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Author: David Schlichtig Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 0
Book Description
Sports gambling is a rapidly expanding industry throughout the United States, providing many individuals with the opportunity to achieve profits through several platforms and applications -- much like the financial markets. While these markets are structured differently at their core, many qualitative similarities exist that suggest that profitable investment can be accomplished through either market. Investors typically analyze a number of accounting and financial metrics to assess which financial assets should be added to their portfolios; with an abundance of information easily accessible to the public, a similar analytical approach -- using performance statistics and predictive modeling -- can be used in the sports betting market to determine on which outcomes to wager. This thesis explores the feasibility of predictive modeling strategies in the sports betting market of being an alternative to traditional investment strategies. Building on techniques explored in previous literature, a probit regression model using extensive, historical NFL data is developed and refined, and its returns are compared to those observed in the financial markets during the 2022 NFL season. The results of this study suggest that exploitable arbitrage opportunities exist that allow individuals to achieve returns at a rate greater than the financial markets, providing promising evidence than sports betting can be an alternative financial asset class.
Author: David Schlichtig Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 0
Book Description
Sports gambling is a rapidly expanding industry throughout the United States, providing many individuals with the opportunity to achieve profits through several platforms and applications -- much like the financial markets. While these markets are structured differently at their core, many qualitative similarities exist that suggest that profitable investment can be accomplished through either market. Investors typically analyze a number of accounting and financial metrics to assess which financial assets should be added to their portfolios; with an abundance of information easily accessible to the public, a similar analytical approach -- using performance statistics and predictive modeling -- can be used in the sports betting market to determine on which outcomes to wager. This thesis explores the feasibility of predictive modeling strategies in the sports betting market of being an alternative to traditional investment strategies. Building on techniques explored in previous literature, a probit regression model using extensive, historical NFL data is developed and refined, and its returns are compared to those observed in the financial markets during the 2022 NFL season. The results of this study suggest that exploitable arbitrage opportunities exist that allow individuals to achieve returns at a rate greater than the financial markets, providing promising evidence than sports betting can be an alternative financial asset class.
Author: William S. Mallios Publisher: John Wiley & Sons ISBN: 1118099532 Category : Mathematics Languages : en Pages : 207
Book Description
A guide to modeling analyses for financial and sports gambling markets, with a focus on major current events Addressing the highly competitive and risky environments of current-day financial and sports gambling markets, Forecasting in Financial and Sports Gambling Markets details the dynamic process of constructing effective forecasting rules based on both graphical patterns and adaptive drift modeling (ADM) of cointegrated time series. The book uniquely identifies periods of inefficiency that these markets oscillate through and develops profitable forecasting models that capitalize on irrational behavior exhibited during these periods. Providing valuable insights based on the author's firsthand experience, this book utilizes simple, yet unique, candlestick charts to identify optimal time periods in financial markets and optimal games in sports gambling markets for which forecasting models are likely to provide profitable trading and wagering outcomes. Featuring detailed examples that utilize actual data, the book addresses various topics that promote financial and mathematical literacy, including: Higher order ARMA processes in financial markets The effects of gambling shocks in sports gambling markets Cointegrated time series with model drift Modeling volatility Throughout the book, interesting real-world applications are presented, and numerous graphical procedures illustrate favorable trading and betting opportunities, which are accompanied by mathematical developments in adaptive model forecasting and risk assessment. A related web site features updated reviews in sports and financial forecasting and various links on the topic. Forecasting in Financial and Sports Gambling Markets is an excellent book for courses on financial economics and time series analysis at the upper-undergraduate and graduate levels. The book is also a valuable reference for researchers and practitioners working in the areas of retail markets, quant funds, hedge funds, and time series. Also, anyone with a general interest in learning about how to profit from the financial and sports gambling markets will find this book to be a valuable resource.
Author: Plácido Rodríguez Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing ISBN: 1785364553 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 213
Book Description
This unique book delves into a number of intriguing issues and addresses several pertinent questions including, should gambling markets be privatized? Is the ‘hot hand’ hypothesis real or a myth? Are the ‘many’ smarter than the ‘few’ in estimating betting odds? How are prices set in fixed odds betting markets? The book also explores the informational efficiency of betting markets and the prevalence of corruption and illegal betting in sports.
Author: Joe Peta Publisher: Penguin ISBN: 0451415175 Category : Sports & Recreation Languages : en Pages : 386
Book Description
An ex–Wall Street trader improved on Moneyball’s famed sabermetrics and beat the Vegas odds with his own betting methods. Here is the story of how Joe Peta turned fantasy baseball into a dream come true. Joe Peta turned his back on his Wall Street trading career to pursue an ingenious—and incredibly risky—dream. He would apply his risk-analysis skills to Major League Baseball, and treat the sport like the S&P 500. In Trading Bases, Peta takes us on his journey from the ballpark in San Francisco to the trading floors and baseball bars of New York and the sportsbooks of Las Vegas, telling the story of how he created a baseball “hedge fund” with an astounding 41 percent return in his first year. And he explains the unique methods he developed. Along the way, Peta provides insight into the Wall Street crisis he managed to escape: the fragility of the midnineties investment model; the disgraced former CEO of Lehman Brothers, who recruited Peta; and the high-adrenaline atmosphere where million-dollar sports-betting pools were common.
