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Author: Solomos Solomou Publisher: Manchester University Press ISBN: 9780719041518 Category : Business cycles Languages : en Pages : 150
Book Description
The ups and downs of booms and slumps, often referred to as business cycles, are features of all modern economies. This book considers business cycles over three epochs 1870-1913, 1919-1938 and the post-World War II period. It provides an analysis of the key macroeconomic questions relating to economic fluctuations. Why are the ups and down more volatile in some epochs than others? Why are some business cycle shocks more persistent in their effects? Is there an international business cycle? Can present business cycle features predict future patterns? What impact will institutional changes, such as EMU have on future fluctuations?
Author: Mr.Kenneth Rogoff Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 1451875843 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 85
Book Description
Using recent advances in the classification of exchange rate regimes, this paper finds no support for the popular bipolar view that countries will tend over time to move to the polar extremes of free float or rigid peg. Rather, intermediate regimes have shown remarkable durability. The analysis suggests that as economies mature, the value of exchange rate flexibility rises. For countries at a relatively early stage of financial development and integration, fixed or relatively rigid regimes appear to offer some anti-inflation credibility gain without compromising growth objectives. As countries develop economically and institutionally, there appear to be considerable benefits to more flexible regimes. For developed countries that are not in a currency union, relatively flexible exchange rate regimes appear to offer higher growth without any cost in credibility.
Author: Solomos Solomou Publisher: Manchester University Press ISBN: 9780719041518 Category : Business cycles Languages : en Pages : 150
Book Description
The ups and downs of booms and slumps, often referred to as business cycles, are features of all modern economies. This book considers business cycles over three epochs 1870-1913, 1919-1938 and the post-World War II period. It provides an analysis of the key macroeconomic questions relating to economic fluctuations. Why are the ups and down more volatile in some epochs than others? Why are some business cycle shocks more persistent in their effects? Is there an international business cycle? Can present business cycle features predict future patterns? What impact will institutional changes, such as EMU have on future fluctuations?
Author: Mr.Robert P. Flood Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 1451851324 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 9
Book Description
Traditionally the choice of exchange rate regime has been seen as a second-best policy choice, which can be directed toward mitigating the distortionary effects of price or information rigidities. In this paradigm the optimal degree of exchange rate flexibility is found to depend of the source and nature of shocks hitting an economy. More recent literature views the exchange rate as a widely and frequently seen manifestation of government policy with careful exchange-rate management emerging as a tool that can enhance shaky policy credibility.
Author: Christian Zimmermann Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 0
Book Description
Are business cycles different according to the exchange rate regime? Baxter & Stockman have inconclusive results. We reinvestigate this question with more recent data and a different methodology and find evidence, for some aggregates, that their business cycle behavior has changed. We then try to replicate this change with an international real business cycle model with exchange rate shocks.
Author: Marianne Baxter Publisher: ISBN: Category : Business cycles Languages : en Pages : 80
Book Description
This paper investigates empirically the differences in time?series behavior of key economic aggregates under alternative exchange rate systems. We use a postwar sample of 49 countries to compare the behavior of output. consumption, trade flows, government consumption spending, and real exchange rates under alternative exchange rate systems (pegged, floating, and systems such as the EMS). We then examine evidence from two particular episodes, involving Canada and Ireland, of changes in the exchange rate system. Aside from greater variability of real exchange rates under flexible than under pegged nominal exchange rate systems, we find little evidence of systematic differences in the behavior of other macroeconomic aggregates or international trade flows under alternative exchange rate systems. These results are of interest because a large class of theoretical models implies that the nominal exchange rate system has important effects on a number of macroeconomic quantities.
Author: Kyunghun Kim Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 43
Book Description
We investigate the role of exchange rate regimes in the international transmission of business cycles during the global financial crisis. We find that exchange rate regimes alone did not account for differences in the international transmission of business cycles during the crisis. However, analysis considering capital account openness and countries with currencies pegged to the U.S. dollar indicates that exchange rate regimes play an important role in shaping business cycle co-movement: adopting a fixed regime with high capital account openness (additionally) increased business cycle co-movement with the United States during the crisis, whereas U.S. dollar peggers with relatively restrictive capital accounts during the crisis were not found to affect business cycle transmission.
Author: Nasser Saidi Publisher: Routledge ISBN: 1351804847 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 205
Book Description
Originally published in 1982. This book deals with exchange-rate determination and the implications of floating rate regimes for the time paths of prices and quantities. It develops a class of stochastic equilibrium models of the open economy operating under flexible exchange rates, assuming that agents are endowed with rational expectations but do not possess full current information as to the state of the world. Chapters look at a model’s response to economic disturbances, the effect on non-traded goods, and cyclical variations of the terms of trade. The final chapter considers a model to investigate purchasing parity issues.
Author: Ralph Setzer Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media ISBN: 3790817163 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 265
Book Description
This book considers the issue of exchange rate policymaking from a political economy perspective. It illustrates both theoretically and empirically how domestic political and institutional incentives shape exchange rate policies in developing countries. Empirical analysis is based on a panel survey of 47 countries and thereby provides insights on how political and institutional conditions typically affect exchange rate policy.
Author: Mr.Ivan Tchakarov Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 1451863705 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 24
Book Description
Emerging market countries have enjoyed an exceptionally favorable economic environment throughout 2004, 2005, and early 2006. In particular, accommodative U.S. monetary policy in recent years has helped create an environment of low interest rates in international capital markets. However, if world interest rates were to take a sudden upward course, this would lead to less hospitable financing conditions for emerging market countries. The purpose of this paper is to measure the effects of world interest rate shocks on real activity in Thailand. The analysis incorporates balance sheet related credit market frictions into the IMF’s Global Economy Model (GEM) and finds that Thailand would best minimize the adverse effects of rising world interest rates if it were to follow a flexible exchange rate regime.
Author: Solomos Solomou
Author: Mr.Kenneth Rogoff
Author: Solomos Solomou
Author: Mr.Robert P. Flood
Author: Christian Zimmermann
Author: Luca Dedola
Author: Marianne Baxter
Author: Kyunghun Kim
Author: Nasser Saidi
Author: Ralph Setzer
Author: Mr.Ivan Tchakarov