A Simple Non-Parametric Approach to Bond Futures Option Pricing PDF Download

Author: Michael J. Stutzer
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Book Description
When used to price popular bond futures options, the Black model is subject to a moneyness bias similar to the Black-Scholes stock index option bias. It is shown that a suitably modified version of Stutzer's canonical stock option pricing model (Stutzer, J.Finance, 1996, 1633-52 ) also helps explain the former bias. This paper further extends the entropic approach to asset pricing theory and estimation developed in the aforementioned paper, in J.Econometrics, 1995, 367-97 and in Econometrica, 1997, 861-74.

Author: James M. Hutchinson
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Derivative securities
Languages : en
Pages : 68

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Book Description
We propose a nonparametric method for estimating derivative financial asset pricing formulae using learning networks. To demonstrate feasibility, we first simulate Black-Scholes option prices and show that learning networks can recover the Black-Scholes formula from a two-year training set of daily options prices, and that the resulting network formula can be used successfully to both price and delta-hedge options out-of-sample. For comparison, we estimate models using four popular methods: ordinary least squares, radial basis functions, multilayer perceptrons, and projection pursuit. To illustrate practical relevance, we also apply our approach to S & P 500 futures options data from 1987 to 1991. Option pricing, Learning, Finance, Black-Scholes, Hedging.

Author: Ling Chen
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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The traditional Black-Scholes theory on pricing and hedging of European call options has long been criticized for its oversimplified and unrealistic model assumptions. This dissertation investigates several existing modifications and extensions of the Black-Scholes model and proposes new data-driven approaches to both option pricing and hedging for real data. The semiparametric pricing approach initially proposed by Lai and Wong (2004) provides a first attempt to bridge the gap between model and market option prices. However, its application to the S & P 500 futures options is not a success, when the original additive regression splines are used for the nonparametric part of the pricing formula. Having found a strong autocorrelation in the time-series of the Black-Scholes pricing residuals, we propose a lag-1 correction for the Black-Scholes price, which essentially is a time-series modeling of the nonparametric part in the semiparametric approach. This simple but efficient time-series approach gives an outstanding pricing performance for S & P 500 futures options, even compared with the commonly practiced and favored implied volatility approaches. A major type of approaches to option hedging with proportional transaction costs is based on singular stochastic control problems that seek an optimal balance between the cost and the risk of hedging an option. We propose a data-driven rule-based strategy to connect the theoretical approaches with real-world applications. Similar to the optimal strategies in theory, the rule-based strategy can be characterized by a pair of buy/sell boundaries and a no-transaction region in between. A two-stage iterative procedure is provided for tuning the boundaries to a long period of option data. Comparing the rule-based strategy with several other existing hedging strategies, we obtain favorable results in both the simulation studies and the empirical study using the S & P 500 futures and futures options. Making use of a reverting pattern of the S & P 500 futures price, we refine the rule-based strategy by allowing hedging suspension at large jumps in futures price.

Author: Mondher Bellalah
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9812838635
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 996

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Book Description
19.1. Numerical analysis and simulation techniques : an introduction to finite difference methods. 19.2. Application to European options on non-dividend paying stocks. 19.3. Valuation of American options with a composite volatility. 19.4. Simulation methods : Monte-Carlo method. ch. 20. Numerical methods and partial differential equations for European and American derivatives with complete and incomplete information. 20.1. Valuation of American calls on dividend-paying stocks. 20.2. American puts on dividend-paying stocks. 20.3. Numerical procedures in the presence of information costs : applications. 20.4. Convertible bonds. 20.5. Two-factor interest rate models and bond pricing within information uncertainty. 20.6. CBs pricing within information uncertainty -- pt. VIII. Exotic derivatives. ch. 21. Risk management : exotics and second-generation options. 21.1. Exchange options. 21.2. Forward-start options. 21.3. Pay-later options. 21.4. Simple chooser options. 21.5. Complex choosers. 21.6. Compound options. 21.7. Options on the maximum (minimum). 21.8. Extendible options. 21.9. Equity-linked foreign exchange options and quantos. 21.10. Binary barrier options. 21.11. Lookback options. ch. 22. Value at risk, credit risk, and credit derivatives. 22.1. VaR and riskmetrics : definitions and basic concepts. 22.2. Statistical and probability foundation of VaR. 22.3. A more advanced approach to VaR. 22.4. Credit valuation and the creditmetrics approach. 22.5. Default and credit-quality migration in the creditmetrics approach. 22.6. Credit-quality correlations. 22.7. Portfolio management of default risk in the Kealhofer, McQuown and Vasicek (KMV) approach. 22.8. Credit derivatives : definitions and main concepts. 22.9. The rating agencies models and the proprietary models.

