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Bayesian Filtering and Smoothing

Bayesian Filtering and Smoothing PDF Author: Simo Särkkä
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 110703065X
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 255

Book Description
A unified Bayesian treatment of the state-of-the-art filtering, smoothing, and parameter estimation algorithms for non-linear state space models.

Bayesian Filtering and Smoothing

Bayesian Filtering and Smoothing PDF Author: Simo Särkkä
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 110703065X
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 255

Book Description
A unified Bayesian treatment of the state-of-the-art filtering, smoothing, and parameter estimation algorithms for non-linear state space models.

Bayesian Filtering and Smoothing

Bayesian Filtering and Smoothing PDF Author: Simo Särkkä
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 9781107619289
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 0

Book Description
Filtering and smoothing methods are used to produce an accurate estimate of the state of a time-varying system based on multiple observational inputs (data). Interest in these methods has exploded in recent years, with numerous applications emerging in fields such as navigation, aerospace engineering, telecommunications and medicine. This compact, informal introduction for graduate students and advanced undergraduates presents the current state-of-the-art filtering and smoothing methods in a unified Bayesian framework. Readers learn what non-linear Kalman filters and particle filters are, how they are related, and their relative advantages and disadvantages. They also discover how state-of-the-art Bayesian parameter estimation methods can be combined with state-of-the-art filtering and smoothing algorithms. The book's practical and algorithmic approach assumes only modest mathematical prerequisites. Examples include MATLAB computations, and the numerous end-of-chapter exercises include computational assignments. MATLAB/GNU Octave source code is available for download at www.cambridge.org/sarkka, promoting hands-on work with the methods.

Bayesian Filtering and Smoothing

Bayesian Filtering and Smoothing PDF Author: Simo Särkkä
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1108926649
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 437

Book Description
A Bayesian treatment of the state-of-the-art filtering, smoothing, and parameter estimation algorithms for non-linear state space models.

Bayesian Bounds for Parameter Estimation and Nonlinear Filtering/Tracking

Bayesian Bounds for Parameter Estimation and Nonlinear Filtering/Tracking PDF Author: Harry L. Van Trees
Publisher: Wiley-IEEE Press
ISBN: 9780470120958
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 951

Book Description
The first comprehensive development of Bayesian Bounds for parameter estimation and nonlinear filtering/tracking Bayesian estimation plays a central role in many signal processing problems encountered in radar, sonar, communications, seismology, and medical diagnosis. There are often highly nonlinear problems for which analytic evaluation of the exact performance is intractable. A widely used technique is to find bounds on the performance of any estimator and compare the performance of various estimators to these bounds. This book provides a comprehensive overview of the state of the art in Bayesian Bounds. It addresses two related problems: the estimation of multiple parameters based on noisy measurements and the estimation of random processes, either continuous or discrete, based on noisy measurements. An extensive introductory chapter provides an overview of Bayesian estimation and the interrelationship and applicability of the various Bayesian Bounds for both static parameters and random processes. It provides the context for the collection of papers that are included. This book will serve as a comprehensive reference for engineers and statisticians interested in both theory and application. It is also suitable as a text for a graduate seminar or as a supplementary reference for an estimation theory course.

Applied Stochastic Differential Equations

Applied Stochastic Differential Equations PDF Author: Simo Särkkä
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1316510085
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 327

Book Description
With this hands-on introduction readers will learn what SDEs are all about and how they should use them in practice.

