Data-Driven Football Predictions: Constructing the Perfect Over 2. 5 Goals Betting Strategy for the English Premier League PDF Download

Author: Martin Chamberlain
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781097263981
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 98

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Book Description
Inspired by the fact that only 5% of football punters make a profit over the long term ,a group of data scientists created the Football Data Labs project with the aim of developing profitable, data-driven and easily applicable betting strategies for novice and experienced punters alike. The first publication of the Data-Driven Football Predictions series will cover a betting methodology for the over 2.5 goals market, as applied to the English Premier League. The book will serve three purposes. Firstly, it will present a data-driven league-specific, profitable and back-tested betting strategy with detailed illustrations and examples. Secondly, by presenting each step of the betting methodology, the book will actually serve as a guide on constructing any sports betting strategy. Lastly, the book will introduce the novice bettors with some of the most relevant factors to consider when placing an over 2.5 goals bet. By reviewing data patterns as applied to the English Premier League, the book will expose the power of league-specific data patterns. This book will help transform the typical fun-loving recreational punter into a wealthier and data-wise smarter ... fun-loving punter. After all, the major inspiration for this book, and for the Football Data Labs project as a whole, is to educate bettors about profitable data patterns that would give them an edge against the bookmakers.

Author: Clive Beggs
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 1003825338
Category : Sports & Recreation
Languages : en
Pages : 397

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Book Description
Sports analytics is on the rise, with top soccer clubs, bookmakers, and broadcasters all employing statisticians and data scientists to gain an edge over their competitors. Many popular books have been written exploring the mathematics of soccer. However, few supply details on how soccer data can be analysed in real-life. The book addresses this issue via a practical route one approach designed to show readers how to successfully tackle a range of soccer related problems using the easy-to-learn computer language R. Through a series of easy-to-follow examples, the book explains how R can be used to: Download and edit soccer data Produce graphics and statistics Predict match outcomes and final league positions Formulate betting strategies Rank teams Construct passing networks Assess match play Soccer Analytics: An Introduction Using R is a comprehensive introduction to soccer analytics aimed at all those interested in analysing soccer data, be they fans, gamblers, coaches, sports scientists, or data scientists and statisticians wishing to pursue a career in professional soccer. It aims to equip the reader with the knowledge and skills required to confidently analyse soccer data using R, all in a few easy lessons.

Author: Martin Chamberlain
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 188

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Book Description
In collective sports it is often said that teams are more than the mere sum of the individual players' capabilities. In the betting industry, however, the absence of a team's leading player usually leads to movements in the pre-game odds. Indeed, a Barcelona side without Lionel Messi or a Liverpool side without Virgil van Dijk will still be considered favourites against any opposition in their respective leagues, though the absence of those key players will make the markets a lot less certain. As a star player's abilities are widely known to the general public, his potential impact on the game is relatively easy to assess even by non-expert gamblers. And while the exercise of quantifying the value of a team's best player is fairly simple, it is significantly more difficult to assess the importance of players of a lesser calibre.In this book, Martin Chamberlain presents a powerful modelling technique based on the players' perceived football capabilities that will help gamblers raise their game by quantifying a team's strength on any given match day. Inspired by the severe lack of reliable resources targeted at amateur football gamblers willing to leverage the power of data but lacking the technical skills to do so, this guide will present a ratings-based Modelling Tool in Excel that is statistically sound and extremely intuitive to use.This book is a prelude to the online Data-Driven Football Betting Masterclass for Beginners: From Zero to Hero with Ratings Models in Excel covering the English Premier League, the English Championship, the Italian Serie A, the Portuguese Primeira Liga, the Russian Premier League and the US Major League Soccer, in which Martin Chamberlain presents how to build profitable data-driven models in Excel from scratch with the help of Football Data Labs' exclusive player ratings and extensive historical database.

