Author: Sean HollyPublisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 34
Book Description
Aggregate Fluctuations and the Cross-sectional Dynamics of Firm Growth
Author: Sean HollyEntry, Exit, Firm Dynamics, and Aggregate Fluctuations
Author: Gian Luca ClementiPublisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
Book Description
How important are firm entry and exit in shaping aggregate dynamics? We address this question by characterizing the equilibrium allocation in Hopenhayn (1992)'s model of equilibrium industry dynamics, amended to allow for investment in physical capital and aggregate fluctuations. We find that entry and exit propagate the effects of aggregate shocks. In turn, this results in greater persistence and unconditional variation of aggregate time-series. In the aftermath of a positive productivity shock, the number of entrants increases. The new firms are smaller and less productive than the incumbents, as in the data. As the common productivity component reverts to its unconditional mean, the new entrants that survive become progressively more productive, keeping aggregate efficiency higher than in a scenario without entry or exit. We also find that both the mean and variance of the cross-sectional distribution of firm-level productivity are counter-cyclical, in spite of the assumption that innovations to firm-level productivity are i.i.d. and orthogonal to aggregate shocks. This happens because of selection: the idiosyncratic productivity of the marginal entrant is lower in expansion than during recessions. Since idiosyncratic productivity is mean-reverting, mean and variance of the distribution of productivity growth are pro-cyclical.
Firm Dynamics and the Origins of Aggregate Fluctuations
Author: Andrea StellaCompositional Nature of Firm Growth and Aggregate Fluctuations
Author: Vladimir SmirnyaginThe Cross Sectional Dynamics of the Us Business Cycle
Author: Chris HigsonPublisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
Book Description
Modern interest in business cycles has focused on the co-movements and correlations in the major macroeconomic aggregates. In this paper we offer another dimension to business cycle analysis which looks at the cross sectional distribution of the growth rate of gross sales by US quoted companies from 1950 to 1999. We detect correlations between aggregate business cycle fluctuations and the higher moments of the cross sectional distribution. Using both weighted and unweighted rates of change in sales, we find a significant negative correlation between the aggregate rate of growth of GDP and the cross sectional variance and skewness of gross sales. On the other hand there is positive correlation, at business cycle frequencies with kurtosis. In order to explore this further we turn to the dynamic evolution of firms and analyse the sensitivity of growth rates to aggregate shocks conditioning on firm size. The results suggest that despite considerable heterogeneity macroeconomic shocks have pervasive effects that are, however, more pronounced for firms in the middle range of growth. This has implications for both macro and industrial economics.
The Growth of Firms
Author: Alex CoadPublisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN: 1848449100
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 209
Book Description
Research into firm growth has been accumulating at a terrific pace, and Alex Coad s survey of this multifaceted field provides a detailed, comprehensive overview of the latest developments. Much progress has been made in empirical research into firm growth in recent decades due to factors such as the availability of detailed longitudinal datasets, more powerful computers and new econometric techniques. This book provides an up-to-date catalogue of empirical work, as well as a coherent theoretical structure within which these new results can be interpreted and understood. It brings together a large body of recent research on firm growth from a multidisciplinary perspective, providing an up-to-date synthesis of stylized facts and empirical regularities. Numerous empirical findings and theories of firm growth are also surveyed and compared in order to evaluate their validity. Drawing on a vast and diverse body of research, this book will prove invaluable to students, academics, policy makers and practitioners with a need to keep abreast of studies in industrial organization, firm growth and management.
Global Economic Modeling: A Volume In Honor Of Lawrence R Klein
Author: Peter PaulyPublisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9813220457
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 345
Book Description
Global econometric models have a long history. From the early 1970s to the present, as modeling techniques have advanced, different modeling paradigms have emerged and been used to support national and international policy making. One purpose of this volume — based on a conference in recognition of the seminal impact of Nobel Prize winner in Economic Sciences Lawrence R Klein, whose pioneering work has spawned the field of international econometric modeling — is to survey these developments from today's perspective.A second objective of the volume is to shed light on the wide range of attempts to broaden the scope of modeling on an international scale. Beyond new developments in traditional areas of the trade and financial flows, the volume reviews new approaches to the modeling of linkages between macroeconomic activity and individual economic units, new research on the analysis of trends in income distribution and economic wellbeing on a global scale, and innovative ideas about modeling the interactions between economic development and the environment.With the expansion of elaborated economic linkages, this volume makes an important contribution to the evolving literature of global econometric models.
Firm Size Dynamics in the Aggregate Economy
Author: Esteban Rossi-HansbergPublisher:
ISBN:
Category : Business enterprises
Languages : en
Pages : 44
Book Description
Why do firm growth and exit rates decline with size? What determines the size distribution of firms? This paper presents a theory of firm dynamics that simultaneously rationalizes the basic facts on firm growth, exit, and size distributions. The theory emphasizes the accumulation of industry specific human capital in response to industry specific productivity shocks. The theory implies that firm growth and exit rates should decline faster with size, and the size distribution should have thinner tails, in sectors that use human capital less intensively, or correspondingly, physical capital more intensively. In line with the theory, we document substantial sectoral heterogeneity in US firm dynamics and firm size distributions, which is well explained by variation in physical capital intensities.
Long-Run Economic Growth
Author: Steven DurlaufPublisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3642612113
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 204
Book Description
One of the most enduring questions in economics involves how a nation could accelerate the pace of its economic development. One of the most enduring answers to this question is to promote exports -either because doing so directly influences development via encouraging production of goods for export, or because export promotion permits accumulation of foreign exchange which permits importation of high-quality goods and services, which can in turn be used to expand the nation's production possibilities. In either case, growth is said to be export-led; the latter case is the so-called "two-gap" hypothesis (McKinnon, 1964; Findlay, 1973). The early work on export-led growth consisted of static cross-country com parisons (Michaely, 1977; Balassa, 1978; Tyler, 1981; Kormendi and Meguire, 1985). These studies generally concluded that there is strong evidence in favour of export-led growth because export growth and income growth are highly correlated. However, Kravis pointed out in 1970 that the question is an essen tially dynamic one: as he put it, are exports the handmaiden or the engine of growth? To make this determination one needs to look at time series to see whether or not exports are driving income. This approach has been taken in a number of papers (Jung and Marshall, 1985; Chow, 1987; Serletis, 1992; Kunst and Marin, 1989; Marin, 1992; Afxentiou and Serletis, 1991), designed to assess whether or not individual countries exhibit statistically significant evidence of export-led growth using Granger causality tests.
Cross-sectional Heterogeneity and the Persistence of Aggregate Fluctuations
Author: Claudio MichelacciPublisher:
ISBN:
Category : Business enterprises
Languages : en
Pages : 38
Book Description