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Author: Zhifu Zhu Publisher: ISBN: Category : Reliability (Engineering) Languages : en Pages : 158
Book Description
"Engineering systems are usually subjected to time-variant loads and operate under time-dependent uncertainty; system performances are therefore time-dependent. Accurate and efficient estimate of system reliability is crucial for decision makings on system design, lifetime cost estimate, maintenance strategy, etc. Although significant progresses have been made in time-independent reliability analysis for components and systems, time-dependent system reliability methodologies are still limited. This dissertation is motivated by the need of accurate and effective reliability prediction for engineering systems under time-dependent uncertainty. Based on the classic First and Second Order Reliability Method (FORM and SORM), a system reliability method is developed for multidisciplinary systems involving stationary stochastic processes. A dependent Kriging method is also developed for general components. This method accounts for dependent responses from surrogate models and is therefore more accurate than existing Kriging Monte Carlo simulation methods that neglect the dependence between responses. The extension of the dependent Kriging method to systems is also a contribution of this dissertation. To overcome the difficulty of obtaining extreme value distributions and get rid of global optimization with a double-loop procedure, a Kriging surrogate modeling method is also proposed. This method provides a new perspective of surrogate modeling for time-dependent systems and is applicable to general systems having random variables, time, and stochastic processes. The proposed methods are evaluated through a wide range of engineering systems, including a compound cylinders system, a liquid hydrogen fuel tank, function generator mechanisms, slider-crank mechanisms, and a Daniels system"--Abstract, page iv.
Author: Zhifu Zhu Publisher: ISBN: Category : Reliability (Engineering) Languages : en Pages : 158
Book Description
"Engineering systems are usually subjected to time-variant loads and operate under time-dependent uncertainty; system performances are therefore time-dependent. Accurate and efficient estimate of system reliability is crucial for decision makings on system design, lifetime cost estimate, maintenance strategy, etc. Although significant progresses have been made in time-independent reliability analysis for components and systems, time-dependent system reliability methodologies are still limited. This dissertation is motivated by the need of accurate and effective reliability prediction for engineering systems under time-dependent uncertainty. Based on the classic First and Second Order Reliability Method (FORM and SORM), a system reliability method is developed for multidisciplinary systems involving stationary stochastic processes. A dependent Kriging method is also developed for general components. This method accounts for dependent responses from surrogate models and is therefore more accurate than existing Kriging Monte Carlo simulation methods that neglect the dependence between responses. The extension of the dependent Kriging method to systems is also a contribution of this dissertation. To overcome the difficulty of obtaining extreme value distributions and get rid of global optimization with a double-loop procedure, a Kriging surrogate modeling method is also proposed. This method provides a new perspective of surrogate modeling for time-dependent systems and is applicable to general systems having random variables, time, and stochastic processes. The proposed methods are evaluated through a wide range of engineering systems, including a compound cylinders system, a liquid hydrogen fuel tank, function generator mechanisms, slider-crank mechanisms, and a Daniels system"--Abstract, page iv.
Author: Erik Vanmarcke Publisher: World Scientific ISBN: 9812563539 Category : Mathematics Languages : en Pages : 363
Book Description
Random variation is a fact of life that provides substance to a wide range of problems in the sciences, engineering, and economics. There is a growing need in diverse disciplines to model complex patterns of variation and interdependence using random fields, as both deterministic treatment and conventional statistics are often insufficient. An ideal random field model will capture key features of complex random phenomena in terms of a minimum number of physically meaningful and experimentally accessible parameters. This volume, a revised and expanded edition of an acclaimed book first published by the M I T Press, offers a synthesis of methods to describe and analyze and, where appropriate, predict and control random fields. There is much new material, covering both theory and applications, notably on a class of probability distributions derived from quantum mechanics, relevant to stochastic modeling in fields such as cosmology, biology and system reliability, and on discrete-unit or agent-based random processes.Random Fields is self-contained and unified in presentation. The first edition was found, in a review in EOS (American Geophysical Union) to be ?both technically interesting and a pleasure to read ? the presentation is clear and the book should be useful to almost anyone who uses random processes to solve problems in engineering or science ? and (there is) continued emphasis on describing the mathematics in physical terms.?
