Banking and Sovereign Risk in the Euro Area PDF Download

Author: Stefan Gerlach
Publisher:
ISBN: 9783865586193
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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Author: Frank J. Fabozzi
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 0471486159
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 466

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Book Description
Professional Perspectives on Fixed Income Portfolio Management, Volume 4 is a valuable practitioner-oriented text that addresses the current developments as well as key strategies and central theories in this field. Filled with insightful articles that focus on three important areas of fixed income portfolio management–fixed income analysis and strategies, credit risk and credit derivatives, and structured products–this volume contains hard-won practical knowledge and theory that will allow you to navigate today’s market with poise and confidence. Written by experienced fixed income professionals, this comprehensive volume offers in-depth analysis on a wide range of fixed income portfolio management issues, including: Risk/return trade-offs on fixed income asset classes Consistency of carry strategies in Europe The Euro benchmark yield curve Quantitative approaches versus fundamental analysis for valuing corporate credit The implication of Merton models for corporate bond investors The valuation of credit default swaps Framework for secondary market collateralized debt obligation valuation For the financial professional who needs to understand the advanced characteristics of fixed income portfolio management, Professional Perspectives on Fixed Income Portfolio Management, Volume 4 offers the most current thinking from the most experienced professionals in this field. Increase your knowledge of this market and enhance your financial performance for years to come with Professional Perspectives on Fixed Income Portfolio Management, Volume 4.

Author: Anne-Charlotte Paret
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1513518321
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 34

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Are Bunds special? This paper estimates the “Bund premium” as the difference in convenience yields between other sovereign safe assets and German government bonds adjusted for sovereign credit risk, liquidity and swap market frictions. A higher premium suggests less substitutability of sovereign bonds. We document a rise in the “Bund premium” in the post-crisis period. We show that there is a negative relationship of the premium with the relative supply of German sovereign bonds, which is more pronounced for higher maturities and when risk aversion proxied by bond market volatility is high. Going forward, we expect German government debt supply to remain scarce, with important implications for the ECB’s monetary policy strategy.

Author: Eugenia Andreasen
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1484303318
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 26

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Using a panel data set for international corporate bonds and capital account restrictions in advanced and emerging economies, we show that restrictions on capital inflows produce a substantial and economically meaningful increase in corporate bond spreads. A number of heterogeneities suggest that the effect of capital controls on inflows is particularly strong for more financially constrained firms, establishing a novel channel through which capital controls affect economic outcomes. By contrast, we do not find a robust significant effect of restrictions on outflows.

Author: Mr.Eugenio M Cerutti
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1484395212
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 36

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Book Description
For about three decades until the Global Financial Crisis (GFC), Covered Interest Parity (CIP) appeared to hold quite closely—even as a broad macroeconomic relationship applying to daily or weekly data. Not only have CIP deviations significantly increased since the GFC, but potential macrofinancial drivers of the variation in CIP deviations have also become significant. The variation in CIP deviations seems to be associated with multiple factors, not only regulatory changes. Most of these do not display a uniform importance across currency pairs and time, and some are associated with possible temporary considerations (such as asynchronous monetary policy cycles).

Author: Mr.Balazs Csonto
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1484361482
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 42

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Book Description
We analyze the relationship between global and country-specific factors and emerging market debt spreads from three different angles. First, we aim to disentangle the effect of global and country-specific developments, and find that while both country-specific and global developments are important in the long-run, global factors are main determinants of spreads in the short-run. Second, we investigate whether and how the strength of fundamentals is related to the sensitivity of spreads to global factors. Countries with stronger fundamentals tend to have lower sensitivity to changes in global risk aversion. Third, we decompose changes in spreads and analyze the behavior of explained and unexplained components over different periods. To do so, we break down fitted changes in spreads into the contribution of country-specific and global factors, as well as decompose changes in the residual into the correction of initial misalignment and an increase/decrease in misalignment. We find that changes in spreads follow periods of tightening/widening, which are well-explained by the model; and the dynamics of the components of the unexplained residual follow all the major developments that impact market sentiment. In particular, we find that in the periods of severe marketstress, such as during the intensive phase of the Eurozone debt crisis, global factors tend to drive changes in the spreads and the misalignment tends to increase in magnitude and its relative share in actual spreads.

Author: Arik Ben Dor
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1119751284
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 742

