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Discrepancies Between Quarterly GDP Estimates

Discrepancies Between Quarterly GDP Estimates PDF Author: Mr.Adriaan M. Bloem
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451854579
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 40

Book Description
Countries compiling quarterly estimates for gross domestic product (GDP) often use alternative approaches simultaneously. This may result in the publication of different measures of quarterly GDP and discrepancies between these measures. Such discrepancies are unavoidable, unless reconciliation takes place or the measures are mutually interdependent. This paper examines international practices in this respect, focusing on OECD member countries that publish quarterly GDP data. Of these, five publish GDP data with discrepancies—the United States, the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, and New Zealand—and the paper examines causes and the development of these discrepancies.

Discrepancies Between Quarterly GDP Estimates

Discrepancies Between Quarterly GDP Estimates PDF Author: Mr.Adriaan M. Bloem
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451854579
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 40

Book Description
Countries compiling quarterly estimates for gross domestic product (GDP) often use alternative approaches simultaneously. This may result in the publication of different measures of quarterly GDP and discrepancies between these measures. Such discrepancies are unavoidable, unless reconciliation takes place or the measures are mutually interdependent. This paper examines international practices in this respect, focusing on OECD member countries that publish quarterly GDP data. Of these, five publish GDP data with discrepancies—the United States, the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, and New Zealand—and the paper examines causes and the development of these discrepancies.

Discrepancies between Quarterly GDP Estimates

Discrepancies between Quarterly GDP Estimates PDF Author: Adriaan Bloem
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 39

Book Description
Countries compiling quarterly estimates for gross domestic product (GDP) often use alternative approaches simultaneously. This may result in the publication of different measures of quarterly GDP and discrepancies between these measures. Such discrepancies are unavoidable, unless reconciliation takes place or the measures are mutually interdependent. This paper examines international practices in this respect, focusing on OECD member countries that publish quarterly GDP data. Of these, five publish GDP data with discrepancies the United States, the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, and New Zealand and the paper examines causes and the development of these discrepancies.

Provisional Quarterly GDP Estimates

Provisional Quarterly GDP Estimates PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Gross domestic product
Languages : en
Pages : 20

Book Description


The Nature of the Official Monthly Estimates of U.S. GDP Quarterly Growth Rates

The Nature of the Official Monthly Estimates of U.S. GDP Quarterly Growth Rates PDF Author: G. Geoffrey Booth
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

Book Description
The accuracy of the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) monthly estimates of the nation's quarterly nominal and real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rates are examined using a novel analytical framework based on the flexible two-piece generalized distribution. An analysis of the estimation errors reveals that both GDP estimates are not strictly rational. Instead, the evidence suggests that human cognitive biases may impact, directly or indirectly, the specific protocols used, the direction, and the accuracy of the estimates. These impacts are often different during a recession than during normal periods, as defined by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER).

Quarterly National Accounts Manual

Quarterly National Accounts Manual PDF Author: Mr.Adriaan M. Bloem
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 9781589060319
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 230

Book Description
This Manual provides guidance to compilers of national accounts on the concepts, data sources, and compilation methods required for development of a system of quarterly national accounts. More and more countries are recognizing that quarterly national accounts are an essential tool for management and analysis of their economy. The Manual is intended particularly for compilers who already have a knowledge of annual national accounting concepts and methods, and provides techniques for the development of a consistent time series of annual and quarterly accounts. It serves as acomplement to the System of National Accounts 1993, which has only a limited discussion of quarterly accounts, and will also prove useful as a tool for sophisticated users of quarterly national accounts.

The American Business Cycle

The American Business Cycle PDF Author: Robert J. Gordon
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
ISBN: 0226304590
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 882

Book Description
In recent decades the American economy has experienced the worst peace-time inflation in its history and the highest unemployment rate since the Great Depression. These circumstances have prompted renewed interest in the concept of business cycles, which Joseph Schumpeter suggested are "like the beat of the heart, of the essence of the organism that displays them." In The American Business Cycle, some of the most prominent macroeconomics in the United States focuses on the questions, To what extent are business cycles propelled by external shocks? How have post-1946 cycles differed from earlier cycles? And, what are the major factors that contribute to business cycles? They extend their investigation in some areas as far back as 1875 to afford a deeper understanding of both economic history and the most recent economic fluctuations. Seven papers address specific aspects of economic activity: consumption, investment, inventory change, fiscal policy, monetary behavior, open economy, and the labor market. Five papers focus on aggregate economic activity. In a number of cases, the papers present findings that challenge widely accepted models and assumptions. In addition to its substantive findings, The American Business Cycle includes an appendix containing both the first published history of the NBER business-cycle dating chronology and many previously unpublished historical data series.

Macroeconomic Fluctuations and Policies

Macroeconomic Fluctuations and Policies PDF Author: Edouard Challe
Publisher: MIT Press
ISBN: 0262549298
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 361

Book Description
The basic tools for analyzing macroeconomic fluctuations and policies, applied to concrete issues and presented within an integrated New Keynesian framework. This textbook presents the basic tools for analyzing macroeconomic fluctuations and policies and applies them to contemporary issues. It employs a unified New Keynesian framework for understanding business cycles, major crises, and macroeconomic policies, introducing students to the approach most often used in academic macroeconomic analysis and by central banks and international institutions. The book addresses such topics as how recessions and crises spread; what instruments central banks and governments have to stimulate activity when private demand is weak; and what “unconventional” macroeconomic policies might work when conventional monetary policy loses its effectiveness (as has happened in many countries in the aftermath of the Great Recession.). The text introduces the foundations of modern business cycle theory through the notions of aggregate demand and aggregate supply, and then applies the theory to the study of regular business-cycle fluctuations in output, inflation, and employment. It considers conventional monetary and fiscal policies aimed at stabilizing the business cycle, and examines unconventional macroeconomic policies, including forward guidance and quantitative easing, in situations of “liquidity trap”—deep crises in which conventional policies are either ineffective or have very different effects than in normal time. This book is the first to use the New Keynesian framework at the advanced undergraduate level, connecting undergraduate learning not only with the more advanced tools taught at the graduate level but also with the large body of policy-oriented research in academic journals. End-of-chapter problems help students master the materials presented.

Understanding National Accounts Second Edition

Understanding National Accounts Second Edition PDF Author: Lequiller François
Publisher: OECD Publishing
ISBN: 9264214631
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 520

Book Description
This is an update of OECD 2006 "Understanding National Accounts". It contains new data, new chapters and is adapted to the new systems of national accounts, SNA 2008 and ESA 2010.

European System of Accounts

European System of Accounts PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN: 9789282779545
Category : National income
Languages : en
Pages : 652

Book Description


The Macroeconomic Effects of Public Investment

The Macroeconomic Effects of Public Investment PDF Author: Mr.Abdul Abiad
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1484361555
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 26

Book Description
This paper provides new evidence of the macroeconomic effects of public investment in advanced economies. Using public investment forecast errors to identify the causal effect of government investment in a sample of 17 OECD economies since 1985 and model simulations, the paper finds that increased public investment raises output, both in the short term and in the long term, crowds in private investment, and reduces unemployment. Several factors shape the macroeconomic effects of public investment. When there is economic slack and monetary accommodation, demand effects are stronger, and the public-debt-to-GDP ratio may actually decline. Public investment is also more effective in boosting output in countries with higher public investment efficiency and when it is financed by issuing debt.