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Author: Joachim Klement Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages :
Book Description
Long-term expected returns for bond investments are an important component of the actuarial assumptions of pension funds around the world. Similarly, banks and investors around the world need realistic long-term return assumptions to decide on the optimal share of bonds in a multi-asset portfolio. Given the current low interest rates in most developed countries, we calculate expected returns for government bonds in four regions and compare these to long-term historical returns. It seems clear that over the next decade government bond returns will be significantly lower than the historical average. In light of these results, it seems astonishing to us that many banks, pension funds and investors still seem to use the same long-term bond return expectations as before the current period of monetary easing. According to our calculations, this practice implicitly assumes that - at least for Switzerland the UK and the US - long-term government bond yields are based on unrealistic scenarios. Therefore, this practice seems clearly flawed and may have grave implications for the portfolios of those investors.
Author: Joachim Klement Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages :
Book Description
Long-term expected returns for bond investments are an important component of the actuarial assumptions of pension funds around the world. Similarly, banks and investors around the world need realistic long-term return assumptions to decide on the optimal share of bonds in a multi-asset portfolio. Given the current low interest rates in most developed countries, we calculate expected returns for government bonds in four regions and compare these to long-term historical returns. It seems clear that over the next decade government bond returns will be significantly lower than the historical average. In light of these results, it seems astonishing to us that many banks, pension funds and investors still seem to use the same long-term bond return expectations as before the current period of monetary easing. According to our calculations, this practice implicitly assumes that - at least for Switzerland the UK and the US - long-term government bond yields are based on unrealistic scenarios. Therefore, this practice seems clearly flawed and may have grave implications for the portfolios of those investors.
Author: Rob Berger Publisher: Glenbrook Press ISBN: 9781733914505 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 268
Book Description
In Retire Before Mom and Dad, you'll learn how to unlock the superpower inside of you that is capable of transforming almost any income into lasting financial freedom. And, you'll discover that it's not about scrimping and sacrificing to get there.
Author: Ben Carlson Publisher: John Wiley & Sons ISBN: 1119024927 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 231
Book Description
A simple guide to a smarter strategy for the individual investor A Wealth of Common Sense sheds a refreshing light on investing, and shows you how a simplicity-based framework can lead to better investment decisions. The financial market is a complex system, but that doesn't mean it requires a complex strategy; in fact, this false premise is the driving force behind many investors' market "mistakes." Information is important, but understanding and perspective are the keys to better decision-making. This book describes the proper way to view the markets and your portfolio, and show you the simple strategies that make investing more profitable, less confusing, and less time-consuming. Without the burden of short-term performance benchmarks, individual investors have the advantage of focusing on the long view, and the freedom to construct the kind of portfolio that will serve their investment goals best. This book proves how complex strategies essentially waste these advantages, and provides an alternative game plan for those ready to simplify. Complexity is often used as a mechanism for talking investors into unnecessary purchases, when all most need is a deeper understanding of conventional options. This book explains which issues you actually should pay attention to, and which ones are simply used for an illusion of intelligence and control. Keep up with—or beat—professional money managers Exploit stock market volatility to your utmost advantage Learn where advisors and consultants fit into smart strategy Build a portfolio that makes sense for your particular situation You don't have to outsmart the market if you can simply outperform it. Cut through the confusion and noise and focus on what actually matters. A Wealth of Common Sense clears the air, and gives you the insight you need to become a smarter, more successful investor.
Author: Riccardo Rebonato Publisher: ISBN: 1107165857 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 781
Book Description
Rebonato provides an authoritative, clear, and up-to-date explanation of the cutting-edge innovations in affine modeling for government bonds, and provides readers with the precise tools to develop their own models. This book combines precise theory with up-to-date empirical evidence to build, with the minimum mathematical sophistication required for the task, a critical understanding of what drives the government bond market.
