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Credit Rating Modelling by Neural Networks

Credit Rating Modelling by Neural Networks PDF Author: Petr Hájek
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781616686796
Category : Credit analysis
Languages : en
Pages : 0

Book Description
This book presents the modelling possibilities of neural networks on a complex real-world problem, i.e. credit rating process modelling. Current approaches in credit rating modelling are introduced, as well as the incorporation of previous findings on corporate and municipal credit rating modelling. Based on this analysis, the model is designed to classify US companies and municipalities into credit rating classes. The model includes data pre-processing, the selection process of input variables, and the design of various neural networks' structures for classification.

Credit Rating Modelling by Neural Networks

Credit Rating Modelling by Neural Networks PDF Author: Petr Hájek
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781616686796
Category : Credit analysis
Languages : en
Pages : 0

Book Description
This book presents the modelling possibilities of neural networks on a complex real-world problem, i.e. credit rating process modelling. Current approaches in credit rating modelling are introduced, as well as the incorporation of previous findings on corporate and municipal credit rating modelling. Based on this analysis, the model is designed to classify US companies and municipalities into credit rating classes. The model includes data pre-processing, the selection process of input variables, and the design of various neural networks' structures for classification.

Methods for Decision Making in an Uncertain Environment

Methods for Decision Making in an Uncertain Environment PDF Author: Jaime Gil Aluja
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9814415774
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 471

Book Description
This book contains a selection of the papers presented at the XVII SIGEF Congress. It presents fuzzy logic, neural networks and other intelligent techniques applied to economic and business problems. This book is very useful for researchers and graduate students aiming to introduce themselves to the field of quantitative techniques for overcoming uncertain environments. The contributors are experienced scholars of different countries who offer real world applications of these mathematical techniques.

A Primer on Machine Learning Methods for Credit Rating Modeling

A Primer on Machine Learning Methods for Credit Rating Modeling PDF Author: Yixiao Jiang
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 0

Book Description
Using machine learning methods, this chapter studies features that are important to predict corporate bond ratings. There is a growing literature of predicting credit ratings via machine learning methods. However, there have been less empirical studies using ensemble methods, which refer to the technique of combining the prediction of multiple classifiers. This chapter compares six machine learning models: ordered logit model (OL), neural network (NN), support vector machine (SVM), bagged decision trees (BDT), random forest (RF), and gradient boosted machines (GBMs). By providing an intuitive description for each employed method, this chapter may also serve as a primer for empirical researchers who want to learn machine learning methods. Moody,Äôs ratings were employed, with data collected from 2001 to 2017. Three broad categories of features, including financial ratios, equity risk, and bond issuer,Äôs cross-ownership relation with the credit rating agencies, were explored in the modeling phase, performed with the data prior to 2016. These models were tested on an evaluation phase, using the most recent data after 2016.

Managerial Perspectives on Intelligent Big Data Analytics

Managerial Perspectives on Intelligent Big Data Analytics PDF Author: Sun, Zhaohao
Publisher: IGI Global
ISBN: 1522572783
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 357

Book Description
Big data, analytics, and artificial intelligence are revolutionizing work, management, and lifestyles and are becoming disruptive technologies for healthcare, e-commerce, and web services. However, many fundamental, technological, and managerial issues for developing and applying intelligent big data analytics in these fields have yet to be addressed. Managerial Perspectives on Intelligent Big Data Analytics is a collection of innovative research that discusses the integration and application of artificial intelligence, business intelligence, digital transformation, and intelligent big data analytics from a perspective of computing, service, and management. While highlighting topics including e-commerce, machine learning, and fuzzy logic, this book is ideally designed for students, government officials, data scientists, managers, consultants, analysts, IT specialists, academicians, researchers, and industry professionals in fields that include big data, artificial intelligence, computing, and commerce.

