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Dynamic Term Structure Modeling

Dynamic Term Structure Modeling PDF Author: Sanjay K. Nawalkha
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 0470140062
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 722

Book Description
Praise for Dynamic Term Structure Modeling "This book offers the most comprehensive coverage of term-structure models I have seen so far, encompassing equilibrium and no-arbitrage models in a new framework, along with the major solution techniques using trees, PDE methods, Fourier methods, and approximations. It is an essential reference for academics and practitioners alike." --Sanjiv Ranjan Das Professor of Finance, Santa Clara University, California, coeditor, Journal of Derivatives "Bravo! This is an exhaustive analysis of the yield curve dynamics. It is clear, pedagogically impressive, well presented, and to the point." --Nassim Nicholas Taleb author, Dynamic Hedging and The Black Swan "Nawalkha, Beliaeva, and Soto have put together a comprehensive, up-to-date textbook on modern dynamic term structure modeling. It is both accessible and rigorous and should be of tremendous interest to anyone who wants to learn about state-of-the-art fixed income modeling. It provides many numerical examples that will be valuable to readers interested in the practical implementations of these models." --Pierre Collin-Dufresne Associate Professor of Finance, UC Berkeley "The book provides a comprehensive description of the continuous time interest rate models. It serves an important part of the trilogy, useful for financial engineers to grasp the theoretical underpinnings and the practical implementation." --Thomas S. Y. Ho, PHD President, Thomas Ho Company, Ltd, coauthor, The Oxford Guide to Financial Modeling

Dynamic Term Structure Modeling

Dynamic Term Structure Modeling PDF Author: Sanjay K. Nawalkha
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 0470140062
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 722

Book Description
Praise for Dynamic Term Structure Modeling "This book offers the most comprehensive coverage of term-structure models I have seen so far, encompassing equilibrium and no-arbitrage models in a new framework, along with the major solution techniques using trees, PDE methods, Fourier methods, and approximations. It is an essential reference for academics and practitioners alike." --Sanjiv Ranjan Das Professor of Finance, Santa Clara University, California, coeditor, Journal of Derivatives "Bravo! This is an exhaustive analysis of the yield curve dynamics. It is clear, pedagogically impressive, well presented, and to the point." --Nassim Nicholas Taleb author, Dynamic Hedging and The Black Swan "Nawalkha, Beliaeva, and Soto have put together a comprehensive, up-to-date textbook on modern dynamic term structure modeling. It is both accessible and rigorous and should be of tremendous interest to anyone who wants to learn about state-of-the-art fixed income modeling. It provides many numerical examples that will be valuable to readers interested in the practical implementations of these models." --Pierre Collin-Dufresne Associate Professor of Finance, UC Berkeley "The book provides a comprehensive description of the continuous time interest rate models. It serves an important part of the trilogy, useful for financial engineers to grasp the theoretical underpinnings and the practical implementation." --Thomas S. Y. Ho, PHD President, Thomas Ho Company, Ltd, coauthor, The Oxford Guide to Financial Modeling

Dynamic Models of the Term Structure

Dynamic Models of the Term Structure PDF Author: Hong Yan
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

Book Description
In the past 25 years, tremendous progress has been made in modeling the dynamics of the term structure of interest rates, which play an instrumental role in determining prices and hedging portfolios of fixed-income derivative securities. This article reviews the theoretical development of the dynamic models of the default-free term structure and their applications in pricing interest rate options. Classic models, sometimes termed equilibrium models, and their multifactor extensions are outlined. These models provide clear economic intuitions connecting the term structure with economic fundamentals. They also lay a foundation for the framework of the arbitrage models that price interest rate derivatives on the basis of the market prices of bonds. This framework has been expanded and enriched by recent advances in directly modeling observable market rates through the market models and in incorporating an internally consistent correlation structure through the quot;infinite-dimensionalquot; models.

Dynamic Models of the Term Structure of Interest Rates

Dynamic Models of the Term Structure of Interest Rates PDF Author: Jesper Lund
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 164

Book Description


A Review of the Dynamic Default-Free Term Structure Models

A Review of the Dynamic Default-Free Term Structure Models PDF Author: Ako Doffou
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 27

Book Description
Enormous progress has been made by academics and finance practitioners alike in modeling the dynamics of the term structure of interest rates in the past 35 years. This paper extends Yan (2001). The dynamics of the term structure of interest rates are critical in assessing prices and hedging portfolios of fixed-income derivative instruments. This paper reviews the theoretical development of the dynamic models of the default-free term structure and their applications in pricing interest rate options. Equilibrium models and their multifactor extensions are examined. These models offer the economic intuition linking the term structure to economic fundamentals. These models also constitute a framework of the arbitrage models which price interest rate derivatives using the market prices of bonds. Recent studies expand this framework, directly model observable market rates, incorporate an internally consistent correlation structure, use pricing factors as observable portfolios of zero-coupon yields acting as state variables, offer a discrete time setting with recursive closed form solutions for zero coupon bonds, have unconstrained state dependence of the market prices of risk, build in smoothness restrictions on the factor loadings, and are driven by state vectors with unspanned macro risks.