Bayesian Inference of State Space Models

Bayesian Inference of State Space Models PDF Author: Kostas Triantafyllopoulos
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 303076124X
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 503

Book Description
Bayesian Inference of State Space Models: Kalman Filtering and Beyond offers a comprehensive introduction to Bayesian estimation and forecasting for state space models. The celebrated Kalman filter, with its numerous extensions, takes centre stage in the book. Univariate and multivariate models, linear Gaussian, non-linear and non-Gaussian models are discussed with applications to signal processing, environmetrics, economics and systems engineering. Over the past years there has been a growing literature on Bayesian inference of state space models, focusing on multivariate models as well as on non-linear and non-Gaussian models. The availability of time series data in many fields of science and industry on the one hand, and the development of low-cost computational capabilities on the other, have resulted in a wealth of statistical methods aimed at parameter estimation and forecasting. This book brings together many of these methods, presenting an accessible and comprehensive introduction to state space models. A number of data sets from different disciplines are used to illustrate the methods and show how they are applied in practice. The R package BTSA, created for the book, includes many of the algorithms and examples presented. The book is essentially self-contained and includes a chapter summarising the prerequisites in undergraduate linear algebra, probability and statistics. An up-to-date and complete account of state space methods, illustrated by real-life data sets and R code, this textbook will appeal to a wide range of students and scientists, notably in the disciplines of statistics, systems engineering, signal processing, data science, finance and econometrics. With numerous exercises in each chapter, and prerequisite knowledge conveniently recalled, it is suitable for upper undergraduate and graduate courses.

Smoothness Priors Analysis of Time Series

Smoothness Priors Analysis of Time Series PDF Author: Genshiro Kitagawa
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1461207614
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 265

Book Description
Smoothness Priors Analysis of Time Series addresses some of the problems of modeling stationary and nonstationary time series primarily from a Bayesian stochastic regression "smoothness priors" state space point of view. Prior distributions on model coefficients are parametrized by hyperparameters. Maximizing the likelihood of a small number of hyperparameters permits the robust modeling of a time series with relatively complex structure and a very large number of implicitly inferred parameters. The critical statistical ideas in smoothness priors are the likelihood of the Bayesian model and the use of likelihood as a measure of the goodness of fit of the model. The emphasis is on a general state space approach in which the recursive conditional distributions for prediction, filtering, and smoothing are realized using a variety of nonstandard methods including numerical integration, a Gaussian mixture distribution-two filter smoothing formula, and a Monte Carlo "particle-path tracing" method in which the distributions are approximated by many realizations. The methods are applicable for modeling time series with complex structures.

Computational Bayesian Statistics

Computational Bayesian Statistics PDF Author: M. Antónia Amaral Turkman
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1108481035
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 256

Book Description
This integrated introduction to fundamentals, computation, and software is your key to understanding and using advanced Bayesian methods.

Sequential Monte Carlo Methods in Practice

Sequential Monte Carlo Methods in Practice PDF Author: Arnaud Doucet
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1475734379
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 590

Book Description
Monte Carlo methods are revolutionizing the on-line analysis of data in many fileds. They have made it possible to solve numerically many complex, non-standard problems that were previously intractable. This book presents the first comprehensive treatment of these techniques.

An Introduction to Sequential Monte Carlo

An Introduction to Sequential Monte Carlo PDF Author: Nicolas Chopin
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3030478459
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 390

Book Description
This book provides a general introduction to Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods, also known as particle filters. These methods have become a staple for the sequential analysis of data in such diverse fields as signal processing, epidemiology, machine learning, population ecology, quantitative finance, and robotics. The coverage is comprehensive, ranging from the underlying theory to computational implementation, methodology, and diverse applications in various areas of science. This is achieved by describing SMC algorithms as particular cases of a general framework, which involves concepts such as Feynman-Kac distributions, and tools such as importance sampling and resampling. This general framework is used consistently throughout the book. Extensive coverage is provided on sequential learning (filtering, smoothing) of state-space (hidden Markov) models, as this remains an important application of SMC methods. More recent applications, such as parameter estimation of these models (through e.g. particle Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques) and the simulation of challenging probability distributions (in e.g. Bayesian inference or rare-event problems), are also discussed. The book may be used either as a graduate text on Sequential Monte Carlo methods and state-space modeling, or as a general reference work on the area. Each chapter includes a set of exercises for self-study, a comprehensive bibliography, and a “Python corner,” which discusses the practical implementation of the methods covered. In addition, the book comes with an open source Python library, which implements all the algorithms described in the book, and contains all the programs that were used to perform the numerical experiments.