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Dynamic Probabilistic Systems, Volume I

Dynamic Probabilistic Systems, Volume I PDF Author: Ronald A. Howard
Publisher: Courier Corporation
ISBN: 0486140679
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 610

Book Description
This book is an integrated work published in two volumes. The first volume treats the basic Markov process and its variants; the second, semi-Markov and decision processes. Its intent is to equip readers to formulate, analyze, and evaluate simple and advanced Markov models of systems, ranging from genetics and space engineering to marketing. More than a collection of techniques, it constitutes a guide to the consistent application of the fundamental principles of probability and linear system theory. Author Ronald A. Howard, Professor of Management Science and Engineering at Stanford University, begins with the basic Markov model, proceeding to systems analyses of linear processes and Markov processes, transient Markov processes and Markov process statistics, and statistics and inference. Subsequent chapters explore recurrent events and random walks, Markovian population models, and time-varying Markov processes. Volume I concludes with a pair of helpful indexes.

Dynamic Probabilistic Systems, Volume I

Dynamic Probabilistic Systems, Volume I PDF Author: Ronald A. Howard
Publisher: Courier Corporation
ISBN: 0486140679
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 610

Book Description
This book is an integrated work published in two volumes. The first volume treats the basic Markov process and its variants; the second, semi-Markov and decision processes. Its intent is to equip readers to formulate, analyze, and evaluate simple and advanced Markov models of systems, ranging from genetics and space engineering to marketing. More than a collection of techniques, it constitutes a guide to the consistent application of the fundamental principles of probability and linear system theory. Author Ronald A. Howard, Professor of Management Science and Engineering at Stanford University, begins with the basic Markov model, proceeding to systems analyses of linear processes and Markov processes, transient Markov processes and Markov process statistics, and statistics and inference. Subsequent chapters explore recurrent events and random walks, Markovian population models, and time-varying Markov processes. Volume I concludes with a pair of helpful indexes.

Dynamic Probabilistic Systems, Volume II

Dynamic Probabilistic Systems, Volume II PDF Author: Ronald A. Howard
Publisher: Courier Corporation
ISBN: 0486152006
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 857

Book Description
This book is an integrated work published in two volumes. The first volume treats the basic Markov process and its variants; the second, semi-Markov and decision processes. Its intent is to equip readers to formulate, analyze, and evaluate simple and advanced Markov models of systems, ranging from genetics and space engineering to marketing. More than a collection of techniques, it constitutes a guide to the consistent application of the fundamental principles of probability and linear system theory. Author Ronald A. Howard, Professor of Management Science and Engineering at Stanford University, continues his treatment from Volume I with surveys of the discrete- and continuous-time semi-Markov processes, continuous-time Markov processes, and the optimization procedure of dynamic programming. The final chapter reviews the preceding material, focusing on the decision processes with discussions of decision structure, value and policy iteration, and examples of infinite duration and transient processes. Volume II concludes with an appendix listing the properties of congruent matrix multiplication.

Dynamic Probabilistic Systems: Markov models

Dynamic Probabilistic Systems: Markov models PDF Author: Ronald A. Howard
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 616

Book Description


Decision Processes in Dynamic Probabilistic Systems

Decision Processes in Dynamic Probabilistic Systems PDF Author: A.V. Gheorghe
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 9400904932
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 370

Book Description
'Et moi - ... - si j'avait su comment en revenir. One service mathematics has rendered the je n'y serais point aile: human race. It has put common sense back where it belongs. on the topmost shelf next Jules Verne (0 the dusty canister labelled 'discarded non sense'. The series is divergent; therefore we may be able to do something with it. Eric T. Bell O. Heaviside Mathematics is a tool for thought. A highly necessary tool in a world where both feedback and non linearities abound. Similarly, all kinds of parts of mathematics serve as tools for other parts and for other sciences. Applying a simple rewriting rule to the quote on the right above one finds such statements as: 'One service topology has rendered mathematical physics .. .'; 'One service logic has rendered com puter science .. .'; 'One service category theory has rendered mathematics .. .'. All arguably true. And all statements obtainable this way form part of the raison d'etre of this series.

Hidden Markov Models and Dynamical Systems

Hidden Markov Models and Dynamical Systems PDF Author: Andrew M. Fraser
Publisher: SIAM
ISBN: 0898716659
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 141

Book Description
Presents algorithms for using HMMs and explains the derivation of those algorithms for the dynamical systems community.

