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An Adaptive Multi Level Monte-Carlo Method with Stochastic Bounds for Quantities of Interest in Groundwater Flow with Uncertain Data

An Adaptive Multi Level Monte-Carlo Method with Stochastic Bounds for Quantities of Interest in Groundwater Flow with Uncertain Data PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 214

Book Description
The focus of this work is the introduction of some computable a posteriori error control to the popular multilevel Monte Carlo sampling for PDE with stochastic data. We are especially interested in applications in the geosciences such as groundwater flow with rather rough stochastic fields for the conductive permeability. With a spatial discretisation based on finite elements, a goal functional is defined which encodes the quantity of interest. The devised goal-oriented error estimator enables to determine guaranteed a posteriori error bounds for this quantity. In particular, it allows for the adaptive refinement of the mesh hierarchy used in the multilevel Monte Carlo simulation. In addition to controlling the deterministic error, we also suggest how to treat the stochastic error in probability. Numerical experiments illustrate the performance of the presented adaptive algorithm for a posteriori error control in multilevel Monte Carlo methods. These include a localised goal with problem-adapted meshes and a slit domain example. The latter demonstrates the refinement of regions with low solution regularity based on an inexpensive explicit error estimator in the multilevel algorithm.

An Adaptive Multi Level Monte-Carlo Method with Stochastic Bounds for Quantities of Interest in Groundwater Flow with Uncertain Data

An Adaptive Multi Level Monte-Carlo Method with Stochastic Bounds for Quantities of Interest in Groundwater Flow with Uncertain Data PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 214

Book Description
The focus of this work is the introduction of some computable a posteriori error control to the popular multilevel Monte Carlo sampling for PDE with stochastic data. We are especially interested in applications in the geosciences such as groundwater flow with rather rough stochastic fields for the conductive permeability. With a spatial discretisation based on finite elements, a goal functional is defined which encodes the quantity of interest. The devised goal-oriented error estimator enables to determine guaranteed a posteriori error bounds for this quantity. In particular, it allows for the adaptive refinement of the mesh hierarchy used in the multilevel Monte Carlo simulation. In addition to controlling the deterministic error, we also suggest how to treat the stochastic error in probability. Numerical experiments illustrate the performance of the presented adaptive algorithm for a posteriori error control in multilevel Monte Carlo methods. These include a localised goal with problem-adapted meshes and a slit domain example. The latter demonstrates the refinement of regions with low solution regularity based on an inexpensive explicit error estimator in the multilevel algorithm.

Adaptive Multi-Level Monte Carlo and Stochastic Collocation Methods for Hyperbolic Partial Differential Equations with Random Data on Networks

Adaptive Multi-Level Monte Carlo and Stochastic Collocation Methods for Hyperbolic Partial Differential Equations with Random Data on Networks PDF Author: Elisa Strauch
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

Book Description


Sequential Monte Carlo Methods in Practice

Sequential Monte Carlo Methods in Practice PDF Author: Arnaud Doucet
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1475734379
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 590

Book Description
Monte Carlo methods are revolutionizing the on-line analysis of data in many fileds. They have made it possible to solve numerically many complex, non-standard problems that were previously intractable. This book presents the first comprehensive treatment of these techniques.

Monte Carlo Methods

Monte Carlo Methods PDF Author: Neal Noah Madras
Publisher: American Mathematical Soc.
ISBN: 0821819925
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 238

Book Description
This volume contains the proceedings of the Workshop on Monte Carlo Methods held at The Fields Institute for Research in Mathematical Sciences (Toronto, 1998). The workshop brought together researchers in physics, statistics, and probability. The papers in this volume - of the invited speakers and contributors to the poster session - represent the interdisciplinary emphasis of the conference. Monte Carlo methods have been used intensively in many branches of scientific inquiry. Markov chain methods have been at the forefront of much of this work, serving as the basis of many numerical studies in statistical physics and related areas since the Metropolis algorithm was introduced in 1953. Statisticians and theoretical computer scientists have used these methods in recent years, working on different fundamental research questions, yet using similar Monte Carlo methodology. This volume focuses on Monte Carlo methods that appear to have wide applicability and emphasizes new methods, practical applications and theoretical analysis. It will be of interest to researchers and graduate students who study and/or use Monte Carlo methods in areas of probability, statistics, theoretical physics, or computer science.

