Author: Ronald L. SmithPublisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 24
Book Description
Dampening Turmoil in the Oil Market
Author: Ronald L. SmithOil Markets in Turmoil
Author: Philip K. VerlegerPublisher:
ISBN:
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 336
Book Description
Oil Price Uncertainty
Author: John ElderPublisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 42
Book Description
The theories of investment under uncertainty and real options predict that uncertainty about, for example, oil prices will tend to depress current investment. We reinvestigate the relationship between the price of oil and investment, focusing on the role of uncertainty about oil prices. We find that volatility in oil prices has had a negative and statistically significant effect on several measures of investment, durables consumption and aggregate output. We also find that accounting for the effects of oil price volatility tends to exacerbate the negative dynamic response of economic activity to a negative oil price shock, while dampening the response to a positive oil price shock.
The Distributional Implications of the Impact of Fuel Price Increases on Inflation
Author: Mr. Kangni R KpodarPublisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1616356154
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 34
Book Description
This paper investigates the response of consumer price inflation to changes in domestic fuel prices, looking at the different categories of the overall consumer price index (CPI). We then combine household survey data with the CPI components to construct a CPI index for the poorest and richest income quintiles with the view to assess the distributional impact of the pass-through. To undertake this analysis, the paper provides an update to the Global Monthly Retail Fuel Price Database, expanding the product coverage to premium and regular fuels, the time dimension to December 2020, and the sample to 190 countries. Three key findings stand out. First, the response of inflation to gasoline price shocks is smaller, but more persistent and broad-based in developing economies than in advanced economies. Second, we show that past studies using crude oil prices instead of retail fuel prices to estimate the pass-through to inflation significantly underestimate it. Third, while the purchasing power of all households declines as fuel prices increase, the distributional impact is progressive. But the progressivity phases out within 6 months after the shock in advanced economies, whereas it persists beyond a year in developing countries.
Energy Research Abstracts
Author: Publications of Los Alamos Research
Author: Los Alamos National LaboratoryPublisher:
ISBN:
Category : Research
Languages : en
Pages : 276
Book Description
World Agricultural Production and Trade
Author: IMF Survey, Volume 37, Issue 01
Author: International Monetary Fund. External Relations Dept.Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451967497
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 16
Book Description
Work Program, IMF Reform, Local Bond Markets, Lipsky Sees Slower Growth, Climate Change, Lipsky Interviewed, Fiscal Spending in G-7, Korea Health Check, Loan for Guinea, Technical Assistance, Indonesia, Chile's Economy, IEO, Conditionality, News Briefs.
Valuation and Risk Management in Energy Markets
Author: Glen SwindlePublisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1107729491
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 499
Book Description
Valuation and Risk Management in Energy Markets surveys the mechanics of energy markets and the valuation of structures commonly arising in practice. The presentation balances quantitative issues and practicalities facing portfolio managers, with substantial attention paid to the ways in which common methods fail in practice and to alternative methods when they exist. The material spans basic fundamentals of markets, statistical analysis of price dynamics, and a sequence of increasingly challenging structures, concluding with issues arising at the enterprise level. In totality, the material has been selected to provide readers with the analytical foundation required to function in modern energy trading and risk management groups.
Regional Economic Outlook: Middle East and Central Asia, May 2023
Author: International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 44
Book Description
The economies of the Middle East and Central Asia proved resilient in 2022, despite a series of global shocks. However, this year—and potentially next—growth is expected to slow in the Middle East and North Africa as tight policies to fight inflation, reduce vulnerabilities, and rebuild buffers start to dent economic activity in many countries, and agreed oil production cuts curb growth in oil exporters. Inflation is projected to remain persistent. The outlook for Caucasus and Central Asia countries depends heavily on external factors, namely the impact of monetary tightening, and growth in their main trading partners, the pace of private transfers, and inflows of migrants from Russia. Uncertainty is high, and risks to the baseline are tilted to the downside amid financial stability concerns, particularly in advanced economies amid contagion fears. Policy trade-offs are even more complex, and policymakers will need to calibrate the policy mix carefully to reduce core inflation without triggering financial stress and excessive tightening and continue to provide targeted fiscal support to vulnerable groups while preserving debt sustainability and financial stability. Tight monetary and fiscal policies across the region amid tight global financial conditions call for accelerating structural reforms to bolster potential growth and enhance resilience.