Practical Probabilistic Programming

Practical Probabilistic Programming PDF Author: Avi Pfeffer
Publisher: Simon and Schuster
ISBN: 1638352372
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 650

Book Description
Summary Practical Probabilistic Programming introduces the working programmer to probabilistic programming. In it, you'll learn how to use the PP paradigm to model application domains and then express those probabilistic models in code. Although PP can seem abstract, in this book you'll immediately work on practical examples, like using the Figaro language to build a spam filter and applying Bayesian and Markov networks, to diagnose computer system data problems and recover digital images. Purchase of the print book includes a free eBook in PDF, Kindle, and ePub formats from Manning Publications. About the Technology The data you accumulate about your customers, products, and website users can help you not only to interpret your past, it can also help you predict your future! Probabilistic programming uses code to draw probabilistic inferences from data. By applying specialized algorithms, your programs assign degrees of probability to conclusions. This means you can forecast future events like sales trends, computer system failures, experimental outcomes, and many other critical concerns. About the Book Practical Probabilistic Programming introduces the working programmer to probabilistic programming. In this book, you’ll immediately work on practical examples like building a spam filter, diagnosing computer system data problems, and recovering digital images. You’ll discover probabilistic inference, where algorithms help make extended predictions about issues like social media usage. Along the way, you’ll learn to use functional-style programming for text analysis, object-oriented models to predict social phenomena like the spread of tweets, and open universe models to gauge real-life social media usage. The book also has chapters on how probabilistic models can help in decision making and modeling of dynamic systems. What's Inside Introduction to probabilistic modeling Writing probabilistic programs in Figaro Building Bayesian networks Predicting product lifecycles Decision-making algorithms About the Reader This book assumes no prior exposure to probabilistic programming. Knowledge of Scala is helpful. About the Author Avi Pfeffer is the principal developer of the Figaro language for probabilistic programming. Table of Contents PART 1 INTRODUCING PROBABILISTIC PROGRAMMING AND FIGARO Probabilistic programming in a nutshell A quick Figaro tutorial Creating a probabilistic programming application PART 2 WRITING PROBABILISTIC PROGRAMS Probabilistic models and probabilistic programs Modeling dependencies with Bayesian and Markov networks Using Scala and Figaro collections to build up models Object-oriented probabilistic modeling Modeling dynamic systems PART 3 INFERENCE The three rules of probabilistic inference Factored inference algorithms Sampling algorithms Solving other inference tasks Dynamic reasoning and parameter learning

Handbook of Probabilistic Models

Handbook of Probabilistic Models PDF Author: Pijush Samui
Publisher: Butterworth-Heinemann
ISBN: 0128165464
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 592

Book Description
Handbook of Probabilistic Models carefully examines the application of advanced probabilistic models in conventional engineering fields. In this comprehensive handbook, practitioners, researchers and scientists will find detailed explanations of technical concepts, applications of the proposed methods, and the respective scientific approaches needed to solve the problem. This book provides an interdisciplinary approach that creates advanced probabilistic models for engineering fields, ranging from conventional fields of mechanical engineering and civil engineering, to electronics, electrical, earth sciences, climate, agriculture, water resource, mathematical sciences and computer sciences. Specific topics covered include minimax probability machine regression, stochastic finite element method, relevance vector machine, logistic regression, Monte Carlo simulations, random matrix, Gaussian process regression, Kalman filter, stochastic optimization, maximum likelihood, Bayesian inference, Bayesian update, kriging, copula-statistical models, and more. - Explains the application of advanced probabilistic models encompassing multidisciplinary research - Applies probabilistic modeling to emerging areas in engineering - Provides an interdisciplinary approach to probabilistic models and their applications, thus solving a wide range of practical problems

Markov Chains and Stochastic Stability

Markov Chains and Stochastic Stability PDF Author: Sean Meyn
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 0521731828
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 623

Book Description
New up-to-date edition of this influential classic on Markov chains in general state spaces. Proofs are rigorous and concise, the range of applications is broad and knowledgeable, and key ideas are accessible to practitioners with limited mathematical background. New commentary by Sean Meyn, including updated references, reflects developments since 1996.

Markov Models & Optimization

Markov Models & Optimization PDF Author: M.H.A. Davis
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 9780412314100
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 316

Book Description
This book presents a radically new approach to problems of evaluating and optimizing the performance of continuous-time stochastic systems. This approach is based on the use of a family of Markov processes called Piecewise-Deterministic Processes (PDPs) as a general class of stochastic system models. A PDP is a Markov process that follows deterministic trajectories between random jumps, the latter occurring either spontaneously, in a Poisson-like fashion, or when the process hits the boundary of its state space. This formulation includes an enormous variety of applied problems in engineering, operations research, management science and economics as special cases; examples include queueing systems, stochastic scheduling, inventory control, resource allocation problems, optimal planning of production or exploitation of renewable or non-renewable resources, insurance analysis, fault detection in process systems, and tracking of maneuvering targets, among many others. The first part of the book shows how these applications lead to the PDP as a system model, and the main properties of PDPs are derived. There is particular emphasis on the so-called extended generator of the process, which gives a general method for calculating expectations and distributions of system performance functions. The second half of the book is devoted to control theory for PDPs, with a view to controlling PDP models for optimal performance: characterizations are obtained of optimal strategies both for continuously-acting controllers and for control by intervention (impulse control). Throughout the book, modern methods of stochastic analysis are used, but all the necessary theory is developed from scratch and presented in a self-contained way. The book will be useful to engineers and scientists in the application areas as well as to mathematicians interested in applications of stochastic analysis.

Dynamic Programming and Markov Processes

Dynamic Programming and Markov Processes PDF Author: Ronald A. Howard
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Markov processes
Languages : en
Pages : 136

Book Description