Building and Using Dynamic Interest Rate Models

Building and Using Dynamic Interest Rate Models PDF Author: Ken O. Kortanek
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 248

Book Description
This book offers a new approach to interest rate and modeling term structure by using models based on optimization of dynamical systems, rather than the traditional stochastic differential equation models. The authors use dynamic models to estimate the term structure of interest rates and show the reader how to build their own numerical simulations. It includes software that will enable readers to simulate the various models covered in the book.

Expectation Puzzles, Time-varying Risk Premia, and Dynamic Models of the Term Structure

Expectation Puzzles, Time-varying Risk Premia, and Dynamic Models of the Term Structure PDF Author: Qiang Dai
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Bond yields - Forecasting
Languages : en
Pages : 32

Book Description
Though linear projections of returns on the slope of the yield curve have contradicted the implications of the traditional expectations theory, ' we show that these findings are not puzzling relative to a large class of richer dynamic term structure models. Specifically, we are able to match all of the key empirical findings reported by Fama and Bliss and Campbell and Shiller, among others, within large subclasses of affine and quadratic-Gaussian term structure models. Additionally, we show that certain risk-premium adjusted' projections of changes in yields on the slope of the yield curve recover the coefficients of unity predicted by the models. Key to this matching are parameterizations of the market prices of risk that let the risk factors affect the market prices of risk directly, and not only through the factor volatilities. The risk premiums have a simple form consistent with Fama's findings on the predictability of forward rates, and are shown to also be consistent with interest rate, feedback rules used by a monetary authority in setting monetary policy

Term-Structure Models

Term-Structure Models PDF Author: Damir Filipovic
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3540680152
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 259

Book Description
Changing interest rates constitute one of the major risk sources for banks, insurance companies, and other financial institutions. Modeling the term-structure movements of interest rates is a challenging task. This volume gives an introduction to the mathematics of term-structure models in continuous time. It includes practical aspects for fixed-income markets such as day-count conventions, duration of coupon-paying bonds and yield curve construction; arbitrage theory; short-rate models; the Heath-Jarrow-Morton methodology; consistent term-structure parametrizations; affine diffusion processes and option pricing with Fourier transform; LIBOR market models; and credit risk. The focus is on a mathematically straightforward but rigorous development of the theory. Students, researchers and practitioners will find this volume very useful. Each chapter ends with a set of exercises, that provides source for homework and exam questions. Readers are expected to be familiar with elementary Itô calculus, basic probability theory, and real and complex analysis.

Yield Curve Modeling and Forecasting

Yield Curve Modeling and Forecasting PDF Author: Francis X. Diebold
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 0691146802
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 223

Book Description
Understanding the dynamic evolution of the yield curve is critical to many financial tasks, including pricing financial assets and their derivatives, managing financial risk, allocating portfolios, structuring fiscal debt, conducting monetary policy, and valuing capital goods. Unfortunately, most yield curve models tend to be theoretically rigorous but empirically disappointing, or empirically successful but theoretically lacking. In this book, Francis Diebold and Glenn Rudebusch propose two extensions of the classic yield curve model of Nelson and Siegel that are both theoretically rigorous and empirically successful. The first extension is the dynamic Nelson-Siegel model (DNS), while the second takes this dynamic version and makes it arbitrage-free (AFNS). Diebold and Rudebusch show how these two models are just slightly different implementations of a single unified approach to dynamic yield curve modeling and forecasting. They emphasize both descriptive and efficient-markets aspects, they pay special attention to the links between the yield curve and macroeconomic fundamentals, and they show why DNS and AFNS are likely to remain of lasting appeal even as alternative arbitrage-free models are developed. Based on the Econometric and Tinbergen Institutes Lectures, Yield Curve Modeling and Forecasting contains essential tools with enhanced utility for academics, central banks, governments, and industry.

Dynamic Modeling Approach to Forecast the Term Structure of Government Bond Yields

Dynamic Modeling Approach to Forecast the Term Structure of Government Bond Yields PDF Author: Min Fu
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 58

Book Description
Since arbitrage-free is a desirable theoretical feature in a healthy financial market, many efforts have been made to construct arbitrage-free models for yield curves. However, little attention is paid to review if such restriction will improve yield forecast. We evaluate the importance of arbitrage-free restriction on dynamic Nelson-Siegel term structure when forecasting yield curves. We find that it doesn't help. We also compare these two Nelson-Siegel dynamic models with a benchmark dynamic model and show that Nelson-Siegel structure improve forecasts for long-maturity yields.

Expectations Puzzle, Time-Varying Risk Premia, and Dynamic Models of the Term Structure

Expectations Puzzle, Time-Varying Risk Premia, and Dynamic Models of the Term Structure PDF Author: Qiang Dai
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 32

Book Description
Though linear projections of returns on the slope of the yield curve have contradicted the implications of the traditional quot;expectations theory,quot; we show that these findings are not puzzling relative to a large class of richer dynamic term structure models. Specifically, we are able to match all of the key empirical findings reported by Fama and Bliss and Campbell and Shiller, among others, within large subclasses of affine and quadratic-Gaussian term structure models. Key to this matching are parameterizations of the market prices of risk that let us separately quot;controlquot; the shape of the mean yield curve and the correlation structure of excess returns with the slope of the yield curve. The risk premiums have a simple form consistent with Fama's findings on the predictability of forward rates, and are shown to also be consistent with interest rate, feedback rules used by a monetary authority in setting monetary policy.