Author: Brahima Coulibaly
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Consumers
Languages : en
Pages : 54

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Author: Gregory E. Elliehausen
Publisher: DIANE Publishing
ISBN: 1437980252
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 52

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Author: Yao-Min Chiang
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Book Description
The unprecedented run-up in global house prices of the 2000s was preceded by a revolution in U.S. mortgage markets in which borrowers faced a plethora of mortgages to choose from collectively known as nontraditional mortgages (NTMs), whose poor performance helped ignite the global financial crisis in 2007. This paper studies the choice of mortgage contracts in an expanded framework where the menu of contracts includes the pay option adjustable rate mortgage (PO-ARM), and the balloon mortgage (BM), alongside the traditional long horizon fixed rate mortgage (FRM) and the short horizon regular ARM. The inclusion of the PO-ARM is based on the fact it is the most controversial and perhaps the riskiest of the NTMs, whereas the BM has not been analyzed in the literature despite its different risk-sharing arrangement and long vintage. Our inclusive model relates the structural differences of these contracts to the horizon risk management problems and affordability constraints faced by the households that differ in terms of expected mobility. The numerical solutions of the model generates a number of interesting results suggesting that households select mortgage contracts to match their horizon, manage horizon risk and mitigate liquidity or affordability constraints they face. From a risk management and welfare perspectives, we find that e optimal contract for households with shorter horizons, specifically households who expect to move house once every one to two years, is the PO-ARM. Beyond 2 years the welfare advantage of the PO-ARM diminishes and BM becomes the more optimal contract up to 5-year horizon. Overall, the results suggest that households are neither as risk averse as the selection of the FRM would suggest, nor are they was risk-seeking as the selection of PO-ARM or regular ARM would suggest. The results also suggest that the exuberance demonstrated for NTMs by borrowers, especially PO-ARMs, may be both rational and irrational.

Author: Richard Stanton
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Equilibrium
Languages : en
Pages : 48

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Author: Robert A. Jones
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Book Description
This paper offers a game-theoretic model for both the analysis and valuation of mortgage contracts in the context of an economy with complete information and complete contingent claims markets. We analyze the equilibrium strategy of the lender, who holds an option over the magnitude of mortgage credit extended per dollar of collateral offered, and the mortgagor, who holds options to default or prepay, in a class of intertemporal mortgage contracts collateralized by property evolving according to a random process which is common knowledge to both parties to the mortgage contract. Using continuous-time arbitrage valuation principles, we derive the value of the mortgage contract to both parties and show, through both analytical solutions and numerical simulations, that Markov perfect equilibria exist in which, among other properties, a lower flow of housing services accruing to the borrower, per dollar of initial house value, and a correspondingly lower rate of effective depreciation, will elicit a larger volume of funds offered by a lender; the amount of credit offered, the values of the contract to both lender and mortgagor, and the expected losses to both parties from costly bankrupty are highly sensitive to the perceived volatility of the value of the property collateralizing the mortgage, even in an economy with complete markets or risk neutrality on the parts of lender and borrower; the upper limit on mortgage credit offered by a rational lender may be a small fraction of the current fair market value of the property, regardless of the contractual yield offered by the borrower, and will decrease, at each such yield, as bankruptcy costs or housing service flows increase; and under significant but plausible values for bankruptcy and costs of liquidating property under foreclosure, the flow of mortgage credit can become negatively related to the spread of the mortgage yield over the riskless rate, with the lender preferring a lower contractual yield to a higher one.

Author: Richard Stanton
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 30

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Book Description
This paper develops a general equilibrium model of mortgage lending, combining self-selection theory with option pricing. We construct a separating equilibrium, in which lenders offer a menu of prepayable, fixed rate mortgage contracts, differing in their tradeoff between coupon rate and points (prepaid interest). Borrowers select the optimal contract from the menu, revealing their mobility via their choice of loan, and lenders make zero profit on each loan taken out. Such a separating equilibrium can only exist if borrowers face frictions, such as refinancing costs. Our model provides an explanation for the large menus of mortgages typically encountered by potential borrowers, as well as for the prepayment options that are embedded in mortgage contracts, despite the significant deadweight costs associated with refinancing. We also show that the recent proliferation of loans with many different horizons represents an alternative means of persuading borrowers to self-select, with lower deadweight costs. Finally, our model suggests that the menu of contracts available at the time of origination should be an important predictor of future prepayment. Most commonly used prepayment models, which do not take this into account, are therefore misspecified, leading to errors in pricing and hedging mortgages and mortgage-backed securities.

Author: Hanoch Dagan
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1107135982
Category : Law
Languages : en
Pages : 195

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Book Description
The Choice Theory of Contracts is an engaging landmark that shows, for the first time, how freedom matters to contract.

Author: Lu Liu
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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Book Description

Author: Gene Amromin
Publisher: DIANE Publishing
ISBN: 1437987850
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 57

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Book Description
CM became a popular borrowing instrument during the bullish housing market of the early 2000s but vanished rapidly during the subsequent downturn. These non-traditional loans (interest only, negative amortization, and teaser mortgages) enable households to postpone loan repayment compared to traditional mortgages and hence relax borrowing constraints. But, they increase household leverage and heighten dependence on mortgage refinancing. CM were chosen by prime borrowers with high income levels seeking to purchase expensive houses relative to their incomes. Borrowers with CM experience substantially higher ex post default rates than borrowers with traditional mortgages with similar characteristics. Illus. This is a print on demand report.

Author: John Y. Campbell
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Mortgages
Languages : en
Pages : 47

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