromise between income security and incentives to work. Using theoretical economic models and complex numerical simulations, he studies the effects of benefit levels and payment durations on unemployment and welfare. As the models allow for considerable heterogeneity of households, including a history-dependent labor productivity, it is possible to analyze how certain policies affect individuals in a specific age, wealth or skill group. The most important aspect of an unemployment insurance system turns out to be the benefits paid to the long-term unemployed. If this parameter is chosen too high, a large number of households may get caught in a long spell of unemployment with little chance of finding work again. Based on the predictions in these models, the so-called "Hartz IV" labor market reform recently adopted in Germany should have highly favorable effects on the unemployment rates and welfare in the long run.
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Author: Edmund S. Phelps
Author: Demosthenes N. Tambakis
Author: Willi Semmler
Author: Edmund S. Phelps
Author: Francesco Furlanetto
Author: Andrew P. Blake
Author: George S. Alogoskoufis
Author: Andreas Pollak
Author: Yoshio Suzuki