Author: Tobias Moskowitz Publisher: Crown ISBN: 0307591808 Category : Sports & Recreation Languages : en Pages : 290
Book Description
In Scorecasting, University of Chicago behavioral economist Tobias Moskowitz teams up with veteran Sports Illustrated writer L. Jon Wertheim to overturn some of the most cherished truisms of sports, and reveal the hidden forces that shape how basketball, baseball, football, and hockey games are played, won and lost. Drawing from Moskowitz's original research, as well as studies from fellow economists such as bestselling author Richard Thaler, the authors look at: the influence home-field advantage has on the outcomes of games in all sports and why it exists; the surprising truth about the universally accepted axiom that defense wins championships; the subtle biases that umpires exhibit in calling balls and strikes in key situations; the unintended consequences of referees' tendencies in every sport to "swallow the whistle," and more. Among the insights that Scorecasting reveals: • Why Tiger Woods is prone to the same mistake in high-pressure putting situations that you and I are • Why professional teams routinely overvalue draft picks • The myth of momentum or the "hot hand" in sports, and why so many fans, coaches, and broadcasters fervently subscribe to it • Why NFL coaches rarely go for a first down on fourth-down situations--even when their reluctance to do so reduces their chances of winning. In an engaging narrative that takes us from the putting greens of Augusta to the grid iron of a small parochial high school in Arkansas, Scorecasting will forever change how you view the game, whatever your favorite sport might be.
Author: Jeffrey Ma Publisher: St. Martin's Press ISBN: 0230109683 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 265
Book Description
As part of the notorious MIT Team depicted in Ben Mezrich's now classic Bringing Down the House, Jeff Ma used math and statistics to master the game of blackjack and reap handsome rewards at casinos. Years later, Ma has inspired not only a bestselling novel and hit movie, but has also started three different companies—the latest of which, Citizen Sports, is an innovative marriage of sports, betting, and digital technology—and launched a successful corporate speaking career. The House Advantage reveals Ma's cutting-edge mathematical insights into the world of statistics and makes them applicable to a wide business audience. He argues that numbers are the key to analyzing nearly everything in the world of business, from how to spot and profit from global market inefficiencies to having multiple backup plans in anticipation of every probability. Ma's stories and business lessons are as intriguing as they are universally applicable.
Author: Sally Gainsbury Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media ISBN: 1461433908 Category : Psychology Languages : en Pages : 154
Book Description
Internet gambling is one of the fastest growing forms of gambling. Global Internet gambling expenditure is predicted to reach US$33.6 billion in 2011. This is higher than worldwide movie box office revenues and represents 9% of the international gambling market. The rapid increase in expenditure of 354% since 2003 has occurred despite Internet gambling being prohibited in several key markets, including the US and China. It also suggests that current regulation may be somewhat outdated and ineffective as more and more people turn to this mode of gambling. Internet gambling is highly accessible with over 2,400 sites available 24/7 through computers, mobile phones, wireless devices and even interactive televisions. Gamblers can now play casino games, bingo, cards and poker, bet on races, sports and even celebrity weddings using over 199 means of electronic payments without leaving the house. Increasing international jurisdictions are legalizing Internet gambling and the constant accessibility of online gambling has critical social implications. Gambling operators are using aggressive advertising campaigns to move into new markets. Internet gambling appears to be particularly appealing to youth, who are gambling online at substantially higher rates than adults. Furthermore, Internet gambling appears to be related to problem gambling, with rates of problem gambling three to four times higher among Internet than non-Internet gamblers, indicating that it may have a substantial social cost. The anonymity of online sports betting poses a significant threat to the integrity of sport at all levels with increasing allegations of match-fixing and cheating. Estimates suggested that 50% of all bets on the 2010 FIFA World Cup were placed online, worth an estimated £500 million. These figures represent a 700% rise in online betting since the 2006 tournament and included many new players that opened online accounts. It is essential that appropriate responses are made by governments, industry professionals and the public in response to Internet gambling. This book will provide a comprehensive and up-to-date overview of Internet gambling, including the social impact and regulatory options. A global outline will include the characteristics and features of the many forms of Internet gambling, including the current market, and participation, and differences between Internet and non-Internet gambling. Specific regional considerations will be explored including regulatory responses and options. Importantly, the social consequences and costs of Internet gambling will be examined, including the impact of online gambling on sports, youth and problem gambling. Strategies for prevention and responsible gambling will be considered as well as expected trends.
Author: Steven S. Skiena Publisher: Cambridge University Press ISBN: 9780521009621 Category : Computers Languages : en Pages : 252
Book Description
A story of using computer simulations and mathematical modeling techniques to predict the outcome of jai-alai matches and bet on them successfully.
Author: David Schlichtig
Author: David Schlichtig
Author: NCR-134 (Committee : U.S.). Conference
Author: William S. Mallios
Author: Plácido Rodríguez
Author: Joe Peta
Author: Tobias Moskowitz
Author: Jeffrey Ma
Author: Sally Gainsbury
Author: Steven S. Skiena
Author: Brian P. Soebbing