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Praise for SYSTEMATIC INVESTING in CREDIT "Lev and QPS continue to shed light on the most important questions facing credit investors. This book focuses on their latest cutting-edge research into the appropriate role of credit as an asset class, the dynamics of credit benchmarks, and potential ways to benefit from equity information to construct effective credit portfolios. It is must-read material for all serious credit investors." —Richard Donick, President and Chief Risk Officer, DCI, LLC, USA "Lev Dynkin and his team continue to spoil us; this book is yet another example of intuitive, insightful, and pertinent research, which builds on the team's previous research. As such, the relationship with this team is one of the best lifetime learning experiences I have had." —Eduard van Gelderen, Chief Investment Officer, Public Sector Pension Investment Board, Canada "The rise of a systematic approach in credit is a logical extension of the market's evolution and long overdue. Barclays QPS team does a great job of presenting its latest research in a practical manner." —David Horowitz, Chief Executive Officer and Chief Investment Officer, Agilon Capital, USA "Systematization reduces human biases and wasteful reinventing of past solutions. It improves the chances of investing success. This book, by a team of experts, shows you the way. You will gain insights into the advanced methodologies of combining fundamental and market data. I recommend this book for all credit investors." —Lim Chow Kiat, Chief Executive Officer, GIC Asset Management, Singapore "For nearly two decades, QPS conducted extensive and sound research to help investors meet industry challenges. The proprietary research in this volume gives a global overview of cutting-edge developments in alpha generation for credit investors, from signal extraction and ESG considerations to portfolio implementation. The book blazes a trail for enhanced risk adjusted returns by exploring the cross-asset relation between stocks and bonds and adding relevant information for credit portfolio construction. Our core belief at Ostrum AM, is that a robust quantamental approach, yields superior investment outcomes. Indeed, this book is a valuable read for the savvy investor." —Ibrahima Kobar, CFA, Global Chief Investment Officer, Ostrum AM, France "This book offers a highly engaging account of the current work by the Barclays QPS Group. It is a fascinating mix of original ideas, rigorous analytical techniques, and fundamental insights informed by a long history of frontline work in this area. This is a must-read from the long-time leaders in the field." —Professor Leonid Kogan, Nippon Telephone and Telegraph Professor of Management and Finance, MIT "This book provides corporate bond portfolio managers with an abundance of relevant, comprehensive, data-driven research for the implementation of superior investment performance strategies." —Professor Stanley J. Kon, Editor, Journal of Fixed income "This book is a treasure trove for both pension investors and trustees seeking to improve performance through credit. It provides a wealth of empirical evidence to guide long-term allocation to credit, optimize portfolio construction and harvest returns from systematic credit factors. By extending their research to ESG ratings, the authors also provide timely insights in the expanding field of sustainable finance." —Eloy Lindeijer, former Chief of Investment Management, PGGM, Netherlands "Over more than a decade, Lev Dynkin and his QPS team has provided me and APG with numerous innovative insights in credit markets. Their work gave us valuable quantitative substantiation of some of our investment beliefs. This book covers new and under-researched areas of our markets, like ESG and factor investing, next to the rigorous and practical work akin to the earlier work of the group. I'd say read this book—and learn from one of the best." —Herman Slooijer, Managing Director, Head of Fixed Income, APG Asset Management, Netherlands

Author: Mr. Evan Papageorgiou
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1616357592
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 14

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Book Description
An interesting disconnect has taken shape between local currency- and hard currency-denominated bonds in emerging markets with respect to their portfolio flows and prices since the start of the recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic. Emerging market assets have recovered sharply from the COVID-19 sell-off in 2020, but the post-pandemic recovery in 2021 has been highly uneven. This note seeks to answer why. Yields of local currency-denominated bonds have risen faster and are approaching their pandemic highs, while hard currency bond yields are still near their post-pandemic lows. Portfolio flows to local currency debt have similarly lagged flows to hard currency bonds. This disconnect is closely linked to the external environment and fiscal and inflationary pressures. Its evolution remains a key consideration for policymakers and investors, since local markets are the main source of funding for emerging markets. This note draws from the methodology developed in earlier Global Financial Stability Reports on fundamentals-based asset valuation models for funding costs and forecasting models for capital flows (using the at-risk framework). The results are consistent across models, indicating that local currency assets are significantly more sensitive to domestic fundamentals while hard currency assets are dependent on the external risk sentiment to a greater extent. This suggests that the post-pandemic, stressed domestic fundamentals have weighed on local currency bonds, partially offsetting the boost from supportive global risk sentiment. The analysis also highlights the risks emerging markets face from an asynchronous recovery and weak domestic fundamentals.

Author: Frank J. Fabozzi
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 0471649511
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 1026

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Book Description
A well-rounded guide for those interested in European financial markets With the advent of the euro and formation of the European Union, financial markets on this continent are slowly beginning to gain momentum. Individuals searching for information on these markets have come up empty-until now. The Handbook of European Fixed Income Markets is the first book written on this burgeoning market. It contains extensive, in-depth coverage of every aspect of the current European fixed income markets and their derivatives. This comprehensive resource includes both a qualitative approach to products, conventions, and institutions as well as quantitative coverage of valuation and analysis of each instrument. The Handbook of European Fixed Income Markets introduces readers to developed markets such as the U.K., France, Germany, Italy, Spain, and Holland, as well as emerging markets in Eastern Europe. Government and corporate bond market instruments and institutions are also discussed. U.S.-based investors, researchers, and academics as well as students and financial professionals in other parts of the world will all turn to this book for complete and accurate information on European financial instruments and markets. Frank J. Fabozzi (New Hope, PA) is a financial consultant, the Editor of the Journal of Portfolio Management, and Adjunct Professor of Finance at Yale University's School of Management. Moorad Choudhry (Surrey, UK) is a Vice President with JPMorgan Chase structured finances services in London.

Author: Volker Flögel
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3835092685
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 153

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Book Description
Based on unique datasets for German federal securities, EMU government bonds and Euro corporate bonds Volker Flögel analyzes the distinctive features of multiple dealer markets in general and bond markets in particular. He focuses on the organizational structure of the market for German federal securities, the interaction between the interdealer and the customer-dealer market for EMU government bonds, and the cost of liquidity for Euro corporate bonds.