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The Effects of Weather Shocks on Economic Activity: What are the Channels of Impact?

The Effects of Weather Shocks on Economic Activity: What are the Channels of Impact? PDF Author: Mr.Sebastian Acevedo Mejia
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1484363027
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 40

Book Description
Global temperatures have increased at an unprecedented pace in the past 40 years. This paper finds that increases in temperature have uneven macroeconomic effects, with adverse consequences concentrated in countries with hot climates, such as most low-income countries. In these countries, a rise in temperature lowers per capita output, in both the short and medium term, through a wide array of channels: reduced agricultural output, suppressed productivity of workers exposed to heat, slower investment, and poorer health. In an unmitigated climate change scenario, and under very conservative assumptions, model simulations suggest the projected rise in temperature would imply a loss of around 9 percent of output for a representative low-income country by 2100.

The Effects of Weather Shocks on Economic Activity: What are the Channels of Impact?

The Effects of Weather Shocks on Economic Activity: What are the Channels of Impact? PDF Author: Mr.Sebastian Acevedo Mejia
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1484363027
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 40

Book Description
Global temperatures have increased at an unprecedented pace in the past 40 years. This paper finds that increases in temperature have uneven macroeconomic effects, with adverse consequences concentrated in countries with hot climates, such as most low-income countries. In these countries, a rise in temperature lowers per capita output, in both the short and medium term, through a wide array of channels: reduced agricultural output, suppressed productivity of workers exposed to heat, slower investment, and poorer health. In an unmitigated climate change scenario, and under very conservative assumptions, model simulations suggest the projected rise in temperature would imply a loss of around 9 percent of output for a representative low-income country by 2100.

ECONOMIC CONSEQUENCES OF IMPROVED TEMPERATURE FORECASTS: AN EXPERIMENT WITH THE FLORIDA CITRUS GROWERS AN UPDATE OF CONTROL GROUP RESULTS.

ECONOMIC CONSEQUENCES OF IMPROVED TEMPERATURE FORECASTS: AN EXPERIMENT WITH THE FLORIDA CITRUS GROWERS AN UPDATE OF CONTROL GROUP RESULTS. PDF Author: Chris Braen
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 265

Book Description


Economic Consequences of Improved Temperature Forecasts

Economic Consequences of Improved Temperature Forecasts PDF Author: ECON, Incorporated (Alexandria, Va.)
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Citrus fruit industry
Languages : en
Pages : 530

Book Description


Agricultural Productivity and Producer Behavior

Agricultural Productivity and Producer Behavior PDF Author: Wolfram Schlenker
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
ISBN: 022661980X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 316

Book Description
Agricultural yields have increased steadily in the last half century, particularly since the Green Revolution. At the same time, inflation-adjusted agricultural commodity prices have been trending downward as increases in supply outpace the growth of demand. Recent severe weather events, biofuel mandates, and a switch toward a more meat-heavy diet in emerging economies have nevertheless boosted commodity prices. Whether this is a temporary jump or the beginning of a longer-term trend is an open question. Agricultural Productivity and Producer Behavior examines the factors contributing to the remarkably steady increase in global yields and assesses whether yield growth can continue. This research also considers whether agricultural productivity growth has been, and will be, associated with significant environmental externalities. Among the topics studied are genetically modified crops; changing climatic factors; farm production responses to government regulations including crop insurance, transport subsidies, and electricity subsidies for groundwater extraction; and the role of specific farm practices such as crop diversification, disease management, and water-saving methods. This research provides new evidence that technological as well as policy choices influence agricultural productivity.

Making Climate Forecasts Matter

Making Climate Forecasts Matter PDF Author: National Research Council
Publisher: National Academies Press
ISBN: 030917340X
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 189

Book Description
El Nino has been with us for centuries, but now we can forcast it, and thus can prepare far in advance for the extreme climatic events it brings. The emerging ability to forecast climate may be of tremendous value to humanity if we learn how to use the information well. How does society cope with seasonal-to-interannual climatic variations? How have climate forecasts been usedâ€"and how useful have they been? What kinds of forecast information are needed? Who is likely to benefit from forecasting skill? What are the benefits of better forecasting? This book reviews what we know about these and other questions and identifies research directions toward more useful seasonal-to-interannual climate forecasts. In approaching their recommendations, the panel explores: Vulnerability of human activities to climate. State of the science of climate forecasting. How societies coevolved with their climates and cope with variations in climate. How climate information should be disseminated to achieve the best response. How we can use forecasting to better manage the human consequences of climate change.

