Author: Ramona Dumitriu Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 27
Book Description
The persistence in time of the calendar anomalies is one of the most disputed subjects from the financial literature. Quite often, the passing from quiet to turbulent periods of time provokes radical changes in the investors' behaviors which affect the stock markets seasonality. In this paper we investigate the presence of the day of the week effects in returns and volatility for 32 indexes from advanced and emerging markets. We analyze this seasonality for two periods of time: a relative quiet period, from January 2000 to December 2006, and a more turbulent period, from January 2007 to September 2012. A GJR-GARCH model allows us to identify, for the two periods, various forms of day of the week effects in returns and volatility. However, only for few indexes we find the stability in time of the daily seasonality. For many of the advanced markets indexes, the day of the week effects in returns identified for the quiet period disappeared during the turbulent period. A less radical decline occurred for the day of the week effects in volatility. In the case of indexes from the emerging markets, the persistence in time of the daily seasonality in returns was more consistent in comparison with advanced markets indexes. Regarding the volatility of emerging markets, we find that during the turbulent period many day of the week effects in volatility disappeared, while new others appeared.
Author: Don Cassidy Publisher: McGraw-Hill Companies ISBN: 9780071347686 Category : Investments Languages : en Pages : 0
Book Description
Investors love a bull market -- but they often leave themselves unprepared for its inevitable down cycles. When the Dow Breaks explains how Wall Streets professionals guard against risk in turbulent markets. Its tips and techniques will help investors anticipate a downturn and know exactly what to do during that time to safeguard their investments. How can investors anticipate a crash or correction? Just as important, how will professionals react? With strategies from moderate to aggressive, Cassidy gives common - sense tips, techniques, and secrets to help the reader: -- Identify specific stocks that will survive and flourish in a down market -- Identify when markets and individual stocks are near their tops -- Recognize and heed only fundamentals and hard data ... instead of rumors
Author: Robert A. Haugen Publisher: Pearson ISBN: Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 170
Book Description
It is now abundantly clear that stock volatility is a contagious disease that spreads virulently from market to market around the world. Price changes in one market drive subsequent price changes in that market as well as in others. In Beast, Haugen makes a compelling case for the fact that even under normal conditions, fully 80 percent of stock volatility is price driven. Moreover, this volatility is far from benign. It acts to reduce the level of investment spending and constitutes a significant and permanent drag on economic growth. Price-driven volatility is unstable. Dramatic and unpredictable explosions in price-driven volatility can send stock markets in a downward spiral and cause significant disruptions in economic activity. Haugen argues that this indeed happened in 1929 and 1930. If volatility in Asian markets persists, it can easily become the source of the problem rather than merely a symptom.
Author: Ed Easterling Publisher: ISBN: Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 302
Book Description
Before you read any how-to investment books or seek financial advice, read Unexpected Returns, the essential resource for investors and investment professionals who want to understand how and why the financial markets are not the same now as they were in the 1980s and 1990s. In addition to explaining the fundamentals, this book takes you on a graphic journey through the seasons of the market, tying together economics and finance to explain the stock market's cycles. Using comprehensive full-color charts and graphs, it offers an in-depth exploration of what has changed over the past five years - and what you can do about it to avoid disappointment with your investments. This unique combination of investment science and investment art will enable you to differentiate between irrational hope and a rational view of the current financial markets. Based on years of meticulous research, it provides the sensible conclusions that will drive your future investment choices and give you the confidence to rely on your investment outlook, whatever your financial strategy. Book jacket.
Author: Kristina Simeunovic Publisher: ISBN: Category : Stocks Languages : en Pages : 224
Book Description
While different scholars agree that war has a significant impact on the volatility in the United States stock market, they come to contradictory findings on the direction of this impact. The goal of this thesis is to analyze the effects that war has on the returns in U.S. financial markets. The empirical study employs quarterly prices of the Dow Jones Industrial Average index from October 1960 to September 2015 and applies a time series model in order to determine the effects on stock prices during U.S. war involvements overseas. Results show that even though the entry of United States into war has a positive effect on the quarterly returns from the Dow Jones Industrial Average index, different types of war can have an increasing or decreasing impact on DJIA real returns. This has important implications for investors today and in the future.
