Author: Ms. Ruo Chen Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 45
Book Description
Slower passthrough of policy interest rate hikes to deposit rates relative to their loan rates has led to sharply wider bank net interest margins. Combined with resilient asset quality, wider net interest margins supported record profits for European banks in 2023. Drawing on historical data from the balance sheets and income statements of over 2,500 European banks, this paper shows that abnormally high profits are expected to fade soon as interest income will decline, once policy rates start being lowered, while higher impairment costs historically have weighed on profits with a lag. Moreover, a number of structural factors that have eroded the performance of European banks in the past two decades have largely remained unaddressed and will continue being a drag on profits and capital. Therefore, policymakers should encourage banks to preserve capital buffers and build resilience to future shocks, while exercising caution when considering taxes on profits or other measures that could divert potential sources of capital from banks.
Author: Morgan Maneely Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 26
Book Description
Since 2022, EU banks have been enjoying historically high profits. The profits are mostly driven by the delayed pass-through of the rapid monetary policy tightening to deposit rates and as such are likely transitory. Against this background, almost half of EU countries have introduced new taxes on banks. This paper documents the significant diversity in the design of the new bank taxes—in terms of their tax base, rate, duration, and burden. The paper discusses several trade-offs in the design of bank taxes and argues that an alternative or complementary policy response to temporarily high bank profits is to lock them in as usable bank capital, for example through an increase in countercyclical capital buffer rates.
Author: International Monetary Fund. European Dept. Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 100
Book Description
The euro area economy has been resilient in the face of multiple, large shocks, including the pandemic, Russia’s gas shut-off, and fallout from the war in Ukraine. Nonetheless, the adverse shocks have had persistent effects which shape economic prospects. Energy-intensive industries, in particular, have struggled to adjust to higher input costs and continue to underperform. Despite subdued overall activity, employment growth remains robust. Inflation has declined significantly from its late-2022 peak in response to the ECB’s policy tightening and the decline in commodity prices.
Author: Ms.TengTeng Xu Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 1484393805 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 54
Book Description
We analyze how bank profitability impacts financial stability from both theoretical and empirical perspectives. We first develop a theoretical model of the relationship between bank profitability and financial stability by exploring the role of non-interest income and retail-oriented business models. We then conduct panel regression analysis to examine the empirical determinants of bank risks and profitability, and how the level and the source of bank profitability affect risks for 431 publicly traded banks (U.S., advanced Europe, and GSIBs) from 2004 to 2017. Results reveal that profitability is negatively associated with both a bank’s contribution to systemic risk and its idiosyncratic risk, and an over-reliance on non-interest income, wholesale funding and leverage is associated with higher risks. Low competition is associated with low idiosyncratic risk but a high contribution to systemic risk. Lastly, the problem loans ratio and the cost-to-income ratio are found to be key factors that influence bank profitability. The paper’s findings suggest that policy makers should strive to better understand the source of bank profitability, especially where there is an over-reliance on market-based non-interest income, leverage, and wholesale funding.
Author: Selim Elekdag Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 1513516140 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 38
Book Description
This paper explores the determinants of profitability across large euro area banks using a novel approach based on conditional profitability distributions. Real GDP growth and the NPL ratio are shown to be the most reliable determinants of bank profitability. However, the estimated conditional distributions reveal that, while higher growth would raise profits on average, a large swath of banks would most likely continue to struggle even amid a strong economic recovery. Therefore, for some banks, a determined reduction in NPLs combined with cost efficiency improvements and customized changes to their business models appears to be the most promising strategy for durably raising profitability.
Author: Reto Francioni Publisher: Springer ISBN: 3319458485 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 612
Book Description
This book underscores the complexity of the equity markets, the challenges they face, and the fact that they are still a work in process. Three interacting forces drive market change: competition, technology change, and regulatory change. The markets have one major objective in particular to achieve: the delivery of accurate price discovery for both traders and the broader market. Are we getting it? Are competition, technology, and regulation acting together to improve market quality, or are they adding to the complexity of the markets and making accurate price discovery harder to achieve? The difficulty of addressing these issues and reaching a consensus regarding public policy is reflected in the diverse opinions expressed in this book. From an institutional perspective, the volume’s contributors highlight the interconnectedness of all aspects of the internal and external environment within which exchange organizations act. Equity Markets in Transition underscores how technological evolution and recent regulatory changes have influenced the business, and how these developments have opened new possibilities for exchange organizations and for equity markets as a whole, including such issues as the impact of equity markets on job creation. The book combines both a theoretical and a practical approach. Part I presents a theoretical overview of the international equity market business, including an overall description of the value chain of stock trading that includes deep dives on every decisive step. Part II contains contributions from various business specialists who have specific practical and academic knowledge of the different steps. Equity Markets in Transition represents a unique combination of theoretical and practical analysis that offers first-hand insights on all relevant interactions and interrelations among the various parts of the exchange business, with an emphasis on facilitating analysis of the status quo and of emerging trends regarding business models, regulation, and the development of the competitor, customer and investor sides.
Author: Paolo Sironi Publisher: John Wiley & Sons ISBN: 1119756979 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 278
Book Description
Discover the future of the financial services industry with this insightful new resource on Contextual and Conscious Banking In Banks and Fintech on Platform Economies: Contextual and Conscious Banking, accomplished fintech professional and author Paolo Sironi delivers an insightful examination of how platform theory, born outside of financial services, will make its way inside banking and financial markets to radically transform the way firms do business. You’ll learn why the financial services industry must master the necessary shift of focus from selling business outputs to selling client outcomes. You’ll also discover how to steer the industry towards new forms of digital transformation underpinned by Contextual Banking and Conscious Banking platform strategies that will benefit stakeholders of all kinds. This important book: Describes the shift in mindset necessary to help banks strengthen and extend the reach of their Banking-as-a-Service and Banking-as-a-Platform operations. Shows how a renewed interpretation of fundamental uncertainty inspires the usage of exponential technologies to achieve architectural resilience, and open the reference theory to spring new business models centered on clients’ and ecosystems’ antifragility. Financial services industry can break-out from a narrow space of value-generation to reclaim top spot against bigtech contenders, enjoying greater flexibility and adaptability at lower digital costs Perfect for CEOs, business leaders, regulators, fintech entrepreneurs, wealth managers, behavioral finance researchers and professionals working at financial technology companies, Banks and Fintech on Platform Economieswill also earn a place in the libraries of bankers seeking a firm grasp of the rapidly evolving outcome economy and a view about the future of the industry.
Author: Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 64
Book Description
The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists is the premier public resource on scientific and technological developments that impact global security. Founded by Manhattan Project Scientists, the Bulletin's iconic "Doomsday Clock" stimulates solutions for a safer world.
Author: Ms. Ruo Chen
Author: Morgan Maneely
Author: International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
Author: Ms.TengTeng Xu
Author: Selim Elekdag
Author: Reto Francioni
Author: Paolo Sironi
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