The Effects of Weather Shocks on Economic Activity: What are the Channels of Impact?

The Effects of Weather Shocks on Economic Activity: What are the Channels of Impact? PDF Author: Mr.Sebastian Acevedo Mejia
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1484364236
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 40

Book Description
Global temperatures have increased at an unprecedented pace in the past 40 years. This paper finds that increases in temperature have uneven macroeconomic effects, with adverse consequences concentrated in countries with hot climates, such as most low-income countries. In these countries, a rise in temperature lowers per capita output, in both the short and medium term, through a wide array of channels: reduced agricultural output, suppressed productivity of workers exposed to heat, slower investment, and poorer health. In an unmitigated climate change scenario, and under very conservative assumptions, model simulations suggest the projected rise in temperature would imply a loss of around 9 percent of output for a representative low-income country by 2100.

Economic Value of Weather and Climate Forecasts

Economic Value of Weather and Climate Forecasts PDF Author: Richard W. Katz
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 9780521435710
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 244

Book Description
Weather and climate extremes can significantly impact the economics of a region. This book examines how weather and climate forecasts can be used to mitigate the impact of the weather on the economy. Interdisciplinary in scope, it explores the meteorological, economic, psychological, and statistical aspects to weather prediction. The contributors encompass forecasts over a wide range of temporal scales, from weather over the next few hours to the climate months or seasons ahead, and address the impact of these forecasts on human behaviour. Economic Value of Weather and Climate Forecasts seeks to determine the economic benefits of existing weather forecasting systems and the incremental benefits of improving these systems, and will be an interesting and essential reference for economists, statisticians, and meteorologists.

The Economic Impacts of Natural Disasters

The Economic Impacts of Natural Disasters PDF Author: Debarati Guha-Sapir
Publisher: Oxford University Press
ISBN: 0199841934
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 341

Book Description
This work combines research and empirical evidence on the economic costs of disasters with theoretical approaches. It provides new insights on how to assess and manage the costs and impacts of disaster prevention, mitigation, recovery and adaption, and much more.

Long-Term Macroeconomic Effects of Climate Change: A Cross-Country Analysis

Long-Term Macroeconomic Effects of Climate Change: A Cross-Country Analysis PDF Author: Matthew E. Kahn
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1513514598
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 59

Book Description
We study the long-term impact of climate change on economic activity across countries, using a stochastic growth model where labor productivity is affected by country-specific climate variables—defined as deviations of temperature and precipitation from their historical norms. Using a panel data set of 174 countries over the years 1960 to 2014, we find that per-capita real output growth is adversely affected by persistent changes in the temperature above or below its historical norm, but we do not obtain any statistically significant effects for changes in precipitation. Our counterfactual analysis suggests that a persistent increase in average global temperature by 0.04°C per year, in the absence of mitigation policies, reduces world real GDP per capita by more than 7 percent by 2100. On the other hand, abiding by the Paris Agreement, thereby limiting the temperature increase to 0.01°C per annum, reduces the loss substantially to about 1 percent. These effects vary significantly across countries depending on the pace of temperature increases and variability of climate conditions. We also provide supplementary evidence using data on a sample of 48 U.S. states between 1963 and 2016, and show that climate change has a long-lasting adverse impact on real output in various states and economic sectors, and on labor productivity and employment.

Satellite Observations of the Earth's Environment

Satellite Observations of the Earth's Environment PDF Author: National Research Council
Publisher: National Academies Press
ISBN: 030908749X
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 182

Book Description
This report addresses the transition of research satellites, instruments, and calculations into operational service for accurately observing and predicting the Earth's environment. These transitions, which take place in large part between NASA and NOAA, are important for maintaining the health, safety, and prosperity of the nation, and for achieving the vision of an Earth Information System in which quantitative information about the complete Earth system is readily available to myriad users. Many transitions have been ad hoc, sometimes taking several years or even decades to occur, and others have encountered roadblocksâ€"lack of long-range planning, resources, institutional or cultural differences, for instanceâ€"and never reached fruition. Satellite Observations of Earth's Environment recommends new structures and methods that will allow seamless transitions from research to practice.