An Evaluation of the Potential Housing Demand Projection Model PDF Download

Author: Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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Author: Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 69

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Author: Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation. Research Division
Publisher:
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Category : House construction
Languages : en
Pages : 106

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Author:
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Languages : en
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The need for projections in city planning and the social sciences were examined. The differences between forecasts and projections were discussed and various forecasting methods surveyed. The relationship between forecast types and planning applications was described. The Potential Housing Demand Model (PHD Model) of Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation was examined in detail. An overview of the functioning of the model was presented along with an examination of the three main components of the model: the population projection model, the household projection model and the potential housing demand projection model. Methods of forecast appraisal were reviewed. The main criteria used by researchers were discussed. Accuracy and theoretical coherence were considered the primary criteria of appraisal by all major researchers in this field of inquiry. Correlates of accuracy were presented and discussed. Finally, a representative sample of past research was summarized and the main findings of these investigations presented. The rationale of the study was addressed and the following two objectives were stated: (1) To appraise the performance of the Potential Housing Demand Model in a manner consistent with past research. (2) To determine the performance of the PHD model with respect to the following two general findings of past research: (A) A forecast time horizon is the strongest and most consistent correlate of its accuracy. (B) The essential importance of the validity of core assumptions. The results of the case study analysis generally agreed with the two findings of past research except in the household demand component of the model which did not overestimate the overall level of households less accurately as the forecast horizon extended farther out. Also, in contrast to past research, the PHD model actually predicted a more accurate value for household growth for the entire 25 year period than it did for any 5 year census period.

Author:
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Category :
Languages : en
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Category : Municipal government publications
Languages : en
Pages : 1292

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An indexing, abstracting and document delivery service that covers current Canadian report literature of reference value from government and institutional sources.

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Category : Industrial hygiene
Languages : en
Pages : 52

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Author: Michael A. Stegman
Publisher:
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Category : City planning
Languages : en
Pages : 590

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Author: Daniel L. Stufflebeam
Publisher: Guilford Publications
ISBN: 1462529259
Category : Social Science
Languages : en
Pages : 402

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The authoritative presentation of a leading evaluation approach, this book describes the CIPP (Context, Input, Process, and Product) Model’s origin, concepts, and procedures. Unlike many models, CIPP provides for feedback throughout a program. Richly illustrated with evaluation cases, the book covers methods for engaging stakeholders; designing, budgeting, and contracting evaluations; collecting, analyzing, and reporting information; and conducting metaevaluations. User-friendly features include 26 reproducible checklists and forms and references to relevant computer programs. Purchasers get access to a companion website where they can download and print the reproducible tools as well as supplementary materials, including the CIPP Evaluation Model Checklist. User-Friendly Features *Introduction boxes providing an overview of each chapter. *Within-chapter recaps of key concepts. *End-of-chapter review questions and exercises. *End-of-book glossary. *Appendix listing hundreds of CIPP evaluations across disciplines.

Author: S.H. Putman
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 9780898380118
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 194

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The decade of the 1970's has seen substantial improvement in our under standing of the determinants of urban spatial patterns. It is typical of western science and technology of the past several centuries that these advances in urban spatial analysis have resulted from the efforts of many individuals. No one of these claims to have found the answer; rather, each contributes some additional understanding of a rather complex set of inter related phenomena. All of this most recent work, in one way or another, rests on preliminary analysis work done in the previous ten to fifteen years. Those earlier efforts are the subject of this book. A very few studies of urban spatial patterns were done prior to 1960. However, it was not until then, with the coming of age of electronic data processing machinery, that work began in earnest. Many theories and theoretical models of urban form were postulated, and some were tested. Often the tests were inconclusive or unsuccessful. The theories often lacked consistency and coherence. Some of the testing was inadequate or even inappropriate. Much of the research was done amidst the turmoil (and sometimes chaos) of attempted (and often premature) application. The results were frequently incompletely described, if described at all. Yet, out of all this, there began to emerge some clearer notion of the determinants of urban spatial patterns.