Author: Eugenio Sebastian BobenriethPublisher:
ISBN:
Category : Agriculture
Languages : en
Pages : 292
Book Description
Commodity Prices Under Time-heterogeneous Shocks Density
Author: Eugenio Sebastian BobenriethPublisher:
ISBN:
Category : Agriculture
Languages : en
Pages : 292
Book Description
The Heterogeneous Responses of the World Commodity Prices to Exchange Rate Shocks
Author: Hyeongwoo KimThe Comovement in Commodity Prices
Author: Mr.Ron AlquistPublisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1484378148
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 63
Book Description
We present a simple macroeconomic model with a continuum of primary commodities used in the production of the final good, such that the real prices of commodities have a factor structure. One factor captures the combined contribution of all aggregate shocks which have no direct effects on commodity markets other than through general equilibrium effects on output, while other factors represent direct commodity shocks. Thus, the factor structure provides a decomposition of underlying structural shocks. The theory also provides guidance on how empirical factors can be rotated to identify the structural factors. We apply factor analysis and the identification conditions implied by the model to a cross-section of real non-energy commodity prices. The theoretical restrictions implied by the model are consistent with the data and thus yield a structural interpretation of the common factors in commodity prices. The analysis suggests that commodity-related shocks have generally played a limited role in global business cycle fluctuations.
Heterogeneous Effects of Commodity Price Shocks on Inflation Rates. Evidence from a Panel Study
Author: Odbayar BatmunkhPublisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
Book Description
Do commodity price shocks have heterogeneous effect on countries based on their export and import profiles? I address this question through a panel study of 142 countries using Export and Import Indexes aimed at differentiating the retail pass-through and fiscal balance channel of transmission of Commodity Price shocks on inflation. The results show that an increase in the Export Index leads to a decrease in contemporary inflation while an increase in the Import Index leads to an increase in inflation in the next year. Average causal mediating effect of the Export Index on Inflation through the Fiscal Balance was shown to be negative.
Handbook of Agricultural Economics
Author: Bruce L. GardnerPublisher:
ISBN:
Category : Agricultural credit
Languages : en
Pages : 554
Book Description
Commodity Markets
Author: John BaffesPublisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN: 1464819122
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 311
Book Description
Commodity markets are integral to the global economy. Understanding what drives developments of these markets is critical to the design of policy frameworks that facilitate the economic objectives of sustainable growth, inflation stability, poverty reduction, food security, and the mitigation of climate change. This study is the first comprehensive analysis examining market and policy developments for all commodity groups, including energy, metals, and agriculture, over the past century. It finds that, while the quantity of commodities consumed has risen enormously, driven by population and income growth, the relative importance of commodities has shifted over time, as technological innovation created new uses for some materials and facilitated substitution among commodities. The study also shows that commodity markets are heterogeneous in terms of their drivers, price behavior, and macroeconomic impact on emerging markets and developing economies, and that the relationship between economic growth and commodity demand varies widely across countries, depending on their stage of economic development. Policy frameworks that enable countercyclical macroeconomic responses have become increasingly common—and beneficial. Other policy tools have had mixed outcomes. Discussions about commodity-exporting emerging markets are often based on ideas without empirical or analytical support. This book is a great contribution to improve our understanding of those economies, based on rigorous research. It provides robust empirical evidence including a long-term perspective on commodity prices. It also contains very thoughtful policy analysis, with implications for resilience, macroeconomic policies, and development strategies. It will be a key reference for scholars as well as policy makers. José De Gregorio Dean of the School of Economics and Business Universidad de Chile Former Minister of Economy, Mining and Energy and Former Governor of the Central Bank of Chile A sound understanding of commodity markets is more essential than ever in light of the COVID-19 pandemic, the war in Ukraine, and the transition from fossil fuels to renewable energy commodities. This volume offers an excellent, comprehensive, and very timely analysis of the wide range of factors that affect commodity markets. It carefully surveys historical and future trends in commodity supply, demand, and prices, and offers detailed policy proposals to avoid the havoc that turbulent commodity markets can cause on the economies of commodity exporters and importers. Rick Van der Ploeg Research Director of Oxford Centre for the Analysis of Resource-Rich Economies University of Oxford
Commodity Price Dynamics
Author: Craig PirrongPublisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1139501976
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 238
Book Description
Commodities have become an important component of many investors' portfolios and the focus of much political controversy over the past decade. This book utilizes structural models to provide a better understanding of how commodities' prices behave and what drives them. It exploits differences across commodities and examines a variety of predictions of the models to identify where they work and where they fail. The findings of the analysis are useful to scholars, traders and policy makers who want to better understand often puzzling - and extreme - movements in the prices of commodities from aluminium to oil to soybeans to zinc.
The Effects on Growth of Commodity Price Uncertainty and Shocks
Author: Jan DehnPublisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN:
Category : Agricultural prices
Languages : en
Pages : 66
Book Description
The author estimates the effects on growth of commodity price shocks, and uncertainty within an established empirical growth model. Ex-post shocks, and ex-ante uncertainty have been treated in the empirical literature as if they were synonymous. But they are distinct concepts, and it is both theoretically, and empirically inappropriate to treat them as synonymous. He shows that the interaction between policy, and aid is robust to the inclusion of variables capturing commodity price movements. More important, his approach departs in three ways from earlier empirical studies of the subject: 1) It deals with issues of endogeneity, without incurring an excessive loss of efficiency. 2) It defines the dependent variable to allow an assessment of the longer-term implications of temporary trade shocks. 3) It imposes no priors on how commodity price movements affect growth, but compares and contrasts a range of competing shock, and uncertainty specifications. The author resolves the disagreement about the long-run effect of positive shocks on growth, finding that positive shocks have no long-run impact on growth (that windfalls from trade shocks do not translate into sustainable increases in income). He shows that negative shocks have large, highly significant, and negative effects on growth, but that commodity price uncertainty does not affect growth.
The Economics of World Wheat Markets
Author: John M. AntlePublisher: Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 474
Book Description
This book provides a detailed review of recent and likely future developments in worldwide wheat markets among major exporting and importing countries. Country specific issues are examined fr Russia and China, whose role in world wheat markets has changed rapidly over the last decade, and for major exporting countries, including the USA, European Union, Canada, Argentina and Australia. The effects of international trade agreements are examined. The book describes the kay economic issues as well as techniques used to analyse wheat commodity market behavior.
Author: Wensheng Kang