Author: Moorad Choudhry Publisher: Butterworth-Heinemann ISBN: 0080574939 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 1152
Book Description
The Bond and Money Markets is an invaluable reference to all aspects of fixed income markets and instruments. It is highly regarded as an introduction and an advanced text for professionals and graduate students.Features comprehensive coverage of: * Government and Corporate bonds, Eurobonds, callable bonds, convertibles * Asset-backed bonds including mortgages and CDOs * Derivative instruments including futures, swaps, options, structured products* Interest-rate risk, duration analysis, convexity, and the convexity bias * The money markets, repo markets, basis trading, and asset/liability management * Term structure models, estimating and interpreting the yield curve * Portfolio management and strategies,total return framework, constructing bond indices* A stand alone reference book on interest rate swaps, the money markets, financial market mathematics, interest-rate futures and technical analysis * Includes introductory coverage of very specialised topics (for which one previously required several texts) such as VaR, Asset & liability management and credit derivatives * Combines accessible style with advanced level topics
Author: Mr.Tigran Poghosyan Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 1475542798 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 26
Book Description
We analyze determinants of sovereign bond yields in 22 advanced economies over the 1980-2010 period using panel cointegration techniques. The application of cointegration methodology allows distinguishing between long-run (debt-to-GDP ratio, potential growth) and short-run (inflation, short-term interest rates, etc.) determinants of sovereign borrowing costs. We find that in the long-run, government bond yields increase by about 2 basis points in response to a 1 percentage point increase in government debt-to-GDP ratio and by about 45 basis points in response to a 1 percentage point increase in potential growth rate. In the short-run, sovereign bond yields deviate from the level determined by the long-run fundamentals, but about half of the deviation adjusts in one year. When considering the impact of the global financial crisis on sovereign borrowing costs in euro area countries, the estimations suggest that spreads against Germany in some European periphery countries exceeded the level determined by fundamentals in the aftermath of the crisis, while some North European countries have benefited from “safe haven” flows.
Author: Laura Jaramillo Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 1475548613 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 24
Book Description
Experience from the global financial crisis suggests that countries’ borrowing costs are not solely determined by macro and fiscal fundamentals. Factors such as ownership structures of government securities, among others, also play a significant role. This paper investigates the effect of “real money investors”—domestic nonbanks and national and foreign central banks—on bond yields for a sample of 45 advanced and emerging market economies. The results show that, while bond yields rise with the debt to GDP ratio, this increase is partly offset if this debt falls in the hands of real money investors. Nonetheless, for some countries there is the risk that such ownership structure could change over the long run, which would impose upward pressure on borrowing costs, especially where fiscal positions are weak.
Author: Russell Wild Publisher: John Wiley & Sons ISBN: 1118330536 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 371
Book Description
Your friendly guide to trading the bond and bond fund market Bonds and bond funds are among the safest and most reliable investments you can make to ensure an ample and dependable retirement income—if you do it right! Bond Investing For Dummies helps you do just that, with clear explanations of everything you need to know to build a diversified bond portfolio that will be there when you need it no matter what happens in the stock market. This plain-English guide clearly explains the pros and cons of investing in bonds, how they differ from stocks, and the best (and worst!) ways to select and purchase bonds for your needs. You'll get up to speed on the different bond varieties and see how to get the best prices when you sell. Covers the ups and downs of today's market, which reinforces the importance of bonds in a portfolio Explains how a radical fall in interest rates make bond investing trickier than ever Explores the historic downgrade of U.S. Treasuries and its possible effects on government bonds If you're an investor looking for a resource that helps you understand, evaluate, and incorporate bonds into your portfolio, Bond Investing For Dummies has you covered.
Author: Joachim Klement
Author: Joachim Klement
Author: Rob Berger
Author: Ben Carlson
Author: Riccardo Rebonato
Author: Paul Sundell
Author: United States. Congress. Joint Economic Committee
Author: Moorad Choudhry
Author: Mr.Tigran Poghosyan
Author: Laura Jaramillo
Author: Russell Wild