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Author: Ryan Cronauer Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages :
Book Description
The solution as to why Post Earnings Announcement Drift (PEAD) occurs has eluded academic experts in the field for almost fifty years. Furthermore, because it conflicts with the widely accepted Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH), it has drawn a great deal of attention. Due to the longevity of its mystery as well as the controversy it causes as a counterargument to EMH, PEAD has become one of the most interesting and researched financial topics of all time. Previous research has narrowed down the list of possibilities for the potential cause of this phenomenon and this work will add to the literature by examining a logical possibility, ownership style. This study will compare Post Earnings Announcement Drift in firms that are owned mostly by active investors against those who are more largely owned by passive investors. This would imply a lack of attention, trading, and liquidity as the root cause of PEAD.
Author: Ryan Cronauer Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages :
Book Description
The solution as to why Post Earnings Announcement Drift (PEAD) occurs has eluded academic experts in the field for almost fifty years. Furthermore, because it conflicts with the widely accepted Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH), it has drawn a great deal of attention. Due to the longevity of its mystery as well as the controversy it causes as a counterargument to EMH, PEAD has become one of the most interesting and researched financial topics of all time. Previous research has narrowed down the list of possibilities for the potential cause of this phenomenon and this work will add to the literature by examining a logical possibility, ownership style. This study will compare Post Earnings Announcement Drift in firms that are owned mostly by active investors against those who are more largely owned by passive investors. This would imply a lack of attention, trading, and liquidity as the root cause of PEAD.
Author: Markku J. Vieru Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 35
Book Description
This study focuses on post-earnings-announcement drift in an emerging market and whether it is associated with the trading activity of non-institutional trading around interim earnings announcements. We separate the stock trading activity of Finnish households into five trading classes. Data is all trades executed on the Helsinki Stock Exchange during 1996-2000. Results show that when earnings news contains only moderate price effects no clear evidence is found to show that trading by any of the specified non-institutional trading activity classes is particularly associated with price changes. However, excess buying of passive and intermediate individual investors after extremely negative earnings news seems to intensify the negative post-earnings returns. Also for extremely positive earnings news trading by individuals seems to be related to the post-earnings returns. In that sense post-earnings returns are related with the trading of non-institutional activity classes. However, the net trading of non-institutional investors with different trading activities on the announcement day does not affect the correlation between earnings surprises and subsequent returns. This suggests that the net trading of non-institutional investors' trading activity on the announcement event does not predict subsequent returns. Thus this result is consistent with that of Hirshleifer, Myers, Myers and Teoh (2003).
Author: Tomas Tomcany Publisher: LAP Lambert Academic Publishing ISBN: 9783843367813 Category : Languages : en Pages : 92
Book Description
It is a well documented finding in finance theory that share prices drift in the direction of firms' unexpected earnings changes, a phenomenom known as post-earnings announcement drift, or earnings momentum. In this book, I study the stock prices' reaction to firms' quarterly earnings announcements. The book shows that the timeframe in which the drift occurs is related to the size of a firm and is limited in time after the earnings announcement. I further analyze the effect of the number of analysts covering a firm on the magnitude and persistance of post-earnings announcement drift. I document that recent analyst coverage predicts large drifts after the earnings announcements. I suggest several possible explanations, but the evidence seems most consistent with recent analyst coverage providing information about investor (or analyst) expectations regarding firm's future earnings. This book should be useful to professionals in Financial Economics, especially to those interested in Behavioral Finance in stock markets, but also to equity analysts, traders or investors interested in the stocks' response to earnings news.
Author: Sarah Suter Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages :
Book Description
Earlier studies on earnings numbers have discovered a market anomaly which could not be explained by flaws in the applied research design. They claim that stock prices do not incor-porate earnings news immediately, as suggested by the efficient market theory, but tend to drift into the direction of the unexpected earnings after an earnings announcement. In addi-tion, this effect seems to be stronger if investors are distracted by competing announcements at the announcement date. Based on Swiss earnings and stock price data, this paper analyses whether unexpected earnings are followed by cumulative abnormal stock returns. I find post-earnings announcement drift that increases with the magnitude of the earnings surprise. By comparing immediate and delayed market reaction and post-earnings announcement drift on high-news and low-news days, this study examines the effect of investor inattention on post-earnings announcement drift. The findings are consistent with lower immediate market re-sponse and stronger drift when investors are distracted.