Author: Zhangli Hu Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 152
Book Description
"Engineers always encounter time-dependent uncertainties that ubiquitously exist, such as the random deterioration of material properties and time-variant loads. Therefore the reliability of engineering systems becomes time-dependent. It is crucial to predict the time-dependent reliability in the design stage, given possible catastrophic consequences of a failure. Although extensive research has been conducted on reliability analysis, estimating the reliability accurately and efficiently is still challenging. The objective of this work is to develop accurate and efficient reliability methodologies for engineering design. The basic idea is the integration of traditional reliability methods with saddlepoint approximation (SPA), which can accurately approximate the tail distribution of a random variable. Four methods are proposed in this work. The first three methods deal with time-independent reliability while the last one estimates the time-dependent reliability. The first method combines SPA with first-order approximation and achieves higher accuracy over the traditional first-order reliability method when bimodal distributions are involved. The second method further improves the accuracy of reliability estimation by integrating SPA with the second-order approximation. The third method extends the second method into the reliability-based design for higher accuracy, and the high efficiency is maintained by an efficient algorithm for searching for an equivalent reliability index. The fourth method uses sequential efficient global optimization to convert a time-dependent problem into a time-independent counterpart. Then the second method is utilized to estimate the time-independent reliability after the conversion. The accuracy and effectiveness of the above methods are demonstrated by both numerical examples and engineering applications"--Abstract, page iv.
Author: Mangey Ram Publisher: Academic Press ISBN: 0128162724 Category : Technology & Engineering Languages : en Pages : 318
Book Description
Recent Advances in System Reliability Engineering describes and evaluates the latest tools, techniques, strategies, and methods in this topic for a variety of applications. Special emphasis is put on simulation and modelling technology which is growing in influence in industry, and presents challenges as well as opportunities to reliability and systems engineers. Several manufacturing engineering applications are addressed, making this a particularly valuable reference for readers in that sector. Contains comprehensive discussions on state-of-the-art tools, techniques, and strategies from industry Connects the latest academic research to applications in industry including system reliability, safety assessment, and preventive maintenance Gives an in-depth analysis of the benefits and applications of modelling and simulation to reliability
Author: Yan-Gang Zhao Publisher: John Wiley & Sons ISBN: 1119620813 Category : Technology & Engineering Languages : en Pages : 660
Book Description
STRUCTURAL RELIABILITY Discover a new and innovative approach to structural reliability from two authoritative and accomplished authors The subject of structural reliability, which deals with the problems of evaluating the safety and risk posed by a wide variety of structures, has grown rapidly over the last four decades. And while the First-Order Reliability Method is principally used by most textbooks on this subject, other approaches have identified some of the limitations of that method. In Structural Reliability: Approaches from Perspectives of Statistical Moments, accomplished engineers and authors Yan-Gang Zhao and Dr. Zhao-Hui Lu, deliver a concise and insightful exploration of an alternative and innovative approach to structural reliability. Called the Methods of Moment, the authors’ approach is based on the information of statistical moments of basic random variables and the performance function. The Methods of Moment approach facilitates structural reliability analysis and reliability-based design and can be extended to other engineering disciplines, yielding further insights into challenging problems involving randomness. Readers will also benefit from the inclusion of: A thorough introduction to the measures of structural safety, including uncertainties in structural design, deterministic measures of safety, and probabilistic measures of safety An exploration of the fundamentals of structural reliability theory, including the performance function and failure probability A practical discussion of moment evaluation for performance functions, including moment computation for both explicit and implicit performance functions A concise treatment of direct methods of moment, including the third- and fourth-moment reliability methods Perfect for professors, researchers, and graduate students in civil engineering, Structural Reliability: Approaches from Perspectives of Statistical Moments will also earn a place in the libraries of professionals and students working or studying in mechanical engineering, aerospace and aeronautics engineering, marine and offshore engineering, ship engineering, and applied mechanics.