Author: Cheng-Few Lee
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 0387771174
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 1700

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Book Description
Quantitative finance is a combination of economics, accounting, statistics, econometrics, mathematics, stochastic process, and computer science and technology. Increasingly, the tools of financial analysis are being applied to assess, monitor, and mitigate risk, especially in the context of globalization, market volatility, and economic crisis. This two-volume handbook, comprised of over 100 chapters, is the most comprehensive resource in the field to date, integrating the most current theory, methodology, policy, and practical applications. Showcasing contributions from an international array of experts, the Handbook of Quantitative Finance and Risk Management is unparalleled in the breadth and depth of its coverage. Volume 1 presents an overview of quantitative finance and risk management research, covering the essential theories, policies, and empirical methodologies used in the field. Chapters provide in-depth discussion of portfolio theory and investment analysis. Volume 2 covers options and option pricing theory and risk management. Volume 3 presents a wide variety of models and analytical tools. Throughout, the handbook offers illustrative case examples, worked equations, and extensive references; additional features include chapter abstracts, keywords, and author and subject indices. From "arbitrage" to "yield spreads," the Handbook of Quantitative Finance and Risk Management will serve as an essential resource for academics, educators, students, policymakers, and practitioners.

Author: Jens Carsten Jackwerth
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Author: Wayne Ferson
Publisher: MIT Press
ISBN: 0262039370
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 497

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Book Description
An introduction to the theory and methods of empirical asset pricing, integrating classical foundations with recent developments. This book offers a comprehensive advanced introduction to asset pricing, the study of models for the prices and returns of various securities. The focus is empirical, emphasizing how the models relate to the data. The book offers a uniquely integrated treatment, combining classical foundations with more recent developments in the literature and relating some of the material to applications in investment management. It covers the theory of empirical asset pricing, the main empirical methods, and a range of applied topics. The book introduces the theory of empirical asset pricing through three main paradigms: mean variance analysis, stochastic discount factors, and beta pricing models. It describes empirical methods, beginning with the generalized method of moments (GMM) and viewing other methods as special cases of GMM; offers a comprehensive review of fund performance evaluation; and presents selected applied topics, including a substantial chapter on predictability in asset markets that covers predicting the level of returns, volatility and higher moments, and predicting cross-sectional differences in returns. Other chapters cover production-based asset pricing, long-run risk models, the Campbell-Shiller approximation, the debate on covariance versus characteristics, and the relation of volatility to the cross-section of stock returns. An extensive reference section captures the current state of the field. The book is intended for use by graduate students in finance and economics; it can also serve as a reference for professionals.

Author: Mark Hirschey
Publisher: South Western Educational Publishing
ISBN: 9780030268878
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 888

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Book Description
A new text from an experienced author. Hirschey adopts a new and unique approach to investments where both theory and practice are studied as a useful guide to a random walk down Wall Street to show how real-world behavior reflects the theory.

Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Risk management
Languages : en
Pages : 778

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Book Description

Author: Daniel Rösch
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1119966043
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 464

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Book Description
A comprehensive resource providing extensive coverage of the state of the art in credit secruritisations, derivatives, and risk management Credit Securitisations and Derivatives is a one-stop resource presenting the very latest thinking and developments in the field of credit risk. Written by leading thinkers from academia, the industry, and the regulatory environment, the book tackles areas such as business cycles; correlation modelling and interactions between financial markets, institutions, and instruments in relation to securitisations and credit derivatives; credit portfolio risk; credit portfolio risk tranching; credit ratings for securitisations; counterparty credit risk and clearing of derivatives contracts and liquidity risk. As well as a thorough analysis of the existing models used in the industry, the book will also draw on real life cases to illustrate model performance under different parameters and the impact that using the wrong risk measures can have.