Stochastic Modeling of Complex Nonstationary Groundwater Flow Systems

Stochastic Modeling of Complex Nonstationary Groundwater Flow Systems PDF Author: Chuen-Fa Ni
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Aquifers
Languages : en
Pages : 268

Book Description


The Monte Carlo Methods

The Monte Carlo Methods PDF Author: Abdo Abou Jaoudé
Publisher: BoD – Books on Demand
ISBN: 1839687592
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 234

Book Description
In applied mathematics, the name Monte Carlo is given to the method of solving problems by means of experiments with random numbers. This name, after the casino at Monaco, was first applied around 1944 to the method of solving deterministic problems by reformulating them in terms of a problem with random elements, which could then be solved by large-scale sampling. But, by extension, the term has come to mean any simulation that uses random numbers. Monte Carlo methods have become among the most fundamental techniques of simulation in modern science. This book is an illustration of the use of Monte Carlo methods applied to solve specific problems in mathematics, engineering, physics, statistics, and science in general.

The Monte Carlo Method

The Monte Carlo Method PDF Author: Yu.A. Shreider
Publisher: Elsevier
ISBN: 1483155579
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 396

Book Description
The Monte Carlo Method: The Method of Statistical Trials is a systematic account of the fundamental concepts and techniques of the Monte Carlo method, together with its range of applications. Some of these applications include the computation of definite integrals, neutron physics, and in the investigation of servicing processes. This volume is comprised of seven chapters and begins with an overview of the basic features of the Monte Carlo method and typical examples of its application to simple problems in computational mathematics. The next chapter examines the computation of multi-dimensional integrals using the Monte Carlo method. Some examples of statistical modeling of integrals are analyzed, together with the accuracy of the computations. Subsequent chapters focus on the applications of the Monte Carlo method in neutron physics; in the investigation of servicing processes; in communication theory; and in the generation of uniformly distributed random numbers on electronic computers. Methods for organizing statistical experiments on universal digital computers are discussed. This book is designed for a wide circle of readers, ranging from those who are interested in the fundamental applications of the Monte Carlo method, to those who are concerned with comparatively limited problems of the peculiarities of simulating physical processes.

Monte Carlo Methods

Monte Carlo Methods PDF Author: Malvin H. Kalos
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 3527626220
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 215

Book Description
This introduction to Monte Carlo methods seeks to identify and study the unifying elements that underlie their effective application. Initial chapters provide a short treatment of the probability and statistics needed as background, enabling those without experience in Monte Carlo techniques to apply these ideas to their research. The book focuses on two basic themes: The first is the importance of random walks as they occur both in natural stochastic systems and in their relationship to integral and differential equations. The second theme is that of variance reduction in general and importance sampling in particular as a technique for efficient use of the methods. Random walks are introduced with an elementary example in which the modeling of radiation transport arises directly from a schematic probabilistic description of the interaction of radiation with matter. Building on this example, the relationship between random walks and integral equations is outlined. The applicability of these ideas to other problems is shown by a clear and elementary introduction to the solution of the Schrödinger equation by random walks. The text includes sample problems that readers can solve by themselves to illustrate the content of each chapter. This is the second, completely revised and extended edition of the successful monograph, which brings the treatment up to date and incorporates the many advances in Monte Carlo techniques and their applications, while retaining the original elementary but general approach.

Monte Carlo Methods in Mechanics of Fluid and Gas

Monte Carlo Methods in Mechanics of Fluid and Gas PDF Author: Oleg Mikhaĭlovich Belot︠s︡erkovskiĭ
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9814282367
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 281

Book Description
This book is devoted to analysis of Monte Carlo methods developed in rarefied gas dynamics. Presented is the short history of the development of such methods, described are their main properties, their advantages and deficiencies. It is shown that the contemporary stage in the progress of computational methods cannot be regarded without a complex approach to the preparation of algorithms taking into account all the peculiarities of the problem under consideration, that is, of the physical nature of a process, the mathematical model and the theoretical aspects of computational mathematics and stochastic processes. Thoroughly investigated is the possibility of application of Monte Carlo methods in some kindred areas of science which are non-traditional for the use of statistical modeling (continuous media, turbulence). Considered are the possible directions of development of statistical modeling.

Adaptive Multilevel Monte Carlo Methods for Random Elliptic Problems

Adaptive Multilevel Monte Carlo Methods for Random Elliptic Problems PDF Author: Evgenia Youett
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Convergence
Languages : en
Pages :

Book Description