Predicting Corporate Credit Ratings Using Neural Network Models

Predicting Corporate Credit Ratings Using Neural Network Models PDF Author: Simon James Frank
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Corporations
Languages : en
Pages : 210

Book Description


Artificial Intelligence and Credit Risk

Artificial Intelligence and Credit Risk PDF Author: Rossella Locatelli
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3031102363
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 115

Book Description
This book focuses on the alternative techniques and data leveraged for credit risk, describing and analysing the array of methodological approaches for the usage of techniques and/or alternative data for regulatory and managerial rating models. During the last decade the increase in computational capacity, the consolidation of new methodologies to elaborate data and the availability of new information related to individuals and organizations, aided by the widespread usage of internet, set the stage for the development and application of artificial intelligence techniques in enterprises in general and financial institutions in particular. In the banking world, its application is even more relevant, thanks to the use of larger and larger data sets for credit risk modelling. The evaluation of credit risk has largely been based on client data modelling; such techniques (linear regression, logistic regression, decision trees, etc.) and data sets (financial, behavioural, sociologic, geographic, sectoral, etc.) are referred to as “traditional” and have been the de facto standards in the banking industry. The incoming challenge for credit risk managers is now to find ways to leverage the new AI toolbox on new (unconventional) data to enhance the models’ predictive power, without neglecting problems due to results’ interpretability while recognizing ethical dilemmas. Contributors are university researchers, risk managers operating in banks and other financial intermediaries and consultants. The topic is a major one for the financial industry, and this is one of the first works offering relevant case studies alongside practical problems and solutions.

Rule Extraction from Support Vector Machines

Rule Extraction from Support Vector Machines PDF Author: Joachim Diederich
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3540753907
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 267

Book Description
Support vector machines (SVMs) are one of the most active research areas in machine learning. SVMs have shown good performance in a number of applications, including text and image classification. However, the learning capability of SVMs comes at a cost – an inherent inability to explain in a comprehensible form, the process by which a learning result was reached. Hence, the situation is similar to neural networks, where the apparent lack of an explanation capability has led to various approaches aiming at extracting symbolic rules from neural networks. For SVMs to gain a wider degree of acceptance in fields such as medical diagnosis and security sensitive areas, it is desirable to offer an explanation capability. User explanation is often a legal requirement, because it is necessary to explain how a decision was reached or why it was made. This book provides an overview of the field and introduces a number of different approaches to extracting rules from support vector machines developed by key researchers. In addition, successful applications are outlined and future research opportunities are discussed. The book is an important reference for researchers and graduate students, and since it provides an introduction to the topic, it will be important in the classroom as well. Because of the significance of both SVMs and user explanation, the book is of relevance to data mining practitioners and data analysts.

Modelling Sovereign Credit Ratings

Modelling Sovereign Credit Ratings PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Credit ratings
Languages : en
Pages : 35

Book Description


An Effective Classification Model of Credit Rating And Default of Medium, Small and Micro Enterprises Based on The Genetic Back Propagation Neural Network

An Effective Classification Model of Credit Rating And Default of Medium, Small and Micro Enterprises Based on The Genetic Back Propagation Neural Network PDF Author: wei jin
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

Book Description
In China, medium, small, and micro enterprises (MSMEs) play an important role in economic development, but they are difficult to obtain a substantial loan due to their unquantifiable credit rating and default. To address this issue, this paper applies machine learning and intelligent optimization algorithms to establish a classification model of default and credit rating of MSMEs based on their daily invoice data. More precisely, 12 indicators related to default and credit rating are extracted, and then the principal component analysis is conducted to reduce the dimension and synthesize all information. Subsequently, the genetic back propagation neural network (GA-BPNN) is adopted to characterize the relationship between indicators and default and credit rating, respectively. The results indicate that the prediction accuracy of default risk and credit rating is 0.92 and 0.86, respectively. This demonstrates that GA-BPNN can classify the underlying default and credit rating of MSMEs effectively and provides a potential decision-making approach.

Credit Risk Modeling

Credit Risk Modeling PDF Author: Marriappan Vasudevan
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

Book Description
Credit risk assessment plays a major role in the banks and financial institutions to prevent counterparty risk failure. One of the primary capabilities of a robust risk management system must be detecting the risks earlier, though many of the bank systems today lack this key capability which leads to further losses (MGI, 2017). In searching for an improved methodology to detect such credit risk and increasing the lacking capabilities earlier, a comparative analysis between Deep Neural Network (DNN) and machine learning techniques such as Support Vector Machines (SVM), K-Nearest Neighbours (KNN) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) were conducted. The Deep Neural Network used in this study consists of six layers of neurons. Further, sampling techniques such as SMOTE, SVM-SMOTE, RUS, and All-KNN to make the imbalanced dataset a balanced one were also applied. Using supervised learning techniques, the proposed DNN model was able to achieve an accuracy of 82.18% with a ROC score of 0.706 using the RUS sampling technique. The All KNN sampling technique was capable of achieving the maximum true positives in two different models. Using the proposed approach, banks and credit check institutions can help prevent major losses occurring due to counterparty risk failure.