Effects of Analysts' Ratings on Insurer Stock Returns PDF Download

Author: Martin Halek
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 42

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Book Description
We examine the effects of rating changes on stock prices of publicly traded insurance companies. Using a contemporary event study, we test whether marginal changes in ratings provide new information used in the valuation of insurance companies by capital markets. We document an asymmetric reaction of stock prices to rating changes: rating downgrades cut share prices by approximately 4.22% but upgrades have no statistically significant effect. We observe a similar asymmetric reaction to rating changes subject to a common rating benchmark; however downgrades that result in ratings below the benchmark cause a reduction in share price of about twice the amount as in marginal downgrades. Slightly positive returns are observed in response to ratings threshold upgrades. Finally, insurers who had been under review by A.M. Best, the magnitude of the downgrade, and the level of institutional ownership of property-casualty insurers tend to significantly impact negative cumulative abnormal average returns.

Author: Stefano Bonini
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 50

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Book Description
Stock returns forecasting is one of the major objectives of financial analysts. Equity Analysts' forecasts, on the other side, are one of the major sources of information used by less informed investors in their asset allocation decisions. Therefore, analysing which major drivers affect time series of stock returns could allow to shed light over the price revelation process in capital markets. In this paper we propose a model aimed at predicting stock market by combining both macroeconomic and microeconomic factors. We first develop a standard APT approach with multiple macroeconomic factors as regressors. We then integrate the model by explicitly including a metric for intrinsic equity value, basing upon a proxy derived by the weighted average of Stock Market Consensus Forecasts by equity analysts. Third, we complete the model by imposing an ARMA specification for the error term, which allows identifying stock returns' stationarity moving over time. The resulting model shows both a strong fitting capability when tested in the in-sample period and a good predictive capability when applied to an out-of-sample period of monthly Italian stock market returns. In particular, we employed specific estimation procedures based upon recently developed statistics aimed at testing for both factors' equal predicting power and forecast encompassing. As a major empirical finding, our model suggests that the information conveyed by analysts' forecasts is indeed a factor in determining future stock prices, even if there is the possibility that the information transferred could be biased.

Author: GOEL, SANDEEP
Publisher: PHI Learning Pvt. Ltd.
ISBN: 9387472701
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 565

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Book Description
During the last few years, India, with its strong financial system, has emerged as one of the fastest growing economies in the world. In view of the inevitable importance of financial system globally and in India, the present book is an attempt to provide an up-to-date overview of the Indian financial system and an elaborative discussion on its three wings: financial markets, institutions and services. KEY FEATURES  Supported case studies and projects.  Emerging issues like barter exchange, governance rating, and more.  Current concepts, corporate practices, recent trends, and current data on the subject.  Illustrations, tables, figures for a vivid visual impact and related concepts to real-life situations.  Graded pedagogy—MCQs, True/ false, Fill in the blanks, Short answer questions, Critical thinking questions and discussion problems at the end of each chapter.  Solutions to all MCQs in the respective chapters.  Instructor’s manual and Learning Material for students are available at www.phindia.com/Books/ LearningCentre TARGET AUDIENCE • MBA • BBA • B.Com / M.Com • B.A. / M.A. Economics

Author: O. Ricci
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 113737604X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 254

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Book Description
Corporate scandals at the beginning of the 2000s and the recent global financial crisis have renewed the attention of academics, regulators and practitioners to agency problems and possible solutions in the financial sector. Since that time, much thought has been given to new regulations and international corporate governance standards, in an attempt to guarantee prudent and sound financial management. While much of this thought has been focussed on the banking sector, Corporate Governance in the European Insurance Industry provides a unique perspective on the subject, focusing on the insurance industry and asking some important theoretical and practical questions. Are insurance companies systemically relevant, and does the existing regulation provide adequate protection for customers and guarantee financial stability? Is regulatory intervention consistent with economic and financial theories? And crucially, is this intervention consistent with empirical evidence of the behaviour and performance of insurance companies? The first part of this book provides the reader with a comprehensive review of current academic studies on the topic; the second part moves on to examine the regulation of corporate governance and its recent evolution after the global financial crisis. Within a context of vivid debate in the financial services industry, the issues explored in this book will be of value to anyone with an interest in insurance corporate governance and regulation. It is also a key source of research for academics in insurance and finance, as well as PhD students and post-graduate students in relevant subjects.