Author: Xin Cui Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 65
Book Description
We examine the role of investors' beliefs in determining the post earnings announcement drift (PEAD). Specifically, we propose a technique to estimate the belief parameters of the informed and uninformed investors, based on which we define the uninformed investors' information acceptance ratio (IAR). We demonstrate that IAR is a key factor determining the length of PEAD. IAR also explains the post announcement returns and the risk increases. Furthermore, we show that the earnings announcements contain both the hard and soft information. The hard information reduces uncertainty, whereas the soft information enhances uncertainty. And the latter effect dominates the former.
Author: Melissa Porras Prado Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 49
Book Description
We examine how institutional ownership structure gives rise to limits to arbitrage through its impact on short-sale constraints. Stocks with lower, more concentrated, short-term, and less passive ownership exhibit lower lending supply, higher costs of shorting, and higher arbitrage risk. These constraints limit the ability of arbitrageurs to take short positions and delay the correction of mispricing. Stocks with more concentrated ownership exhibit smaller announcement day reactions, larger post-earnings announcement drift, and an additional negative abnormal return of -0.47% in the week following a positive shorting demand shock.
Author: David A. Hirshleifer Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 51
Book Description
This study tests whether naiuml;ve trading by individual investors, or some class of individual investors, causes post-earnings announcement drift (PEAD). Inconsistent with the individual trading hypothesis, individual investor trading fails to subsume any of the power of extreme earnings surprises to predict future abnormal returns. Moreover, individuals are significant net buyers after both negative and positive extreme earnings surprises, consistent with an attention effect, but not with their trades causing PEAD. Finally, we find no indication that trading by individuals explains the concentration of drift at subsequent earnings announcement dates. Presentation slides available at https://ssrn.com/abstract=3228813.
Author: Guilong Cai Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 56
Book Description
We examine how institutional investors influence post-earnings announcement drift (PEAD) in China. Our findings suggest that institutional holdings are positively correlated with PEAD in China, especially when institutional investors herd strongly on earnings news. This positive relationship is more salient for institutional investors with shorter investment horizons and in firms with higher information opacity. We also find that stock prices reverse in the fourth quarter after the earnings announcement. In contrast to the well-established view that institutional investors exploit PEAD and accelerate the speed of information incorporation, our findings suggest that they may instead exacerbate PEAD and slow down price discovery in emerging markets with different institutional backgrounds.
Author: Silver Chung Publisher: ISBN: Category : Business enterprises Languages : en Pages : 79
Book Description
"Managers have substantial discretion in when to announce earnings during the day. While the prior literature has shown that the timing of announcements during the day can affect the stock market's reaction to earnings news, there is either mixed or weak empirical evidence on why a manager chooses a certain time of the day to announce earnings. In this paper, I examine whether institutional ownership affects firms' decisions to announce earnings after hours (AH). AH are largely dominated by institutional investors who better understand the implications of earnings news for firm value and stock prices. I argue that firms with greater institutional ownership announce earnings AH to promote institutional investors' trading, and therefore facilitate post-announcement price discovery and reduce price volatility. Using the annual reconstitution of the Russell 1000 and 2000 indexes which provides plausibly exogenous variation in institutional ownership, I find that firms with higher institutional ownership are more likely to announce earnings during an aftermarket session (i.e., AH after the market closes), but not during a premarket session (i.e., AH before the market opens). My analysis further shows that transient institutional ownership has a stronger influence on the likelihood of after-market announcements relative to quasi-indexer and dedicated institutional holdings, and that the effect of institutional ownership on the announcement timing is more pronounced when firms have bad earnings news or large transitory earnings components. Lastly, I find that announcing earnings during an after-market session indeed facilitates the post-announcement price discovery and reduces price volatility for firms with greater institutional ownership. Collectively, my findings suggest that institutional ownership influences firms' earnings announcement timing decisions"--Pages vii-viii.
Author: Ryan Cronauer
Author: Ryan Cronauer
Author: Markku J. Vieru
Author: Tomas Tomcany
Author: Sarah Suter
Author: Xin Cui
Author: Amir Guttman
Author: Melissa Porras Prado
Author: David A. Hirshleifer
Author: Guilong Cai
Author: Silver Chung