Author: Kerstin Bernoth Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages :
Book Description
The use of futures exchange contracts instead of forwards completes the maturity spectrum of the correlation between the spot yield and the premium. We find that the forward premium puzzle (FFP) depends significantly on the maturity horizon of the futures contract and the choice of sampling period. The FFP appears to be a pre-crisis phenomenon and is only observed for maturities longer than about one month. When examining whether the observed excess returns of futures contracts represent a fair compensation for currency risk, we find that non-durable consumption risk and market risk can explain excess currency returns. But only in the pre-crisis period and when the maturity of the assets is longer than about three months.
Author: Shaun K. Roache Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 32
Book Description
Large fundamental imbalances persist in the global economy, with potential exchange rate implications. This paper assesses whether exchange rate risk is priced across G-7 stock markets. Given the multitude of hedging instruments available, theory suggests that stock market investors should not be compensated for currency risk. However, data covering 33 industry portfolios across seven major stock markets suggest that not only is exchange rate risk priced in many markets, but that it is time-varying and sensitive to currency-specific shocks. With stock market investors typically exhibiting "home bias," this suggests that investors are using equity asset proxies to hedge the exchange rate risks to consumption.
Author: Mr.Manmohan S. Kumar Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 145194196X Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 32
Book Description
This paper undertakes an econometric investigation into the presence of risk premium in commodity futures markets. The statistical tests are derived from a formal model of asset pricing and are applied to futures prices in a variety of commodity markets. The results suggest that for several commodities there is evidence of a time varying risk premium, particularly in futures contracts maturing six months ahead. The implications of the study for the efficiency of the futures markets and the costs of using these markets for hedging are also noted.
Author: John J. Stephens Publisher: John Wiley & Sons ISBN: 0470848081 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 218
Book Description
Control the number one cause of financial loss currency fluctuation With cross-border commerce now the global norm, companies must now face the greatest threat to their financial stability: financial losses due to currency fluctuations. Written by an international business and banking expert, Managing Currency Risk is an authoritative, accessible look at the variety of methods used to minimize currency risk. Written for the financial market novice, the book explains the nature and uses of a variety of financial instruments without complicated mathematical equations. Discussed in detail are all forms of currency derivatives, such as forward foreign exchange, OTC currency options, currency swaps, currency futures, and options which are illustrated with international examples and case studies. A practical guide on every aspect of currency risk, Managing Currency Risk also serves as a guide to navigating your firm through turbulent economic times.
Author: Bong-Chan Kho Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages :
Book Description
This paper re-examines the efficiency of foreign currency futures markets by evaluating the role of time-varying risk premia and volatility in explaining technical trading rule profits. The results show that large parts of the technical rule profits can be explained by the time-varying risk premia estimated from a general model for the conditional CAPM: The bootstrap distributions for the profits under the null model average one-third to one-half of the actual profits and enclose the actual profits well within the 90% confidence intervals. Time-varying conditional volatility explains an additional 10% of the profits.
Author: Kerstin Bernoth
Author: Christopher F. Baum
Author: G. S. Maddala
Author: Shaun K. Roache
Author: Mr.Manmohan S. Kumar
Author: John M. Sequeira
Author: David Tien
Author: John J. Stephens
Author: Bong-Chan Kho
Author: