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Deciding on the Best (in this Case) Approach to Time-series Forecasting

Deciding on the Best (in this Case) Approach to Time-series Forecasting PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

Book Description
This paper was motivated by a Decision Sciences article (v. 10, no. 2, 232-244(April 1979)) that presented comparisons of the adaptive estimation procedure (AEP), adaptive filtering, the Box-Jenkins (BJ) methodology, and multiple regression analysis as they apply to time-series forecasting with single-series models. While such comparisons are to be applauded in general, it is demonstrated that the empirical comparisons of the above paper are quite misleading with respect to choosing between the AEP and BJ approaches. This demonstration is followed by a somewhat philosophical discussion on comparison-of-methods techniques.

Deciding on the Best (in this Case) Approach to Time-series Forecasting

Deciding on the Best (in this Case) Approach to Time-series Forecasting PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

Book Description
This paper was motivated by a Decision Sciences article (v. 10, no. 2, 232-244(April 1979)) that presented comparisons of the adaptive estimation procedure (AEP), adaptive filtering, the Box-Jenkins (BJ) methodology, and multiple regression analysis as they apply to time-series forecasting with single-series models. While such comparisons are to be applauded in general, it is demonstrated that the empirical comparisons of the above paper are quite misleading with respect to choosing between the AEP and BJ approaches. This demonstration is followed by a somewhat philosophical discussion on comparison-of-methods techniques.

Practical Time Series Forecasting with R

Practical Time Series Forecasting with R PDF Author: Galit Shmueli
Publisher: Axelrod Schnall Publishers
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 250

Book Description
Practical Time Series Forecasting with R: A Hands-On Guide, Third Edition provides an applied approach to time-series forecasting. Forecasting is an essential component of predictive analytics. The book introduces popular forecasting methods and approaches used in a variety of business applications. The book offers clear explanations, practical examples, and end-of-chapter exercises and cases. Readers will learn to use forecasting methods using the free open-source R software to develop effective forecasting solutions that extract business value from time series data. This edition features the R fable package, full color, enhanced organization, and new material. It includes: • Popular forecasting methods including smoothing algorithms, regression models, ARIMA, neural networks, deep learning, and ensembles • A practical approach to evaluating the performance of forecasting solutions • A business-analytics exposition focused on linking time-series forecasting to business goals • Guided cases for integrating the acquired knowledge using real data • End-of-chapter problems to facilitate active learning • Data, R code, and instructor materials on companion website • Affordable and globally-available textbook, available in hardcover, paperback, and Kindle formats Practical Time Series Forecasting with R: A Hands-On Guide, Third Edition is the perfect textbook for upper-undergraduate, graduate and MBA-level courses as well as professional programs in data science and business analytics. The book is also designed for practitioners in the fields of operations research, supply chain management, marketing, economics, information systems, finance, and management.

Practical Time Series Forecasting

Practical Time Series Forecasting PDF Author: Galit Shmueli
Publisher: Axelrod Schnall Publishers
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 210

Book Description
Practical Time Series Forecasting: A Hands-On Guide, Third Edition provides an applied approach to time-series forecasting. Forecasting is an essential component of predictive analytics. The book introduces popular forecasting methods and approaches used in a variety of business applications. The book offers clear explanations, practical examples, and end-of-chapter exercises and cases. Readers will learn to use forecasting methods to develop effective forecasting solutions that extract business value from time-series data. Featuring improved organization and new material, the Second Edition also includes: - Popular forecasting methods including smoothing algorithms, regression models, and neural networks - A practical approach to evaluating the performance of forecasting solutions - A business-analytics exposition focused on linking time-series forecasting to business goals - Guided cases for integrating the acquired knowledge using real data - End-of-chapter problems to facilitate active learning - A companion site with data sets, learning resources, and instructor materials (solutions to exercises, case studies) - Globally-available textbook, available in both softcover and Kindle formats Practical Time Series Forecasting: A Hands-On Guide, Third Edition is the perfect textbook for upper-undergraduate, graduate and MBA-level courses as well as professional programs in data science and business analytics. The book is also designed for practitioners in the fields of operations research, supply chain management, marketing, economics, finance and management. For more information, visit forecastingbook.com

Forecasting: principles and practice

Forecasting: principles and practice PDF Author: Rob J Hyndman
Publisher: OTexts
ISBN: 0987507117
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 380

Book Description
Forecasting is required in many situations. Stocking an inventory may require forecasts of demand months in advance. Telecommunication routing requires traffic forecasts a few minutes ahead. Whatever the circumstances or time horizons involved, forecasting is an important aid in effective and efficient planning. This textbook provides a comprehensive introduction to forecasting methods and presents enough information about each method for readers to use them sensibly.

Practical Time Series Forecasting with R

Practical Time Series Forecasting with R PDF Author: Galit Shmueli
Publisher: Axelrod Schnall Publishers
ISBN: 0997847948
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 250

Book Description
Practical Time Series Forecasting with R: A Hands-On Guide, Third Edition provides an applied approach to time-series forecasting. Forecasting is an essential component of predictive analytics. The book introduces popular forecasting methods and approaches used in a variety of business applications. The book offers clear explanations, practical examples, and end-of-chapter exercises and cases. Readers will learn to use forecasting methods using the free open-source R software to develop effective forecasting solutions that extract business value from time series data. This edition features the R fable package, full color, enhanced organization, and new material. It includes: Popular forecasting methods including smoothing algorithms, regression models, ARIMA, neural networks, deep learning, and ensembles - A practical approach to evaluating the performance of forecasting solutions - A business-analytics exposition focused on linking time-series forecasting to business goals - Guided cases for integrating the acquired knowledge using real data - End-of-chapter problems to facilitate active learning - Data, R code, and instructor materials on companion website - Affordable and globally-available textbook, available in hardcover, paperback, and Kindle formats Practical Time Series Forecasting with R: A Hands-On Guide, Third Edition is the perfect textbook for upper-undergraduate, graduate and MBA-level courses as well as professional programs in data science and business analytics. The book is also designed for practitioners in the fields of operations research, supply chain management, marketing, economics, information systems, finance, and management.

Scientific and Technical Aerospace Reports

Scientific and Technical Aerospace Reports PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Aeronautics
Languages : en
Pages : 748

Book Description
Lists citations with abstracts for aerospace related reports obtained from world wide sources and announces documents that have recently been entered into the NASA Scientific and Technical Information Database.

Forecasting and Time Series

Forecasting and Time Series PDF Author: Bruce L. Bowerman
Publisher: South Western Educational Publishing
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 746

Book Description
This comprehensive book introduces students to time series and forecasting techniques. The prerequisites are college algebra and basic statistics. It contains complete coverage of linear regression analysis, which provides much of the conceptual foundation of forecasting.

Energy Research Abstracts

Energy Research Abstracts PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Power resources
Languages : en
Pages : 372

Book Description


Advances in Time Series Forecasting

Advances in Time Series Forecasting PDF Author: Cagdas Hakan Aladag
Publisher: Bentham Science Publishers
ISBN: 1608053733
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 143

Book Description
"Time series analysis is applicable in a variety of disciplines such as business administration, economics, public finances, engineering, statistics, econometrics, mathematics and actuarial sciences. Forecasting the future assists in critical organizationa"

Time Series and Forecasting

Time Series and Forecasting PDF Author: Bruce L. Bowerman
Publisher: Brooks/Cole
ISBN:
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 504

Book Description
Forecasting and multiple regression analysis; Forecasting time series described by trend and irregular components; Forecasting seasonal time series; The box-jenkins methodology.