Author: Manuel Graña
Publisher: IOS Press
ISBN: 1614991049
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 2307

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Book Description
In this 2012 edition of Advances in Knowledge-Based and Intelligent Information and Engineering Systems the latest innovations and advances in Intelligent Systems and related areas are presented by leading experts from all over the world. The 228 papers that are included cover a wide range of topics. One emphasis is on Information Processing, which has become a pervasive phenomenon in our civilization. While the majority of Information Processing is becoming intelligent in a very broad sense, major research in Semantics, Artificial Intelligence and Knowledge Engineering supports the domain specific applications that are becoming more and more present in our everyday living. Ontologies play a major role in the development of Knowledge Engineering in various domains, from Semantic Web down to the design of specific Decision Support Systems. Research on Ontologies and their applications is a highly active front of current Computational Intelligence science that is addressed here. Other subjects in this volume are modern Machine Learning, Lattice Computing and Mathematical Morphology.The wide scope and high quality of these contributions clearly show that knowledge engineering is a continuous living and evolving set of technologies aimed at improving the design and understanding of systems and their relations with humans.

Author: Tom Whitaker
Publisher: Createspace Independent Publishing Platform
ISBN: 9781985764910
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 218

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Book Description
What if you backed Man City at home in every game? Would you make a profit? What if you backed the draw in every Premier League game last season? What if you backed over 2.5 goals in games with teams that have a high goal-average? The answers to your questions are just a few clicks away. Big Data Analysis is now freely available to the ordinary punter thanks to Betaminic and its revolutionary Betamin Builder Tool. Over 100,000 matches since March 2012 in 54 leagues. Have you ever wondered how some professional gamblers make their strategies? Are you tired of making your own excel databases in the search for a winning system? This book is a step-by-step guide to using the Betamin Builder Data Analysis Tool for creating soccer betting systems to beat the bookies including 21 winning strategies in the Colossus21 System Includes: Betaminic User Guide 9 public strategies combined in the Betaminic Super9 system (averaged 349 points profit per year since 2012) 21 strategies combined in the Colossus21 system (averaged 1,049 points profit per year in the past 6 years) Betting bank, stake size and staking plan analysis Example start-up plans Troubleshooting guide to help you stay on target All 30 strategies are analysed in depth with factsheets that show the premise of each strategy, profit, yield, losing streaks, bet number, average odds, strike rate and maximum drawdown. Each four-page factsheet is an easy at-a-glance way to see a breakdown of profit by year and month. This includes information not shown on the Betaminic website: the percentage of winning months, longest winning and losing runs in months, average monthly and yearly profit, profit range per year and per month, average number of bets per year and per month. (See my website for a free example factsheet, the address is on the back cover.) If you are not using Betaminic, this book will introduce you to a new world of winning football betting strategies. If you are already using Betaminic, this guide book will help you get the most out of it and put you on the path to even greater profits. Betaminic is a powerful tool for finding strategies that make consistent profit over the long term. You can find them yourself by researching your ideas and gut feelings about football. This does, however, take time and that is why I present here twenty-one working strategies that you can use as they are or adapt according to your own ideas. All of the data in the factsheets is useful to get a feel for a strategy. We want to know how profitable it is, what kind of risk we need to be prepared for and how many picks we can expect each month. Also, we want to know the bad streaks, when they happened, how bad they were, how volatile each strategy is. We can get this information by using the tools in the Betamin Builder, but with this book you can have them all in one easy to view, standardized format so that you can refer back to them easily at a glance to compare current performance to past results and make sure you are on the right path to profit. The key thing we will see from all of these strategies is that they all made profit over the long term and also that they all had losing months, sometimes multiple losing months in a row. We will see that some strategies have a great yield but few picks each month, while others with lower yields generate more profit faster through a higher volume of bets each month. The Colossus21, which is a combination of all the strategies, will show that by not putting all your eggs in one basket, and spreading the risk across as many strategies as possible, you could have achieved profit almost every month. 70 out of 72 months ended in profit from March 2012 to February 2018. While past results are no guarantee of future performance, we can have reasonable expectations that we have found a winning strategy.

