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Author: Publisher: ISBN: Category : Time-series analysis Languages : en Pages : 83
Book Description
Accurate prediction of officer loss behavior is essential for the planning of personnel policies and executing the U.S. Army's Officer Personnel Management System (OPMS). Inaccurate predictions of officer strength affect the number of personnel authorizations, the Army's budget, and the necessary number of accessions. Imbalances of officer strength in the basic branches affect the Army's combat readiness as a whole. Captains and majors comprise a critical management population in the United States Army's officer corps. This thesis analyzes U.S. Army officer loss rates for captains and majors and evaluates the fit of several time series models. The results from this thesis validate the time series forecasting technique currently used by the Army G-1, Winters-method additive.
Author: Publisher: ISBN: Category : Time-series analysis Languages : en Pages : 83
Book Description
Accurate prediction of officer loss behavior is essential for the planning of personnel policies and executing the U.S. Army's Officer Personnel Management System (OPMS). Inaccurate predictions of officer strength affect the number of personnel authorizations, the Army's budget, and the necessary number of accessions. Imbalances of officer strength in the basic branches affect the Army's combat readiness as a whole. Captains and majors comprise a critical management population in the United States Army's officer corps. This thesis analyzes U.S. Army officer loss rates for captains and majors and evaluates the fit of several time series models. The results from this thesis validate the time series forecasting technique currently used by the Army G-1, Winters-method additive.
Author: Edward T. DeWald Publisher: ISBN: 9781423578093 Category : Time-series analysis Languages : en Pages : 106
Book Description
The analysis and prediction of personnel loss behavior is critical to effective manpower planning and to the U.S. Army's Enlisted Personnel Strength Management System (EPSMS). In support of efforts to modernize the EPSMS, this thesis examines the method by which the Enlisted Loss Inventory Model (ELIM) analyzes loss rates and forecasts them into the future. Time series analysis techniques seek to identify patterns in data and forecast them into the future via time based extrapolations. Four such methods were used to construct loss rate forecasts from data. These methods were the arithmetic mean, exponential smoothing (the current ELIM method), seasonal exponential smoothing and an autoregressive moving average model. Forecasted rates were used to project force strengths which were in fact known. The resulting errors in forecasted strength were analyzed, compared and contrasted with respect to the methods. Error analysis revealed no significant performance differences between the methods. Hence, the simplest methods (mean and exponential smoothing) may be viewed as more economical and preferred.
Author: John J. Mcgrath Publisher: Lulu.com ISBN: 1105056155 Category : History Languages : en Pages : 121
Book Description
This book looks at several troop categories based on primary function and analyzes the ratio between these categories to develop a general historical ratio. This ratio is called the Tooth-to-Tail Ratio. McGrath's study finds that this ratio, among types of deployed US forces, has steadily declined since World War II, just as the nature of warfare itself has changed. At the same time, the percentage of deployed forces devoted to logistics functions and to base and life support functions have increased, especially with the advent of the large-scale of use of civilian contractors. This work provides a unique analysis of the size and composition of military forces as found in historical patterns. Extensively illustrated with charts, diagrams, and tables. (Originally published by the Combat Studies Institute Press)
Author: Richard Moody Swain Publisher: Government Printing Office ISBN: 9780160937583 Category : Study Aids Languages : en Pages : 216
Book Description
In 1950, when he commissioned the first edition of The Armed Forces Officer, Secretary of Defense George C. Marshall told its author, S.L.A. Marshall, that "American military officers, of whatever service, should share common ground ethically and morally." In this new edition, the authors methodically explore that common ground, reflecting on the basics of the Profession of Arms, and the officer's special place and distinctive obligations within that profession and especially to the Constitution.
Author: Department of Defense Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 178
Book Description
The Noncommissioned Officer and Petty Officer BACKBONE of the Armed Forces. Introduction The Backbone of the Armed Forces To be a member of the United States Armed Forces--to wear the uniform of the Nation and the stripes, chevrons, or anchors of the military Services--is to continue a legacy of service, honor, and patriotism that transcends generations. Answering the call to serve is to join the long line of selfless patriots who make up the Profession of Arms. This profession does not belong solely to the United States. It stretches across borders and time to encompass a culture of service, expertise, and, in most cases, patriotism. Today, the Nation's young men and women voluntarily take an oath to support and defend the Constitution of the United States and fall into formation with other proud and determined individuals who have answered the call to defend freedom. This splendid legacy, forged in crisis and enriched during times of peace, is deeply rooted in a time-tested warrior ethos. It is inspired by the notion of contributing to something larger, deeper, and more profound than one's own self. Notice: This is a printed Paperback version of the "The Noncommissioned Officer and Petty Officer BACKBONE of the Armed Forces". Full version, All Chapters included. This publication is available (Electronic version) in the official website of the National Defense University (NDU). This document is properly formatted and printed as a perfect sized copy 6x9".
Author: U.S. Army War College Publisher: Lulu.com ISBN: 130405294X Category : Education Languages : en Pages : 625
Book Description
The U.S. Army War College (USAWC) is proud to present the 28th Edition of How the Army Runs: A Senior Leader Reference Handbook, 2011-2012. Publication of this text at this time, when the Army has been at war for almost a decade, has almost completed restructuring of its operating force, and is addressing the structure of the generating force, as well as completing formidable base closure and restationing actions, gives credence to the enduring truth that in order to be successful the Army must sustain and improve itself while it is fully committed to the Nation's bidding. The systems and processes documented and explained in this work are designed to do just that. This text was prepared under the direction of the faculty of the Department of Command, Leadership, and Management. It is intended to be used in an academic environment during the study of the systems and processes used to develop and sustain trained and ready combat forces to be used by the Combatant Commanders.
Author: United States Government Us Army Publisher: ISBN: 9781675302019 Category : Languages : en Pages : 314
Book Description
This manual, TRADOC Pamphlet TP 600-4 The Soldier's Blue Book: The Guide for Initial Entry Soldiers August 2019, is the guide for all Initial Entry Training (IET) Soldiers who join our Army Profession. It provides an introduction to being a Soldier and Trusted Army Professional, certified in character, competence, and commitment to the Army. The pamphlet introduces Solders to the Army Ethic, Values, Culture of Trust, History, Organizations, and Training. It provides information on pay, leave, Thrift Saving Plans (TSPs), and organizations that will be available to assist you and your Families. The Soldier's Blue Book is mandated reading and will be maintained and available during BCT/OSUT and AIT.This pamphlet applies to all active Army, U.S. Army Reserve, and the Army National Guard enlisted IET conducted at service schools, Army Training Centers, and other training activities under the control of Headquarters, TRADOC.
Author: 
Author: 
Author: Edward T. DeWald
Author: John J. Mcgrath
Author: Richard Moody Swain
Author: United States. Joint Chiefs of Staff
Author: Department of Defense
Author: 
Author: 
Author: U.S. Army War College
Author: United States Government Us Army