Author: Efstratios Nikolaidis Publisher: CRC Press ISBN: 0203483936 Category : Mathematics Languages : en Pages : 1216
Book Description
Researchers in the engineering industry and academia are making important advances on reliability-based design and modeling of uncertainty when data is limited. Non deterministic approaches have enabled industries to save billions by reducing design and warranty costs and by improving quality. Considering the lack of comprehensive and defini
Author: Michael T. Todinov Publisher: Elsevier ISBN: 0080467555 Category : Technology & Engineering Languages : en Pages : 396
Book Description
This book has been written with the intention to fill two big gaps in the reliability and risk literature: the risk-based reliability analysis as a powerful alternative to the traditional reliability analysis and the generic principles for reducing technical risk. An important theme in the book is the generic principles and techniques for reducing technical risk. These have been classified into three major categories: preventive (reducing the likelihood of failure), protective (reducing the consequences from failure) and dual (reducing both, the likelihood and the consequences from failure). Many of these principles (for example: avoiding clustering of events, deliberately introducing weak links, reducing sensitivity, introducing changes with opposite sign, etc.) are discussed in the reliability literature for the first time. Significant space has been allocated to component reliability. In the last chapter of the book, several applications are discussed of a powerful equation which constitutes the core of a new theory of locally initiated component failure by flaws whose number is a random variable. Offers a shift in the existing paradigm for conducting reliability analyses Covers risk-based reliability analysis and generic principles for reducing risk Provides a new measure of risk based on the distribution of the potential losses from failure as well as the basic principles for risk-based design Incorporates fast algorithms for system reliability analysis and discrete-event simulators Includes the probability of failure of a structure with complex shape expressed with a simple equation
Author: Zequn Wang Publisher: ISBN: Category : Electronic dissertations Languages : en Pages : 132
Book Description
Ensuring a high level of system reliability throughout a product life-cycle is one of paramount tasks for engineering design, which requires new reliability analysis and design techniques to effectively address the challenges of system design under time-variant probabilistic constraints, such as those induced by time-dependent loading condition and system component deterioration. Extensive reviews on existing literature on reliability analysis and reliability based design optimization for complex engineered systems have identified important challenge problems to be addressed in this research, which have been organized into three research thrusts as follows: -Reliability Analysis using Surrogate Models: In this research thrust, the objective is to develop a robust approach to approximate static reliability efficiently and accurately based on surrogate models. Two challenge problems will be addressed: (1) How to evaluate fidelity of surrogate models and accuracy of reliability approximation based on those models, and (2) How to efficiently update a surrogate model if it does not meet the accuracy requirement. -Reliability Analysis with Time-variant Probabilistic Constraints. In this research thrust, the objective is to develop an efficient approach for dynamic reliability analysis considering time-variant probabilistic constraints. There are two challenges to be addressed: (1) How to handle the time-dependency of system failure events in dynamic reliability analysis, and (2) How to improve the efficiency of dynamic reliability analysis. -Reliability Analysis with Multiple System Failure Modes. The objective of this thrust is to develop a novel system reliability analysis framework to address a grand challenge in design that multiple system failure modes must be addressed concurrently to ensure a high level of system reliability.
Author: Chun-Qing Li Publisher: Elsevier ISBN: 0323858821 Category : Technology & Engineering Languages : en Pages : 624
Book Description
Time-Dependent Reliability Theory and Its Applications introduces the theory of time-dependent reliability and presents methods to determine the reliability of structures over the lifespan of their services. The book contains state-of-the-art solutions to first passage probability derived from the theory of stochastic processes with different types of probability distribution functions, including Gaussian and non-Gaussian distributions and stationary and non-stationary processes. In addition, it provides various methods to determine the probability of failure over time, considering different failure modes and a methodology to predict the service life of structures. Sections also cover the applications of time-dependent reliability to prediction of service life and development of risk cost-optimized maintenance strategy for existing structures. This new book is for those who wants to know how to predict the service life of a structure (buildings, bridges, aircraft structures, etc.) and how to develop a risk-cost, optimized maintenance strategy for these structures. Presents the basic knowledge required to predict service life and develop a maintenance strategy for infrastructure Explains how to predict the remaining safe life of the infrastructure during its lifespan of operation Describes how to carry out maintenance for an infrastructure to ensure its safe and serviceable operation during the designed service life
Author: Zhifu Zhu
Author: Zhifu Zhu
Author: Erik Vanmarcke
Author: Zhangli Hu
Author: Mangey Ram
Author: Yan-Gang Zhao
Author: Efstratios Nikolaidis
Author: Hon Ying Chan
Author: Michael T. Todinov
Author: Zequn Wang
Author: Chun-Qing Li