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Author: S.S. Halli Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media ISBN: 9780306439971 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 258
Book Description
Utilizing the most recent developments in statistical modeling as applied to population studies, the authors interpret results obtained from available software and apply these results to current research issues.
Author: Lincoln H. Day Publisher: Taylor & Francis ISBN: 1000952126 Category : Social Science Languages : en Pages : 228
Book Description
Originally published in 1983, this book examines the problems of fertility in predicting population trends. It varies a great deal according to mothers’ ages, ethnic groups, place and time. It is important for demographers, planners and policy-makers to know precisely what fertility differences are, what gives rise to them and how they can be handled and predicted statistically. This volume discusses these challenges in detail and analyses information to show how factors like religion, place of birth and socio-economic grouping affect fertility. .
Author: Stanley K. Smith Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media ISBN: 9400775512 Category : Social Science Languages : en Pages : 417
Book Description
This book focuses on the methodology and analysis of state and local population projections. It describes the most commonly used data sources and application techniques for four types of projection methods: cohort-component, trend extrapolation, structural models, and microsimulation. It covers the components of population growth, sources of data, the formation of assumptions, the development of evaluation criteria, and the determinants of forecast accuracy. It considers the strengths and weaknesses of various projection methods and pays special attention to the unique problems that characterize small-area projections. The authors provide practical guidance to demographers, planners, market analysts, and others called on to construct state and local population projections. They use many examples and illustrations and present suggestions for dealing with special populations, unique circumstances, and inadequate or unreliable data. They describe techniques for controlling one set of projections to another, for interpolating between time points, for sub-dividing age groups, and for constructing projections of population-related variables (e.g., school enrollment, households). They discuss the role of judgment and the importance of the political context in which projections are made. They emphasize the “utility” of projections, or their usefulness for decision making in a world of competing demands and limited resources. This comprehensive book will provide readers with an understanding not only of the mechanics of the most commonly used population projection methods, but also of the many complex issues affecting their construction, interpretation, evaluation, and use.
Author: Stanley K. Smith Publisher: Springer ISBN: Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 456
Book Description
This book focuses on the methodology and analysis of state and local population projections. It describes the most commonly used data sources and application techniques within each of three classes of projection methods (cohort-component, trend extrapolation, and structural models) and covers the components of population growth, the formation of assumptions, the development of evaluation criteria, and the determinants of forecast accuracy. It considers the strengths and weaknesses of various projection methods, paying special attention to the unique problems of making projections for small areas, and closes with an examination of technological and methodological changes affecting the production of small-area population projections. The authors provide practical guidance to demographers, planners, and other analysts called on to construct state and local population projections. They use many examples and illustrations and present suggestions for dealing with special populations, unique circumstances, and inadequate or unreliable data; they also describe techniques for controlling one set of projections to another and for interpolating between two projections. They discuss the role of judgment and the importance of the political context in which projections are made. They emphasize the "utility" of projections, or their usefulness for decision making in a world of competing demands and limited resources. This comprehensive book will provide readers with an understanding not only of the mechanics of commonly used population projection methods, but also of the many complex issues affecting their construction, interpretation, evaluation, and use.
Author: S.S. Halli Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media ISBN: 9780306439971 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 258
Book Description
Utilizing the most recent developments in statistical modeling as applied to population studies, the authors interpret results obtained from available software and apply these results to current research issues.
Author: Louis Henry Publisher: Elsevier ISBN: 1483261212 Category : Social Science Languages : en Pages : 316
Book Description
Population: Analysis and Models presents a discussion of demographic analysis and models. This book has been translated from French to provide access to an integrated textbook aimed at the French equivalent of undergraduates. The book is organized into two parts. Part I is devoted to analysis and is subdivided into two sections. The first section deals with elementary analysis or the steps that must precede an analysis of any complexity. It comprises three chapters: after an introduction, it presents the analysis of the results of one census followed by a summary of the analysis of population change during a year. The second section focuses on the analysis of demographic phenomena—nuptiality, fertility, mortality, mobility (migration) and on the population change that is their result. Part II deals with models, namely models of population dynamics, models of family formation following marriage, and nuptiality models. This book has been written for students with very diverse backgrounds, some of whom may have scarcely more than an elementary knowledge of algebra.
Author: Everett S. Lee Publisher: SAGE Publications, Incorporated ISBN: Category : Reference Languages : en Pages : 256
Book Description
Five innovative methods of establishing the population characteristics of small areas are introduced and evaluated in this book. Changes in communities can be slow, but recent history has seen huge growth in some areas and depopulation of others. As a result, population estimating has grown up under pressure from legislators and administrators who place a high premium on validity. The contributors to this volume provide ideas that have been tested in practice, anticipate the usual types of error, and are suitable for different purposes.
Author: National Research Council Publisher: National Academies Press ISBN: 0309261961 Category : Social Science Languages : en Pages : 230
Book Description
The United States is in the midst of a major demographic shift. In the coming decades, people aged 65 and over will make up an increasingly large percentage of the population: The ratio of people aged 65+ to people aged 20-64 will rise by 80%. This shift is happening for two reasons: people are living longer, and many couples are choosing to have fewer children and to have those children somewhat later in life. The resulting demographic shift will present the nation with economic challenges, both to absorb the costs and to leverage the benefits of an aging population. Aging and the Macroeconomy: Long-Term Implications of an Older Population presents the fundamental factors driving the aging of the U.S. population, as well as its societal implications and likely long-term macroeconomic effects in a global context. The report finds that, while population aging does not pose an insurmountable challenge to the nation, it is imperative that sensible policies are implemented soon to allow companies and households to respond. It offers four practical approaches for preparing resources to support the future consumption of households and for adapting to the new economic landscape.
Author: Andrzej Klimczuk Publisher: BoD – Books on Demand ISBN: 1839691875 Category : Social Science Languages : en Pages : 242
Book Description
Demographic Analysis - Selected Concepts, Tools, and Applications presents basic definitions, practical techniques, and methods, as well as examples of studies based on the usage of demographic analysis in various institutions and economic entities. The volume covers studies related to population distribution, urbanization, migration, population change and dynamics, aging, longevity, population theories, and population projections. It is an asset to academic and professional communities interested in advancing knowledge on diverse populations in various contexts such as public policies, public services, education, and labor markets. The book aims to help students of demography as well as practitioners of other fields of social sciences and people in government, business, and nonprofit organizations.
Author: S.S. Halli
Author: Lincoln H. Day
Author: Stanley K. Smith
Author: Stanley K. Smith
Author: S.S. Halli
Author: Louis Henry
Author: Everett S. Lee
Author: William Varney Dennis
Author: National Research Council
Author: Andrzej Klimczuk
Author: Robert Woods