Author: Pete Nordsted
Publisher: Harriman House Limited
ISBN: 085719254X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 52

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Book Description
This book is the first in a series of short, simple, no-nonsense guides to profitable betting on the football markets. It is dedicated to explaining and instilling the fundamentals of successful football betting in everyone who reads it. This eBook, and the wider Premier Betting series, is firmly aimed at the casual punter who enjoys a weekly bet on the football markets. As professional punters, the authors have a code of practice that maximises their opportunities for securing long-term profits. They want to pass this on - along with all the strategies that they, as professionals, rely on - so that the next time you have the urge to place a bet you have more options at your disposal than betting on a whim, guess or gut feeling. www.premier-betting.com

Author: Antonio Tropiano
Publisher: Independently Published
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 60

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Book Description
This book has been written as a continuation of my first short Guide to Soccer Betting. I am going to cover various methods to build different betting models starting from basic statistics. I will then focus on the Over/Under market to explain how to test if a model can be profitable, using real data. I will then explain how to tune a model that is based on any number of parameters. Finally, I will write about the probability estimation of different results, again using real data. This will allow me to build a simple betting strategy based on the comparison of odds and probabilities, and to introduce the Kelly criterion in our betting.

Author: A B Lawal
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 56

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Book Description
About This Book Imagine if you had an Almanac with tomorrow's sports results and events. Imagine what you could do if you knew the outcome before it actually happened. Impossible? This edition teaches you how sports investing works and how you can win consistently from sports betting. Sports has been my life since childhood. I was trying to crunch the code to predict tomorrow's games. In fact, this may sound a little bit like a back to the future fairytale, but I've come as close as I can to the results of Tomorrow's Almanac. During the last 15 years, I've been gathering sports data for Major League sports like Major League Baseball, Nhl Hockey, the NFL football and NBA basketball. I'm crunching the numbers and I'm comparing the stats. I'm analyzing and back testing everything for years and years to crack the sports code and to find those repeating patterns and trends. This makes me understand what makes teams win and what makes teams lose. And you know what I found? I found that history always repeats itself. This is true, especially in sports where the rules are strictly defined. The outcomes in these situations are very predictable. Of course there are lucky strikes and conditions that are impossible to put into perspective. However, those are very small percentages. If you know the past outcome of an event, you can predict the results for the game in similar circumstances with a high degree of probability. As I said before, the past is never a full indication of what will happen in the future and there is always room for surprises, but again, this is what makes sports fun to watch. Am I right? However, what is the chance that a team with similar power and player statistics will produce a similar outcome in a similar game in similar circumstances? What's that percentage? 86.5% that's right. An 86.5% of the cases there will be no surprises and the prediction will come absolutely. Our investing software is the best system in the market because it keeps making investors consistent gains each and every month. Truth is we love sports, but we hate to gamble and that's why we call this sports investing, which is similar to any other trading like stocks, stock options, and forex trades. This is just way more predictable than today's flawed economic models with crisis and bankruptcy events. Every day the software is gathering thousands and thousands of sports data and results: every single event, every single detail, every single player and every single team. I start the simulation with over 80 parameters in the formula to come up with a precise and easy to use prediction and not only tell you who is going to win, but also and most importantly, where the value is, which means more money can be made guessing. So to learn more about how you can create a consistent $1500 monthly from sports betting following my guide, just order this book right now!

Author: James Bandy
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781912456192
Category : Soccer
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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Book Description
At 26 years old, the Premier League attracts the best, most expensive players, the greatest managers, and has produced the most exciting football on the planet. With more than 10,000 games of football played, there's been plenty of highs, lows, and outstanding trivia and facts throughout the years of the World's Greatest League! The Ultimate Guide to The Premier League is 192 pages full of everything a football fan could ever want to know about the English top flight. Packed with features including the 100 Best Premier League Players; the Top 50 Goalscorers; the All-Time Premier League Dream Team; the Best-Ever Goals, and the Most Successful Premier League Teams of All-Time. Also included are in-depth statistics, season reviews, quizzes and more making this Ultimate Guide essential reading for any fan of the beautiful game!

Author: David Pastor-Escuredo
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3031609352
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 837

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