Differences in Short-Term Performance Persistence by Mutual Fund Equity Class PDF Download

Author: Andrew L. Detzel
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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To consistently earn positive alpha, active fund managers must have access to mispriced stocks. We show that mispricing varies by equity class in such a way that greater mispricing occurs in smaller-cap and more value-oriented stocks, providing opportunity for managers in these classes. Accordingly, we find the greatest evidence that top-performing mutual fund managers continue to earn positive alpha in smaller-cap and more value-oriented classes when investigating quarterly performance persistence by equity class. Conversely, large cap funds show no evidence of persistence in superior performance. In contrast to the patterns of persistence in superior performance, relative performance persists in all equity classes.

Author: Javier Vidal-García
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 37

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The mutual fund industry in Europe has experienced significant growth during recent years as a consequence of the integration of its markets. However, the European mutual fund industry is still an unexplored area of research with only a few significant articles compared to the US industry. In this article, we examine the short-term persistence in mutual fund performance in Europe between 1990 and 2015. Using a sample of daily survivorship bias-free data on the five most important European mutual fund countries, we find statistically significant persistence in the post-ranking quarter across different performance models for all countries. This evidence is present across all deciles including the top-decile and bottom-decile mutual funds.

Author: Marno Verbeek
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 40

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Using monthly return data of more than 6,400 US equity mutual funds we investigate short-run performance persistence over the period 1984-2003. We sort funds into rank portfolios based on past performance, and evaluate the portfolios' out-of-sample performance. To cope with short ranking periods, we employ an empirical Bayes approach to measure past performance more efficiently. Our main finding is that when funds are sorted into decile portfolios based on 12-month ranking periods, the top decile of funds earns a statistically significant, abnormal return of 0.26 percent per month. This effect persists beyond load fees, and is mainly concentrated in relatively young, small cap/growth funds.

Author: Evangelos Benos
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 31

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Using daily return data from 448 actively managed mutual funds over a recent 9-year period, we look for persistence, over two consecutive quarters, in the ability of funds to select individual stocks and time the market. That is, we decompose overall fund performance into excess returns resulting from stock selection and timing abilities and we separately test for persistence in each ability. We find persistence in the ability to time the market only among well performing funds and in the ability to select stocks only among the very best and worst performers. The existing literature patterns appear only when funds are ranked by their overall performance, which includes stock selection, market timing and fees. With respect to overall performance, there is persistence among most poorly performing and only the top well performing funds. Furthermore, the profitability of a winner-picking strategy depends on the rebalancing frequency and potentially the size of the investment. Small investors cannot profit, whereas large investors can take advantage of the class A share fee structure and realize positive abnormal returns by annually rebalancing their portfolios.

Author: Peter Lückoff
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3834927805
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 604

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Peter Lückoff investigates why fund flows and manager changes act as equilibrium mechanisms and drive the performance of both previously outperforming and previously underperforming funds back to average levels.

Author: Jinlin Li
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Investment analysis
Languages : en
Pages : 62

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Author: Javier Vidal-García
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 39

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This paper examines the short term persistence in performance of equity mutual funds around the world between 1990 and 2013. Using a large survivorship bias-free sample for 35 countries, we document strong evidence of persistence in daily mutual fund returns over quarterly measurement periods. We rank countries by abnormal return and estimate the performance of each country the following quarter. We find statistically and economically significant performance persistence, although persistence is much more pronounced for the top and bottom countries. The post-ranking abnormal return disappears when performance is examined over longer time periods. Thus, our results confirm that superior performance is a short-lived phenomenon.

Author: Dunhong Jin
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1513519492
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 46

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Book Description
How to prevent runs on open-end mutual funds? In recent years, markets have observed an innovation that changed the way open-end funds are priced. Alternative pricing rules (known as swing pricing) adjust funds’ net asset values to pass on funds’ trading costs to transacting shareholders. Using unique data on investor transactions in U.K. corporate bond funds, we show that swing pricing eliminates the first-mover advantage arising from the traditional pricing rule and significantly reduces redemptions during stress periods. The positive impact of alternative pricing rules on fund flows reverses in calm periods when costs associated with higher tracking error dominate the pricing effect.

Author: Sanjay Sehgal
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 23

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In this paper, we examine if there is any short-term persistence in mutual funds performance in the Indian context. We find no evidence that confirms persistence using monthly data. Using daily data, we observe that for fund schemes sorted on prior period four-factor abnormal returns, the winners portfolio does provide gross abnormal returns of 10% per annum on post-formation basis. The economic feasibility of zero-investment trading strategies that involve buying past winners and selling past losers is however in doubt. This is owing to the fact that these strategies generate low gross returns and that the winners portfolios involve higher investment costs than losers portfolios, thus destroying a major portion of extra-normal returns. Our empirical findings are consistent with the efficient market hypothesis and have implications for hedge funds and other managed portfolios who rely on innovative investment styles, including the fund of funds trading strategies that implicitly assume short-term persistence.

Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Book Description
In this paper, I analyze long-term performance persistence for a sample of 6525 US equity mutual funds between 1970 and 2013. I test for evidence of five-year performance persistence by using a non-parametric method involving the construction of contingency tables. I also apply a parametric cross-sectional regression of fund performance on past fund performance. I conduct the tests with four different performance measures, namely continuous returns, Jensen's alphas, Four Factor alphas and Sharpe Ratios. I find evidence for performance persistence across all performance measures and with both methodologies. Four Factor alphas show the most significant evidence. The observed persistence is to a great extent driven by funds that consistently perform below or equal to the median of their peers during the analyzed time periods. Performance persistence is especially pronounced during periods where the market shows a sustained upward or downward trend. The results are robust for longer time horizons up to ten years. I find reversals in performance to occur especially when the testing period is to a large extent characterized by a sharp negative market movement, such as the aftermath of the technology bubble in the early years of the 21st century. Past performance over longer time periods can therefore be considered for the evaluation of a long-term investment in a mutual fund, but should not be used as a standalone criterion.