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Box Spread Arbitrage Profits Following the 1987 Market Crash

Box Spread Arbitrage Profits Following the 1987 Market Crash PDF Author: Michael Lee Hemler
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

Book Description
We examine market efficiency before and after the 1987 Market Crash using the box spread strategy implemented with European-style Samp;P~500 Index (SPX) options. Before the Crash, apparent arbitrage opportunities were rare and simulated trades were unprofitable assuming a one-minute execution delay. After the Crash, apparent arbitrage opportunities were frequent and simulated trades were profitable even assuming a five-minute execution delay. Our analysis makes the routine assumption that quotes are good until updated to construct a time series of prevailing quotes sampled at 30-second intervals. If this assumption is valid, then arbitrage profits were actually available. If this assumption is invalid, then such profits could have been illusory. Either scenario, however, implies that SPX market efficiency decreased following the Crash--prevailing price quotes repeatedly failed to satisfy the fundamental parity relation underlying the box spread.

Box Spread Arbitrage Profits Following the 1987 Market Crash

Box Spread Arbitrage Profits Following the 1987 Market Crash PDF Author: Michael Lee Hemler
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

Book Description
We examine market efficiency before and after the 1987 Market Crash using the box spread strategy implemented with European-style Samp;P~500 Index (SPX) options. Before the Crash, apparent arbitrage opportunities were rare and simulated trades were unprofitable assuming a one-minute execution delay. After the Crash, apparent arbitrage opportunities were frequent and simulated trades were profitable even assuming a five-minute execution delay. Our analysis makes the routine assumption that quotes are good until updated to construct a time series of prevailing quotes sampled at 30-second intervals. If this assumption is valid, then arbitrage profits were actually available. If this assumption is invalid, then such profits could have been illusory. Either scenario, however, implies that SPX market efficiency decreased following the Crash--prevailing price quotes repeatedly failed to satisfy the fundamental parity relation underlying the box spread.

Box Spread Arbitrage Profits and the 1987 Market Crash

Box Spread Arbitrage Profits and the 1987 Market Crash PDF Author: Michael Lee Hemler
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

Book Description
We examine the riskless box spread trading strategy before and after the 1987 Market Crash using intraday data for Samp;P 500 Index (SPX) options. We find that the Crash had a significant impact on trading profitability. Before the Crash, apparently profitable trading opportunities were rare and simulated trades based on such opportunities were unprofitable. For approximately three weeks after the Crash, however, apparently profitable trading opportunities occurred frequently and the corresponding simulated trades produced arbitrage profits. These post-Crash profits accompanied an increased bid-ask spread and a decreased number of trades and price quotes, suggesting increased uncertainty on the part of traders regarding the value of the Samp;P 500 Index. Nonetheless, traders apparently stood by their quotes--in the post-Crash period, all trades occurred within the bid-ask spread and the number of contracts per trade did not drop substantially from its pre-Crash level.

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