Author: Greg N. Gregoriou Publisher: CRC Press ISBN: 1420099558 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 654
Book Description
Up-to-Date Research Sheds New Light on This Area Taking into account the ongoing worldwide financial crisis, Stock Market Volatility provides insight to better understand volatility in various stock markets. This timely volume is one of the first to draw on a range of international authorities who offer their expertise on market volatility in devel
Author: Franco Bruni Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media ISBN: 146131271X Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 374
Book Description
intense competition on banks and other financial institutions, as a period of oligopoly ends: more rather than less innovation is needed to help share undi versifiable risks, with more attention to correlations between different risks. Charles Goodhart of the London School of Economics (LSE), while ques tioning the idea that volatility has increased, concludes that structural changes have made regulation more problematic and calls for improved information availability on derivatives transactions. In a thirteen country case study of the bond market turbulence of 1994, Bo rio and McCauley of the BIS pin the primary causes of the market decline on the market's own dynamics rather than on variations in market participants' apprehensions about economic fundamentals. Colm Kearney of the Univer sity of Western Sydney, after a six country study of volatility in economic and financial variables, concludes that more international collaboration in man aging financial volatility (other than in foreign exchange markets) is needed in Europe. Finally, Stokman and Vlaar of the Dutch central bank investigate the empirical evidence for the interaction between volatility and international transactions in real and financial assets for the Netherlands, concluding that such influence depends on the chosen volatility measure. The authors sug gest that there are no strong arguments for international restrictions to reduce volatility. INSTITUTIONAL ISSUES AND PRACTICES The six papers in Part C focus on what market participants are doing to manage risk.
Author: Stephany Griffith-Jones Publisher: University of Michigan Press ISBN: 0472024825 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 373
Book Description
International Capital Flows in Calm and Turbulent Times analyzes the financial crises of the late 1990s and draws attention to the type of lenders and investors that triggered and deepened the crises. It concentrates on institutional investors and banks and provides detailed analysis of the countries most affected by the 1997-98 Asian financial crisis as well as the Czech Republic and Brazil. It also suggests necessary international financial reforms to make crises less likely. The book is unique in its scrutiny of the type of lenders and investors that triggered and deepened the crises, focusing particularly on institutional investors and banks; allocation of their assets; the criteria used in this process; and the impact of the nature of the investor on the volatility of different types of capital flow. It addresses such questions as: What determines or triggers massive changes in perceptions and sentiment by different investors and leaders? To what extent does contagion spread not just among countries but between actors? What are the policy implications of this analysis? The book concludes by examining the asymmetries in the financial architecture discussions and implementation and by offering policy proposals.
Author: Christian Gourieroux Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media ISBN: 1461218608 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 234
Book Description
The classical ARMA models have limitations when applied to the field of financial and monetary economics. Financial time series present nonlinear dynamic characteristics and the ARCH models offer a more adaptive framework for this type of problem. This book surveys the recent work in this area from the perspective of statistical theory, financial models, and applications and will be of interest to theorists and practitioners. From the view point of statistical theory, ARCH models may be considered as specific nonlinear time series models which allow for an exhaustive study of the underlying dynamics. It is possible to reexamine a number of classical questions such as the random walk hypothesis, prediction interval building, presence of latent variables etc., and to test the validity of the previously studied results. There are two main categories of potential applications. One is testing several economic or financial theories concerning the stocks, bonds, and currencies markets, or studying the links between the short and long run. The second is related to the interventions of the banks on the markets, such as choice of optimal portfolios, hedging portfolios, values at risk, and the size and times of block trading.
Author: Ramona Dumitriu
Author: Don Cassidy
Author: Robert A. Haugen
Author: Ed Easterling
Author: Kristina Simeunovic
Author: Greg N. Gregoriou
Author: Franco Bruni
Author: Stephany Griffith-Jones
Author: Christian Gourieroux
Author: