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Author: Zachary C. Gray Publisher: ISBN: Category : Asia Languages : en Pages : 26
Book Description
"The fall of the Berlin Wall, the dissolution of the Warsaw Pact, and the ultimate collapse of the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics (USSR) ushered in a new era in geopolitics. The Cold War left an indelible mark on the Asian geopolitical environment, including a bevy of bilateral, hub-and-spoke arrangements. As Asian expert and political economist Bruce Overholt instructs, as a new era emerges, institutions and mindsets still linger from the previous era, constraining progress and outliving their utility. Indeed, the Cold-War institutions have proven to be ill-suited for the modern Asian geopolitical environment. However, emerging Asian multilateralism provides hope for the future. Today, the Asia-Pacific requires continued political stability and secure, open Sea Lines of Communications (SLOCs) for continued economic development and therefore, the United States' must deter conflict and reassure allies within a complex, geopolitical environment rife with ethnic mistrust and successfully welcome a rising but fragile, economic and military power -- China. The paper begins by exploring four salient aspects of the Asia-Pacific geopolitical environment. First, the biggest challenge is ethnic mistrust, followed by the domestic fragility of China; however, the greatest benefit thus far is the emergence of Asian multilateralism, and in this regard, the most promising opportunity for future progress is cooperative security of the Sea Lines of Communications (SLOCs). Finally, the paper provides recommendations for US policy to deter conflict, reassure regional allies - Japan, South Korea, and ASEAN -- and accommodate the rise of China."--Introduction.
Author: Zachary C. Gray Publisher: ISBN: Category : Asia Languages : en Pages : 26
Book Description
"The fall of the Berlin Wall, the dissolution of the Warsaw Pact, and the ultimate collapse of the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics (USSR) ushered in a new era in geopolitics. The Cold War left an indelible mark on the Asian geopolitical environment, including a bevy of bilateral, hub-and-spoke arrangements. As Asian expert and political economist Bruce Overholt instructs, as a new era emerges, institutions and mindsets still linger from the previous era, constraining progress and outliving their utility. Indeed, the Cold-War institutions have proven to be ill-suited for the modern Asian geopolitical environment. However, emerging Asian multilateralism provides hope for the future. Today, the Asia-Pacific requires continued political stability and secure, open Sea Lines of Communications (SLOCs) for continued economic development and therefore, the United States' must deter conflict and reassure allies within a complex, geopolitical environment rife with ethnic mistrust and successfully welcome a rising but fragile, economic and military power -- China. The paper begins by exploring four salient aspects of the Asia-Pacific geopolitical environment. First, the biggest challenge is ethnic mistrust, followed by the domestic fragility of China; however, the greatest benefit thus far is the emergence of Asian multilateralism, and in this regard, the most promising opportunity for future progress is cooperative security of the Sea Lines of Communications (SLOCs). Finally, the paper provides recommendations for US policy to deter conflict, reassure regional allies - Japan, South Korea, and ASEAN -- and accommodate the rise of China."--Introduction.
Author: National Intelligence Council Publisher: Cosimo Reports ISBN: 9781646794973 Category : Languages : en Pages : 158
Book Description
"The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic marks the most significant, singular global disruption since World War II, with health, economic, political, and security implications that will ripple for years to come." -Global Trends 2040 (2021) Global Trends 2040-A More Contested World (2021), released by the US National Intelligence Council, is the latest report in its series of reports starting in 1997 about megatrends and the world's future. This report, strongly influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic, paints a bleak picture of the future and describes a contested, fragmented and turbulent world. It specifically discusses the four main trends that will shape tomorrow's world: - Demographics-by 2040, 1.4 billion people will be added mostly in Africa and South Asia. - Economics-increased government debt and concentrated economic power will escalate problems for the poor and middleclass. - Climate-a hotter world will increase water, food, and health insecurity. - Technology-the emergence of new technologies could both solve and cause problems for human life. Students of trends, policymakers, entrepreneurs, academics, journalists and anyone eager for a glimpse into the next decades, will find this report, with colored graphs, essential reading.
Author: Academy of Sciences of the Islamic Republic of Iran Publisher: National Academies Press ISBN: 0309181194 Category : Science Languages : en Pages : 292
Book Description
In December 2002, a group of specialists on water resources from the United States and Iran met in Tunis, Tunisia, for an interacademy workshop on water resources management, conservation, and recycling. This was the fourth interacademy workshop on a variety of topics held in 2002, the first year of such workshops. Tunis was selected as the location for the workshop because the Tunisian experience in addressing water conservation issues was of interest to the participants from both the United States and Iran. This report includes the agenda for the workshop, all of the papers that were presented, and the list of site visits.
Author: Andrew Scobell Publisher: Rand Corporation ISBN: 1977404200 Category : History Languages : en Pages : 155
Book Description
To explore what extended competition between the United States and China might entail out to 2050, the authors of this report identified and characterized China’s grand strategy, analyzed its component national strategies (diplomacy, economics, science and technology, and military affairs), and assessed how successful China might be at implementing these over the next three decades.
Author: Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 72
Book Description
The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists is the premier public resource on scientific and technological developments that impact global security. Founded by Manhattan Project Scientists, the Bulletin's iconic "Doomsday Clock" stimulates solutions for a safer world.
Author: National Research Council Publisher: National Academies Press ISBN: 0309171733 Category : Political Science Languages : en Pages : 640
Book Description
The end of the Cold War has changed the shape of organized violence in the world and the ways in which governments and others try to set its limits. Even the concept of international conflict is broadening to include ethnic conflicts and other kinds of violence within national borders that may affect international peace and security. What is not yet clear is whether or how these changes alter the way actors on the world scene should deal with conflict: Do the old methods still work? Are there new tools that could work better? How do old and new methods relate to each other? International Conflict Resolution After the Cold War critically examines evidence on the effectiveness of a dozen approaches to managing or resolving conflict in the world to develop insights for conflict resolution practitioners. It considers recent applications of familiar conflict management strategies, such as the use of threats of force, economic sanctions, and negotiation. It presents the first systematic assessments of the usefulness of some less familiar approaches to conflict resolution, including truth commissions, "engineered" electoral systems, autonomy arrangements, and regional organizations. It also opens up analysis of emerging issues, such as the dilemmas facing humanitarian organizations in complex emergencies. This book offers numerous practical insights and raises key questions for research on conflict resolution in a transforming world system.
Author: Dong Wang Publisher: Routledge ISBN: 1351206656 Category : Political Science Languages : en Pages : 231
Book Description
As the relationship between China and the United States becomes increasingly complex and interdependent, leaders in Beijing and Washington are struggling to establish a solid common foundation on which to expand and deepen bilateral relations. In order to examine the challenges facing U.S.-China relations, the National Bureau of Asian Research (NBR) and the Institute for Global Cooperation and Understanding (iGCU) at Peking University brought together a group of leading experts from China and the United States in Beijing and Honolulu to develop a conceptual foundation for U.S.-China relations into the future, tackling the issues in innovative ways under the banner of U.S.-China Relations in Strategic Domains. The resulting chapters assess U.S.-China relations in the maritime and nuclear sectors as well as in cyberspace and space and through the lens of P2P and mil-to-mil exchanges. Scholars and students in political science and international relations are thus presented with a diagnosis and prognosis of the relations between the two superpowers.
Author: Michael D. Swaine Publisher: Rand Corporation ISBN: 0833048309 Category : Political Science Languages : en Pages : 305
Book Description
China's continuing rapid economic growth and expanding involvement in global affairs pose major implications for the power structure of the international system. To more accurately and fully assess the significance of China's emergence for the United States and the global community, it is necessary to gain a more complete understanding of Chinese security thought and behavior. This study addresses such questions as: What are China's most fundamental national security objectives? How has the Chinese state employed force and diplomacy in the pursuit of these objectives over the centuries? What security strategy does China pursue today and how will it evolve in the future? The study asserts that Chinese history, the behavior of earlier rising powers, and the basic structure and logic of international power relations all suggest that, although a strong China will likely become more assertive globally, this possibility is unlikely to emerge before 2015-2020 at the earliest. To handle this situation, the study argues that the United States should adopt a policy of realistic engagement with China that combines efforts to pursue cooperation whenever possible; to prevent, if necessary, the acquisition by China of capabilities that would threaten America's core national security interests; and to remain prepared to cope with the consequences of a more assertive China.
Author: Joel Wuthnow Publisher: Createspace Independent Publishing Platform ISBN: 9781978092525 Category : China Languages : en Pages : 56
Book Description
One of Chinese president Xi Jinping's signature foreign policy programs is the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), a web of infrastructure development plans designed to increase Eurasian economic integration. Chinese official rhetoric on the BRI focuses on its economic promise and progress, often in altruistic terms: all countries have been invited to board this "express train" to wealth and prosperity. Missing from the rhetoric is much discussion of the initiative's security dimensions and implications. Chinese officials avoid describing the strategic benefits they think the BRI could produce, while also gliding over major security risks and concerns. Yet at the unofficial level, China's security community has paid close attention to these issues, probing in great depth the gains Beijing can expect, the challenges it will face, and the new demands it will have to satisfy. Understanding those Chinese assessments is helpful as the United States considers how, when, and in what capacity to engage the BRI.
Author: Zachary C. Gray
Author: Zachary C. Gray
Author: National Intelligence Council
Author: Academy of Sciences of the Islamic Republic of Iran
Author: Andrew Scobell
Author: 
Author: National Research Council
Author: Patrick M. Cronin
Author: Dong Wang
Author: Michael D. Swaine
Author: Joel Wuthnow