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Development of a Decision Matrix National Weather Service Red Flag Warnings

Development of a Decision Matrix National Weather Service Red Flag Warnings PDF Author: Sarah Jakober
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 40

Book Description
This thesis consists of a paper addressing operational fire weather through the examination of incidents of extreme wildfire behavior. Work performed during the period of study included analyzing documented occurrences of extreme fire behavior, examining meteorological phenomena associated with such, as well as identifying forecasting techniques currently being used and operational practices of land managers surrounding these forecasts. The result was a body of work prepared for submission to a peer reviewed journal which recommended a scientific methodology for issuing Red Flag Warnings utilizing a decision matrix derived from meteorological conditions associated with extreme rates of wildfire spread. Percentiles of Energy Release Component (a NFDRS index of fuel dryness), relative humidity, and windspeed were utilized as meteorological parameters. By assigning a severity-based numerical score to each parameter, the resulting total score for each incident can be tabulated in matrix form. Current forecast criteria, as well as previously issued warnings are also scored and compared.

Development of a Decision Matrix National Weather Service Red Flag Warnings

Development of a Decision Matrix National Weather Service Red Flag Warnings PDF Author: Sarah Jakober
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 40

Book Description
This thesis consists of a paper addressing operational fire weather through the examination of incidents of extreme wildfire behavior. Work performed during the period of study included analyzing documented occurrences of extreme fire behavior, examining meteorological phenomena associated with such, as well as identifying forecasting techniques currently being used and operational practices of land managers surrounding these forecasts. The result was a body of work prepared for submission to a peer reviewed journal which recommended a scientific methodology for issuing Red Flag Warnings utilizing a decision matrix derived from meteorological conditions associated with extreme rates of wildfire spread. Percentiles of Energy Release Component (a NFDRS index of fuel dryness), relative humidity, and windspeed were utilized as meteorological parameters. By assigning a severity-based numerical score to each parameter, the resulting total score for each incident can be tabulated in matrix form. Current forecast criteria, as well as previously issued warnings are also scored and compared.

Building Better Warning Partnerships

Building Better Warning Partnerships PDF Author: Christopher R. Adams
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Natural disaster warning systems
Languages : en
Pages : 76

Book Description
The main focus of the Forum was on discussion groups working in four areas: (1) warning coordination and decision making, (2) communications technologies and formats, (3) critical information needs, and (4) warning dissemination to the public warning.

Internal RAREP and Warning Coordination System (RAWARC)

Internal RAREP and Warning Coordination System (RAWARC) PDF Author: United States. National Weather Service. Communications Division
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Meteorology
Languages : en
Pages : 196

Book Description


The National Weather Service's Polygon Method: Warning Dissemination of the Future

The National Weather Service's Polygon Method: Warning Dissemination of the Future PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

Book Description
The National Weather Service (NWS) is continuously improving its forecasting skills, but forecasters still cannot accurately predict the path of a tornado or a severe thunderstorm. The NWS has developed a new warning system in which the warned area is outlined by a polygon, not a county boundary. The polygon-waming approach is expected to significantly reduce the total square-mile area of warnings not followed by an event, called the False Alarm Area. There are three central issues concerning the failure of the polygon-warning method: I) the size of the counties impacted by a storm, 2) the impact of the new warning system on visual and auditory warning methods, and 3) the communication between the NWS, media, and emergency management. If the polygon-warning method is going to be a practical alternative to the countywarning method, then warning disseminators will have to work together to provide the most consistent method of communicating severe-weather wamings to citizens who are in immediate danger.

National Weather Service Forecasting Handbook

National Weather Service Forecasting Handbook PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Weather forecasting
Languages : en
Pages :

Book Description


Scientific and Technical Aerospace Reports

Scientific and Technical Aerospace Reports PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Aeronautics
Languages : en
Pages : 480

Book Description


Weather Guide for the Canadian Forest Fire Danger Rating System

Weather Guide for the Canadian Forest Fire Danger Rating System PDF Author: B. D. Lawson
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Fire risk assessment
Languages : en
Pages : 90

Book Description
This weather guide includes detailed specifications for locating and instrumenting fire weather stations, taking weather observations, and overwintering the Drought Code component of the FWI System. The sensitivity of the FWI System components to weather elements is represented quantitatively. The importance of weather that is not directly observable is discussed in the context of fuel moisture and fire behavior. Current developments in the observation and measurement of fire weather and the forecasting of fire danger are discussed, along with the implications for the reporting of fire weather of increasingly automated fire management information systems.

Tsunami Warning and Preparedness

Tsunami Warning and Preparedness PDF Author: National Research Council
Publisher: National Academies Press
ISBN: 0309137535
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 296

Book Description
Many coastal areas of the United States are at risk for tsunamis. After the catastrophic 2004 tsunami in the Indian Ocean, legislation was passed to expand U.S. tsunami warning capabilities. Since then, the nation has made progress in several related areas on both the federal and state levels. At the federal level, NOAA has improved the ability to detect and forecast tsunamis by expanding the sensor network. Other federal and state activities to increase tsunami safety include: improvements to tsunami hazard and evacuation maps for many coastal communities; vulnerability assessments of some coastal populations in several states; and new efforts to increase public awareness of the hazard and how to respond. Tsunami Warning and Preparedness explores the advances made in tsunami detection and preparedness, and identifies the challenges that still remain. The book describes areas of research and development that would improve tsunami education, preparation, and detection, especially with tsunamis that arrive less than an hour after the triggering event. It asserts that seamless coordination between the two Tsunami Warning Centers and clear communications to local officials and the public could create a timely and effective response to coastal communities facing a pending tsuanami. According to Tsunami Warning and Preparedness, minimizing future losses to the nation from tsunamis requires persistent progress across the broad spectrum of efforts including: risk assessment, public education, government coordination, detection and forecasting, and warning-center operations. The book also suggests designing effective interagency exercises, using professional emergency-management standards to prepare communities, and prioritizing funding based on tsunami risk.

Guide for All-Hazard Emergency Operations Planning

Guide for All-Hazard Emergency Operations Planning PDF Author: Kay C. Goss
Publisher: DIANE Publishing
ISBN: 078814829X
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 277

Book Description
Meant to aid State & local emergency managers in their efforts to develop & maintain a viable all-hazard emergency operations plan. This guide clarifies the preparedness, response, & short-term recovery planning elements that warrant inclusion in emergency operations plans. It offers the best judgment & recommendations on how to deal with the entire planning process -- from forming a planning team to writing the plan. Specific topics of discussion include: preliminary considerations, the planning process, emergency operations plan format, basic plan content, functional annex content, hazard-unique planning, & linking Federal & State operations.

Institutional Partnerships in Multi-Hazard Early Warning Systems

Institutional Partnerships in Multi-Hazard Early Warning Systems PDF Author: Maryam Golnaraghi
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3642253733
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 255

Book Description
This book documents seven examples of Early Warning Systems for hydrometeorological and other hazards that have proven effective in reducing losses due to these hazards. The cases studied encompass a variety of climatic regimes and stages of economic development, raging across the industrialized countries of Germany, France, Japan and the United States, to Bangladesh, the island nation of Cuba and the mega-city of Shanghai. Demonstrated characteristics of these exemplary cases are synthesized into ten guiding principles for successful early warning systems that will, it is hoped, prove useful to countries seeking to develop or strengthen such systems within their own borders.