Author: Institute of Medicine
Publisher: National Academies Press
ISBN: 0309083435
Category : Medical
Languages : en
Pages : 213

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Book Description
Many Americans believe that people who lack health insurance somehow get the care they really need. Care Without Coverage examines the real consequences for adults who lack health insurance. The study presents findings in the areas of prevention and screening, cancer, chronic illness, hospital-based care, and general health status. The committee looked at the consequences of being uninsured for people suffering from cancer, diabetes, HIV infection and AIDS, heart and kidney disease, mental illness, traumatic injuries, and heart attacks. It focused on the roughly 30 million-one in seven-working-age Americans without health insurance. This group does not include the population over 65 that is covered by Medicare or the nearly 10 million children who are uninsured in this country. The main findings of the report are that working-age Americans without health insurance are more likely to receive too little medical care and receive it too late; be sicker and die sooner; and receive poorer care when they are in the hospital, even for acute situations like a motor vehicle crash.

Author: International Accounting Standards Board
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781904230496
Category : Business insurance
Languages : en
Pages : 46

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Book Description

Author: International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1498363288
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 135

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Book Description
The current Global Financial Stability Report (April 2016) finds that global financial stability risks have risen since the last report in October 2015. The new report finds that the outlook has deteriorated in advanced economies because of heightened uncertainty and setbacks to growth and confidence, while declines in oil and commodity prices and slower growth have kept risks elevated in emerging markets. These developments have tightened financial conditions, reduced risk appetite, raised credit risks, and stymied balance sheet repair. A broad-based policy response is needed to secure financial stability. Advanced economies must deal with crisis legacy issues, emerging markets need to bolster their resilience to global headwinds, and the resilience of market liquidity should be enhanced. The report also examines financial spillovers from emerging market economies and finds that they have risen substantially. This implies that when assessing macro-financial conditions, policymakers may need to increasingly take into account economic developments in emerging market economies. Finally, the report assesses changes in the systemic importance of insurers, finding that across advanced economies the contribution of life insurers to systemic risk has increased in recent years. The results suggest that supervisors and regulators should take a more macroprudential approach to the sector.

Author: Mr.Andreas A. Jobst
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 149832455X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 84

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Book Description
Over the last decade, stress testing has become a central aspect of the Fund’s bilateral and multilateral surveillance work. Recently, more emphasis has also been placed on the role of insurance for financial stability analysis. This paper reviews the current state of system-wide solvency stress tests for insurance based on a comparative review of national practices and the experiences from Fund’s FSAP program with the aim of providing practical guidelines for the coherent and consistent implementation of such exercises. The paper also offers recommendations on improving the current insurance stress testing approaches and presentation of results.

Author: Melumad Nahum
Publisher: Now Publishers Inc
ISBN: 1601982127
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 159

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Book Description
Line-Item Analysis of Earnings Quality provides a comprehensive summary and analysis of the specific earnings quality issues pertaining to key line item components of the financial statements. After providing an overview of earnings quality and earnings management, Line-Item Analysis of Earnings Quality analyzes key line items from the financial statements. For each key line item, the authors: review accounting principles; discuss implications for earnings quality; evaluate the susceptibility of the item to manipulation; describe analyses and red flags which may inform on the item's quality. Line-Item Analysis of Earnings Quality will prove useful in conducting fundamental and contextual analyses through its analysis and evaluations.

Author: Alberto Alesina
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 9780521436205
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 302

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Book Description
This book develops an integrated approach to understanding the American economy and national elections. Economic policy is generally seen as the result of a compromise between the President and Congress. Because Democrats and Republicans usually maintain polarized preferences on policy, middle-of-the-road voters seek to balance the President by reinforcing in Congress the party not holding the White House. This balancing leads, always, to relatively moderate policies and, frequently, to divided government. The authors first outline the rational partisan business cycle, where Republican administrations begin with recession, and Democratic administrations with expansions, and next the midterm cycle, where the President's party loses votes in the mid-term congressional election. The book argues that both cycles are the result of uncertainty about the outcome of presidential elections. Other topics covered include retrospective voting on the economy, coat-tails, and incumbency advantage. A final chapter shows how the analysis sheds light on the economies and political processes of other industrial democracies.