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Differences of Opinion and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns

Differences of Opinion and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns PDF Author: Karl Diether
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

Book Description
We provide evidence that stocks with higher dispersion in analysts' earnings forecasts earn lower future returns than otherwise similar stocks. This effect is most pronounced in small stocks, and stocks that have performed poorly over the past year. Interpreting dispersion in analysts' forecasts as a proxy for differences in opinion about a stock, we show that this evidence is consistent with the hypothesis that prices will reflect the optimistic view whenever investors with the lowest valuations do not trade. By contrast, our evidence is inconsistent with a view that dispersion in analysts' forecasts proxies for risk.

Differences of Opinion and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns

Differences of Opinion and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns PDF Author: Karl Diether
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

Book Description
We provide evidence that stocks with higher dispersion in analysts' earnings forecasts earn lower future returns than otherwise similar stocks. This effect is most pronounced in small stocks, and stocks that have performed poorly over the past year. Interpreting dispersion in analysts' forecasts as a proxy for differences in opinion about a stock, we show that this evidence is consistent with the hypothesis that prices will reflect the optimistic view whenever investors with the lowest valuations do not trade. By contrast, our evidence is inconsistent with a view that dispersion in analysts' forecasts proxies for risk.

Skewness and Dispersion of Opinion and the Cross Section of Stock Returns

Skewness and Dispersion of Opinion and the Cross Section of Stock Returns PDF Author: Jinghan Meng
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 50

Book Description
We show that the degree of dispersion and asymmetry of analysts' earnings forecasts is related to future stock returns. When skewness is negative, future returns are decreasing in the degree of dispersion of analysts' earnings forecasts; when skewness is positive, future returns are increasing in the degree of dispersion of analysts earnings forecasts. We develop a model that incorporates dispersion and asymmetry in agents' beliefs that can account for these empirical facts.

Empirical Asset Pricing

Empirical Asset Pricing PDF Author: Turan G. Bali
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1118589475
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 512

Book Description
“Bali, Engle, and Murray have produced a highly accessible introduction to the techniques and evidence of modern empirical asset pricing. This book should be read and absorbed by every serious student of the field, academic and professional.” Eugene Fama, Robert R. McCormick Distinguished Service Professor of Finance, University of Chicago and 2013 Nobel Laureate in Economic Sciences “The empirical analysis of the cross-section of stock returns is a monumental achievement of half a century of finance research. Both the established facts and the methods used to discover them have subtle complexities that can mislead casual observers and novice researchers. Bali, Engle, and Murray’s clear and careful guide to these issues provides a firm foundation for future discoveries.” John Campbell, Morton L. and Carole S. Olshan Professor of Economics, Harvard University “Bali, Engle, and Murray provide clear and accessible descriptions of many of the most important empirical techniques and results in asset pricing.” Kenneth R. French, Roth Family Distinguished Professor of Finance, Tuck School of Business, Dartmouth College “This exciting new book presents a thorough review of what we know about the cross-section of stock returns. Given its comprehensive nature, systematic approach, and easy-to-understand language, the book is a valuable resource for any introductory PhD class in empirical asset pricing.” Lubos Pastor, Charles P. McQuaid Professor of Finance, University of Chicago Empirical Asset Pricing: The Cross Section of Stock Returns is a comprehensive overview of the most important findings of empirical asset pricing research. The book begins with thorough expositions of the most prevalent econometric techniques with in-depth discussions of the implementation and interpretation of results illustrated through detailed examples. The second half of the book applies these techniques to demonstrate the most salient patterns observed in stock returns. The phenomena documented form the basis for a range of investment strategies as well as the foundations of contemporary empirical asset pricing research. Empirical Asset Pricing: The Cross Section of Stock Returns also includes: Discussions on the driving forces behind the patterns observed in the stock market An extensive set of results that serve as a reference for practitioners and academics alike Numerous references to both contemporary and foundational research articles Empirical Asset Pricing: The Cross Section of Stock Returns is an ideal textbook for graduate-level courses in asset pricing and portfolio management. The book is also an indispensable reference for researchers and practitioners in finance and economics. Turan G. Bali, PhD, is the Robert Parker Chair Professor of Finance in the McDonough School of Business at Georgetown University. The recipient of the 2014 Jack Treynor prize, he is the coauthor of Mathematical Methods for Finance: Tools for Asset and Risk Management, also published by Wiley. Robert F. Engle, PhD, is the Michael Armellino Professor of Finance in the Stern School of Business at New York University. He is the 2003 Nobel Laureate in Economic Sciences, Director of the New York University Stern Volatility Institute, and co-founding President of the Society for Financial Econometrics. Scott Murray, PhD, is an Assistant Professor in the Department of Finance in the J. Mack Robinson College of Business at Georgia State University. He is the recipient of the 2014 Jack Treynor prize.

Expectations and the Structure of Share Prices

Expectations and the Structure of Share Prices PDF Author: John G. Cragg
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
ISBN: 0226116727
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 185

Book Description
John G. Cragg and Burton G. Malkiel collected detailed forecasts of professional investors concerning the growth of 175 companies and use this information to examine the impact of such forecasts on the market evaluations of the companies and to test and extend traditional models of how stock market values are determined.

Differences of Opinion and Stock Returns

Differences of Opinion and Stock Returns PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

Book Description


The Cross-section of Stock Returns

The Cross-section of Stock Returns PDF Author: Stijn Claessens
Publisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN:
Category : Rate of return
Languages : en
Pages : 28

Book Description


The Cross Section of Common Stock Returns

The Cross Section of Common Stock Returns PDF Author: Donald B. Keim
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

Book Description
A growing number of empirical studies suggest that betas of common stocks do not adequately explain cross-sectional differences in stock returns. Instead, a number of other variables (e.g., size, ratio of book to market, earnings/price) that have no basis in extant theoretical models seem to have significantly predictive ability. Some interpret the findings as evidence of market efficiency. Others argue that the Capital Asset Pricing Model is an incomplete description of equilibrium price formation and these variables are proxies for additional risk factors. In this paper we review the evidence on the cross-sectional behavior of common stock returns on the U.S. and other equity markets around the world. We also report some new evidence on these cross-sectional relations using data from both U.S. and international stock markets. We find, among other results, that although the return premia associated with these ad hoc variables are significant in most international stock markets, the premia are uncorrelated across markets. The accumulating evidence prompts the following question: If these return premia occur primarily in January and are uncorrelated across major international equity markets, is it reasonable to characterize them as compensation for risk?

The Cross-Section of Stock Returns

The Cross-Section of Stock Returns PDF Author: Stijn Claessens
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 28

Book Description
Several factors besides m ...

The Cross-Section of Stock Returns: Evidence from Emerging Markets

The Cross-Section of Stock Returns: Evidence from Emerging Markets PDF Author: Susmita Dasgupta
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

Book Description


Irrational Exuberance Reconsidered

Irrational Exuberance Reconsidered PDF Author: Mathias Külpmann
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3540247653
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 233

Book Description
Mathias Külpmann presents a framework to evaluate whether the stock market is in line with underlying fundamentals. The new and revised edition offers an up to date introduction to the controversy between rational asset pricing and behavioural finance. Empirical evidence of stock market overreaction are investigated within the paradigms of rational asset pricing and behavioural finance. Although this monograph will not promise the reader to become a millionaire, it offers a road to obtain a deeper understanding of the forces which drive stock returns. It should be of interest to anyone interested in what drives performance in the stock market.