Determinants of Earnings Forecast Error, Earnings Forecast Revision and Earnings Forecast Accuracy PDF Download
Are you looking for read ebook online? Search for your book and save it on your Kindle device, PC, phones or tablets. Download Determinants of Earnings Forecast Error, Earnings Forecast Revision and Earnings Forecast Accuracy PDF full book. Access full book title Determinants of Earnings Forecast Error, Earnings Forecast Revision and Earnings Forecast Accuracy by Sebastian Gell. Download full books in PDF and EPUB format.
Author: Sebastian Gell Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media ISBN: 3834939374 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 144
Book Description
Earnings forecasts are ubiquitous in today’s financial markets. They are essential indicators of future firm performance and a starting point for firm valuation. Extremely inaccurate and overoptimistic forecasts during the most recent financial crisis have raised serious doubts regarding the reliability of such forecasts. This thesis therefore investigates new determinants of forecast errors and accuracy. In addition, new determinants of forecast revisions are examined. More specifically, the thesis answers the following questions: 1) How do analyst incentives lead to forecast errors? 2) How do changes in analyst incentives lead to forecast revisions?, and 3) What factors drive differences in forecast accuracy?
Author: Sebastian Gell Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media ISBN: 3834939374 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 144
Book Description
Earnings forecasts are ubiquitous in today’s financial markets. They are essential indicators of future firm performance and a starting point for firm valuation. Extremely inaccurate and overoptimistic forecasts during the most recent financial crisis have raised serious doubts regarding the reliability of such forecasts. This thesis therefore investigates new determinants of forecast errors and accuracy. In addition, new determinants of forecast revisions are examined. More specifically, the thesis answers the following questions: 1) How do analyst incentives lead to forecast errors? 2) How do changes in analyst incentives lead to forecast revisions?, and 3) What factors drive differences in forecast accuracy?
Author: Lawrence D. Brown Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 8
Book Description
Dreman and Berry (1995) have offered a perspective on analyst earnings forecast errors and their implications for security analysis. Among other arguments, they contend that the errors are too large to be reliably used by investors, the forecasts are less accurate than forecasts by time-series models, the errors are increasing over time, the analysts' forecasts are too optimistic, and the investment community relies too heavily on analyst forecasts. An alternative perspective on these issues is offered. The argument is that analysts' forecast errors are within 3% of an appropriate benchmark (namely, stock price), that their forecasts generally are significantly more accurate than forecasts by naive or sophisticated time-series models, that analyst forecast errors have not been increasing over time, that analysts have been too pessimistic in recent years, and that the investment community, by placing too much weight on forecasts made by time-series models, relies too little on analysts' forecasts.
Author: Cintia M. Easterwood Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages :
Book Description
We reexamine the serial correlation of forecast errors using a method that allows analysts to react differently to good and bad news. Our method also controls for the influence of a normal non-zero, firm-specific component of forecast error. Our results indicate that forecast errors exhibit positive serial correlation when there is bad news in the prior forecast error, negative serial correlation when there is good news in the prior forecast error, and no serial correlation when there is no news in the prior forecast error. These findings are consistent with analysts having optimistic reactions to new information.
Author: Tanja Klettke Publisher: Springer Science & Business ISBN: 3658056347 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 120
Book Description
Financial analysts provide information in their research reports and thereby help forming expectations of a firm’s future business performance. Thus, it is essential to recognize analysts who provide the most precise forecasts and the accounting literature identifies characteristics that help finding the most accurate analysts. Tanja Klettke detects new relationships and identifies two new determinants of earnings forecast accuracy. These new determinants are an analyst’s “general forecast effort” and the “number of supplementary forecasts”. Within two comprehensive empirical investigations she proves these measures’ power to explain accuracy differences. Tanja Klettke’s research helps investors and researchers to identify more accurate earnings forecasts.
Author: Patricia C. O'Brien Publisher: Forgotten Books ISBN: 9780332528458 Category : Mathematics Languages : en Pages : 36
Book Description
Excerpt from Forecast Accuracy of Individual Analysts: A Nine-Industry Study Current databases of analysts' forecasts of corporate earnings include predictions from thousands of individuals employed at hundreds of financial service institutions. The purpose of this paper is to analyze whether it is possible to distinguish forecasters with superior ability on the basis of ex Egg; forecast accuracy from panel data. About the Publisher Forgotten Books publishes hundreds of thousands of rare and classic books. Find more at www.forgottenbooks.com This book is a reproduction of an important historical work. Forgotten Books uses state-of-the-art technology to digitally reconstruct the work, preserving the original format whilst repairing imperfections present in the aged copy. In rare cases, an imperfection in the original, such as a blemish or missing page, may be replicated in our edition. We do, however, repair the vast majority of imperfections successfully; any imperfections that remain are intentionally left to preserve the state of such historical works.
Author: Sebastian Gell
Author: Sebastian Gell
Author: Pei-Gin Hsieh
Author: Lawrence D. Brown
Author: William Kross
Author: Cintia M. Easterwood
Author: William Kross
Author: Tanja Klettke
Author: Wenjuan Xie
Author: PATRICIA C. O'BRIEN
Author: Patricia C. O'Brien