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Demographic Changes and Real Housing Prices in Canada

Demographic Changes and Real Housing Prices in Canada PDF Author: Mario Fortin
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 150

Book Description
With the aging of the baby-boom generation, the number of young households is falling in Canada. This study examines the contentions of the demographer David Foot, and of earlier work by Mankiw and Weil, that in such a population, the number of home buyers is bound to decrease, causing the prices of residential real estate to drop substantially. In addition to reviewing the relevant economic literature, it constructs econometric models using Canadian national and provincial data and uses them to assess whether expected demographic changes in Canada are likely to trigger a pronounced downward trend in residential real estate prices. The study concludes that even if it is true that demographics may exert downward pressure on real estate prices, such impact will probably be dominant only in certain regions, depending even there on their rates of growth in real income. In other regions, the real price should have a tendancy to rise.

Demographic Changes and Real Housing Prices in Canada

Demographic Changes and Real Housing Prices in Canada PDF Author: Mario Fortin
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 150

Book Description
With the aging of the baby-boom generation, the number of young households is falling in Canada. This study examines the contentions of the demographer David Foot, and of earlier work by Mankiw and Weil, that in such a population, the number of home buyers is bound to decrease, causing the prices of residential real estate to drop substantially. In addition to reviewing the relevant economic literature, it constructs econometric models using Canadian national and provincial data and uses them to assess whether expected demographic changes in Canada are likely to trigger a pronounced downward trend in residential real estate prices. The study concludes that even if it is true that demographics may exert downward pressure on real estate prices, such impact will probably be dominant only in certain regions, depending even there on their rates of growth in real income. In other regions, the real price should have a tendancy to rise.

Demographic Changes and Real Housing Prices in Canada

Demographic Changes and Real Housing Prices in Canada PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Housing
Languages : en
Pages : 3

Book Description


Demographic Changes and Real Housing Prices in Canada

Demographic Changes and Real Housing Prices in Canada PDF Author: Mario Fortin
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : House buying
Languages : en
Pages : 64

Book Description


Demographic Changes and Real Housing Prices in Canada

Demographic Changes and Real Housing Prices in Canada PDF Author: Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : House buying
Languages : en
Pages : 3

Book Description
With the aging of the baby-boom generation, the number of young households is falling in Canada. This report presents highlights of a study that reviews the relevant economic literature and constructs econometric models to assess whether expected demographic changes in Canada are likely to trigger a pronounced downward trend in residential real estate prices.

Housing in Postwar Canada

Housing in Postwar Canada PDF Author: John R. Miron
Publisher: McGill-Queen's Press - MQUP
ISBN: 9780773506145
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 328

Book Description
Between 1945 and 1981 the Canadian population doubled, while the number of dwellings more than tripled. John Miron shows how changes in demographic structure and housing affordability affected postwar household formation and housing demand. He argues that no single explanation adequately reflects the extent of the impact of the demographic trends and the economic changes.

Demographic Change and the Housing Market in Canada

Demographic Change and the Housing Market in Canada PDF Author: Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation
Publisher: CMHC
ISBN:
Category : Home ownership
Languages : en
Pages : 56

Book Description


Evolving Housing Conditions in Canada's Census Metropolitan Areas, 1991-2001 [electronic Resource]

Evolving Housing Conditions in Canada's Census Metropolitan Areas, 1991-2001 [electronic Resource] PDF Author: Engeland, John
Publisher: Statistics Canada
ISBN: 9780662388685
Category : Households
Languages : en
Pages : 190

Book Description


Is the Canadian Housing Market Overvalued? A Post-crisis Assessment

Is the Canadian Housing Market Overvalued? A Post-crisis Assessment PDF Author: Ms.Evridiki Tsounta
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451873824
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 22

Book Description
Canadian house prices have increased significantly between 2003 and early 2008, with a marked downward trend since mid-2008, especially in the resource-rich western provinces. This paper estimates the evolution of equilibrium real home prices during this period in key provinces and finds that, following recent declines, home prices are now generally close to equilibrium throughout Canada. However, house prices in Alberta and British Columbia remain around 8 percent overvalued at the end of the sample (second quarter of 2009). Despite the limitations of econometric estimates of house-price dynamics, the measured small degree of overvaluation suggests that the Canadian housing market is essentially at equilibrium.

Effects of immigration on housing prices in Canada

Effects of immigration on housing prices in Canada PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

Book Description
While the answer to the first question uses cross-sectional information and reveals the long-run relationship between average housing prices and immigration, the answer to the second question uses time-series information and tells us how much of the increase in average real housing prices over the last ten years can be attributed to changes in immigration. [...] In 5.2, we use two immigration ratios-the share of people who immigrated in the last 10 years in the local population (imm10down) and the share of people who immigrated earlier than 10 years ago in the local population (imm10up)-to see whether the impact of recent immigrants on the housing market is different than that of more established immigrants. [...] To see whether immigration, as one of the regional characteristics, explains differences in average housing prices among different locations, we developed the following model, which removes the impact of region-specific characteristics on the average housing price levels but provides information about the long-run relationship between the growth in prices and immigration by using the cross-section [...] The expression in the first parenthesis on the right hand side of (5) is the growth rate of immigration for each CD, where recentimm and pop are the number of immigrants who immigrated in the last five years (between censuses) and the local population from the previous census, respectively. [...] On the other hand, as one of the regional characteristics, the average immigration ratio is a significant explanatory variable, suggesting that the growth rate of prices increases around 0.04 percent in the long run if the share of all immigrants in the total population rises by 1 percent.

Potential Housing Demand Projections

Potential Housing Demand Projections PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 4

Book Description
This bulletin explores the long-term outlook for housing demand in Canada, the factors shaping that demand, and how the composition of housing demand will change over time. The projections explored have been developed by Canada Mortage & Housing and cover 1986 to 2011. They include a base projection and discussion of the effects on that projection of such factors as immigration, household size, household type, aging of the population, and housing tenure.