Author: Carl-Axel S. Staël von HolsteinPublisher:
ISBN:
Category : Bayesian statistical decision theory
Languages : en
Pages : 248
Book Description
Assessment and Evaluation of Subjective Probability Distributions
Author: Carl-Axel S. Staël von HolsteinPublisher:
ISBN:
Category : Bayesian statistical decision theory
Languages : en
Pages : 248
Book Description
Research Paper RM.
Author: Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Forests and forestry
Languages : en
Pages : 248
Book Description
Analysing and Aiding Decision Processes
Author: P. HumphreysPublisher: Elsevier
ISBN: 0080866689
Category : Psychology
Languages : en
Pages : 567
Book Description
This book contains an edited selection of papers presented at the Eighth Research Conference on Subjective Probability, Utility and Decision Making, held in Budapest. Together they span a wide range of new developments in studies of decision making, the practice of decision analysis and the development of decision-aiding technology.The volume is arranged in sections: Societal Decision Making; Organizational Decision Making; Aiding the Structuring of Small Scale Decision Problems, and Tracing Decision Processes.The emphasis is on decision processes and structures and their applications, rather than formal modelling in isolation, thus reflecting current developments in research and practice which follow from the understanding of the nature and operation of decision theoretical models gained during the 1970's.The fifth section, A Symposium on the Validity of Studies on Heuristics and Biases, is of a different nature. The papers take stock of the considerable volume of work investigation ``heuristics and biases'' in decision making over the past decade, and their implication for theory and practice.
Item Banking: Interactive Testing and Self-Assessment
Author: Dieudonne A. LeclercqPublisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3642580335
Category : Education
Languages : en
Pages : 275
Book Description
Assessment has long been recognized as a key feature in learning efficacy, especially through formative evaluation. Item banking, the storage and classification of test items, is an essential part of systematic assessment. This volume is based on a NATO Advanced Research Workshop held as part of the Special Programme on Advanced Educational Technology. The workshop brought together scholars from around the world to discuss and critically analyze the issues and problems associated with Subjective Probability Measurement (SPM) or the more generic research area called self-assessment. Recent advances in computer technology (expert systems, interactive video disks, and hypermedia) along with the developing sophistication of self-assessment scoring systems based on SPM made this conference particularly important and timely. The book is divided into three main parts: - The input: item banking and hypermedia - The process: subjective probabilities - The output: teaching and learning feedbacks. In summary, although SPM is a difficult theoretical concept for most educators to comprehend, the sophisticated nature of modern computer systems coupled with comprehensive formative and summative evaluation and self-assessment systems make SPM transparent to the user.
NBS Special Publication
Author: Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Weights and measures
Languages : en
Pages : 582
Book Description
Probability Distributions Used in Reliability Engineering
Author: Andrew N O'ConnorPublisher: RIAC
ISBN: 1933904062
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 220
Book Description
The book provides details on 22 probability distributions. Each distribution section provides a graphical visualization and formulas for distribution parameters, along with distribution formulas. Common statistics such as moments and percentile formulas are followed by likelihood functions and in many cases the derivation of maximum likelihood estimates. Bayesian non-informative and conjugate priors are provided followed by a discussion on the distribution characteristics and applications in reliability engineering.
Decision Making and Change in Human Affairs
Author: H. JungermannPublisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 9401012768
Category : Social Science
Languages : en
Pages : 525
Book Description
It is only just recently that people have the tools to judge how well they are doing when making decisions. These tools were conceptualized in the seventeenth century. Since then many people have worked to sharpen the concepts, and to explore how these can be applied further. The problems of decision-making and the theory developed correspondingly have drawn the interest of mathematicians, psychologists, statisticians, economists, philosophers, organizational experts, sociologists, not only for their general relevance, but also for a more intrinsic fascination. There are quite a few institutionalized activities to disseminate results and stimulate research in decision-making. For about a decade now a European organizational structure, centered mainly around the psy chological interest in decision-making. There have been conferences in Hamburg, Amsterdam, Uxbridge, Rome and Darmstadt. Conference papers have been partly published+. The organization has thus stabilized, and its re latively long history makes it interesting to see what kind of developments occurred, within the area of interest.
Behavioral Decision Making
Author: George WrightPublisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1461323916
Category : Psychology
Languages : en
Pages : 570
Book Description
Uncertainty
Author: Millett Granger MorganPublisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 9780521427449
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 354
Book Description
A risk analysis textbook which is intended as a basic text for students as well as a reference for practitioners and researchers. It provides a basis for policy analysis and draws upon a variety of case studies.
The Economic Value of Improved Fuels and Fire Behavior Information
Author: Stephen M. BarragerPublisher:
ISBN:
Category : Fire ecology
Languages : en
Pages : 40
Book Description