Author: Chia-Lin ChangPublisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 27
Book Description
Analyzing and Forecasting Volatility Spillovers and Asymmetries in Major Crude Oil Spot, Forward and Futures Markets
Author: Chia-Lin ChangForecasting Volatility and Spillovers in Crude Oil Spot, Forward and Futures Markets
Author: Chia-Lin ChangVolatility of Oil Prices
Author: Mr.Peter WickhamPublisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451954727
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 20
Book Description
This paper examines the behavior of crude oil prices since 1980, and in particular the volatility of these prices. The empirical analysis covers “spot” prices for one of the key internationally traded crudes, namely Dated Brent Blend. A GARCH (generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic) model, which allows the conditional variance to be time-variant, is estimated for the period which includes the oil price slump of 1986 and the surge in prices in 1990 as a result of the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait. The paper also discusses the growth of futures and derivative markets and the dynamic links between spot and futures markets.
Dynamic Linkages and Volatility Spillover
Author: Bhaskar BagchiPublisher: Emerald Group Publishing
ISBN: 1786355531
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 225
Book Description
This book examines the dynamic relationship and volatility spillovers between crude oil prices, exchange rates and stock markets of emerging economies. Unfortunately very little research has been conducted to analyze the volatility spillovers and dynamic relationship between crude oil prices, exchange rates and stock markets of India.
Asymmetric Volatility Spillover Between Crude Oil and Other Asset Markets
Author: Bo GuanPublisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
Book Description
This study uses the Multiplicative Error Model (MEM) to explore asymmetric volatility spillovers between crude oil and other major asset markets. We have extended the MEM of Engle et al. (2012) and ddd to include asymmetric volatility spillovers and developed the spillover balance as well as asymmetric spillover indexes. We have then allowed these indexes to vary over time. Our results reveal that the stock market is the dominant contributor to volatility spillover, while the crude oil is mostly the volatility spillover recipient. The asymmetric spillover effects are predominantly negative in the stock and crude oil markets and positive in the bond market. We further show that the spillover indexes are dynamic and influenced by specific events, such as the global financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as varying economic conditions.
Forecasting Accuracy of Crude Oil Futures Prices
Author: Mr.Manmohan S. KumarPublisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 56
Book Description
This paper undertakes an investigation into the efficiency of the crude oil futures market and the forecasting accuracy of futures prices. Efficiency of the market is analysed in terms of the expected excess returns to speculation in the futures market. Accuracy of futures prices is compared with that of forecasts using alternative techniques, including time series and econometric models, as well as judgemental forecasts. The paper also explores the predictive power of futures prices by comparing the forecasting accuracy of end-of-month prices with weekly and monthly averages, using a variety of different weighting schemes. Finally, the paper investigates whether the forecasts from using futures prices can be improved by incorporating information from other forecasting techniques.
Asymmetric Volatility Spillover Effects Between Crude Oil and Other Financial Markets
Author: Bo GuanPublisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
Book Description
This paper uses a Multiplicative Error Model (MEM) framework to investigate the asymmetric volatility spillovers among four major global asset markets: stock, bond, gold, and crude oil. It provides evidence that those spillovers are influenced by different events and economic conditions that vary across time. It identifies markets that are net providers and net takers of spillovers in each market. Specifically, we find that the stock market is the net provider, while the bond and gold markets play a mixed role. We also show that the spillover effects are mostly negative for the stock and crude oil markets and mostly positive for the bond market. We further shed light on the role of safe-haven assets at times of market turmoil by showing that these assets can play a significant role in mitigating spillover effects and providing investors with hedging opportunities. These findings have important implications for investors, who are seeking to manage risks, and policymakers, who are interested in stabilizing the markets. Keywords: asymmetric volatility spillovers, global asset markets, Multiplicative Error Model (MEM), spillover balance index.
Research, Innovation, and Industry Impacts of the Metaverse
Author: Kumar, JeeteshPublisher: IGI Global
ISBN:
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 361
Book Description
Imagine a world where the digital and physical worlds intertwine seamlessly - this is the metaverse. This complex digital environment has the potential to revolutionize our lives in a multitude of ways. Yet the lack of standardized frameworks and guidelines creates a fragmented ecosystem with varying levels of security, privacy, and usability that can hinder the integration of the metaverse into our daily lives in cohesive, safe, and beneficial ways. Research, Innovation, and Industry Impacts of the Metaverse offers a comprehensive solution to the challenges posed by the metaverse. It serves as a roadmap for researchers, academics, and practitioners by providing a structured framework for exploring the metaverse. It covers foundational technologies, academic research, real-world applications, and challenges, offering insights into defining the metaverse, its technologies, and future potential. The book equips readers with the knowledge and tools needed to navigate the complexities of the metaverse and contribute to its responsible development. Showcasing the latest research contributions, this book initiates academic discourse and innovation. It fosters interdisciplinary collaboration, ensuring a holistic understanding of the metaverse's impact on society, education, commerce, and more, while empowering readers to harness the metaverse's full potential.
Stock Market Volatility
Author: Greg N. GregoriouPublisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 1420099558
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 654
Book Description
Up-to-Date Research Sheds New Light on This Area Taking into account the ongoing worldwide financial crisis, Stock Market Volatility provides insight to better understand volatility in various stock markets. This timely volume is one of the first to draw on a range of international authorities who offer their expertise on market volatility in devel
The Role of Speculation in Oil Markets
Author: Bassam FattouhPublisher:
ISBN: 9781907555442
Category : Petroleum products
Languages : en
Pages : 25
Book Description