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Author: Haichuan Xu Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 0
Book Description
In the past year, we have witnessed that the U.S. inflation rate hit the highest peak in over 40 years and is still close to its multi-decade high now. The overall change in consumer prices has a significant impact on the nation's economic activity, product manufacturing, consumer behavior, and stock market. In this work, I develop a semiparametric forecasting approach using factor models with a large number of macroeconomic or financial time series predictors. The proposed method deals with the complex temporal and cross-sectional dependence of macroeconomic or financial time series predictors. Also, the proposed method does not need the prior knowledge of forecasting directions and forecasting function. I will examine the performance of the proposed method in simulation studies and a real-world application for predicting the consumer price index.
Author: Haichuan Xu Publisher: ISBN: Category : Languages : en Pages : 0
Book Description
In the past year, we have witnessed that the U.S. inflation rate hit the highest peak in over 40 years and is still close to its multi-decade high now. The overall change in consumer prices has a significant impact on the nation's economic activity, product manufacturing, consumer behavior, and stock market. In this work, I develop a semiparametric forecasting approach using factor models with a large number of macroeconomic or financial time series predictors. The proposed method deals with the complex temporal and cross-sectional dependence of macroeconomic or financial time series predictors. Also, the proposed method does not need the prior knowledge of forecasting directions and forecasting function. I will examine the performance of the proposed method in simulation studies and a real-world application for predicting the consumer price index.
Author: Jeffrey Racine Publisher: Oxford University Press ISBN: 0199857946 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 562
Book Description
This volume, edited by Jeffrey Racine, Liangjun Su, and Aman Ullah, contains the latest research on nonparametric and semiparametric econometrics and statistics. Chapters by leading international econometricians and statisticians highlight the interface between econometrics and statistical methods for nonparametric and semiparametric procedures.
Author: Graham Elliott Publisher: Elsevier ISBN: 0444627413 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 1386
Book Description
The highly prized ability to make financial plans with some certainty about the future comes from the core fields of economics. In recent years the availability of more data, analytical tools of greater precision, and ex post studies of business decisions have increased demand for information about economic forecasting. Volumes 2A and 2B, which follows Nobel laureate Clive Granger's Volume 1 (2006), concentrate on two major subjects. Volume 2A covers innovations in methodologies, specifically macroforecasting and forecasting financial variables. Volume 2B investigates commercial applications, with sections on forecasters' objectives and methodologies. Experts provide surveys of a large range of literature scattered across applied and theoretical statistics journals as well as econometrics and empirical economics journals. The Handbook of Economic Forecasting Volumes 2A and 2B provide a unique compilation of chapters giving a coherent overview of forecasting theory and applications in one place and with up-to-date accounts of all major conceptual issues. Focuses on innovation in economic forecasting via industry applications Presents coherent summaries of subjects in economic forecasting that stretch from methodologies to applications Makes details about economic forecasting accessible to scholars in fields outside economics
Author: Graham Elliott Publisher: Princeton University Press ISBN: 0691140138 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 566
Book Description
A comprehensive and integrated approach to economic forecasting problems Economic forecasting involves choosing simple yet robust models to best approximate highly complex and evolving data-generating processes. This poses unique challenges for researchers in a host of practical forecasting situations, from forecasting budget deficits and assessing financial risk to predicting inflation and stock market returns. Economic Forecasting presents a comprehensive, unified approach to assessing the costs and benefits of different methods currently available to forecasters. This text approaches forecasting problems from the perspective of decision theory and estimation, and demonstrates the profound implications of this approach for how we understand variable selection, estimation, and combination methods for forecasting models, and how we evaluate the resulting forecasts. Both Bayesian and non-Bayesian methods are covered in depth, as are a range of cutting-edge techniques for producing point, interval, and density forecasts. The book features detailed presentations and empirical examples of a range of forecasting methods and shows how to generate forecasts in the presence of large-dimensional sets of predictor variables. The authors pay special attention to how estimation error, model uncertainty, and model instability affect forecasting performance. Presents a comprehensive and integrated approach to assessing the strengths and weaknesses of different forecasting methods Approaches forecasting from a decision theoretic and estimation perspective Covers Bayesian modeling, including methods for generating density forecasts Discusses model selection methods as well as forecast combinations Covers a large range of nonlinear prediction models, including regime switching models, threshold autoregressions, and models with time-varying volatility Features numerous empirical examples Examines the latest advances in forecast evaluation Essential for practitioners and students alike
Author: Alexander Chudik Publisher: Emerald Group Publishing ISBN: 180262063X Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 316
Book Description
The collection of chapters in Volume 43 Part A of Advances in Econometrics serves as a tribute to one of the most innovative, influential, and productive econometricians of his generation, Professor M. Hashem Pesaran.
Author: Graham Elliott Publisher: Elsevier ISBN: 0444627405 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 667
Book Description
The highly prized ability to make financial plans with some certainty about the future comes from the core fields of economics. In recent years the availability of more data, analytical tools of greater precision, and ex post studies of business decisions have increased demand for information about economic forecasting. Volumes 2A and 2B, which follows Nobel laureate Clive Granger's Volume 1 (2006), concentrate on two major subjects. Volume 2A covers innovations in methodologies, specifically macroforecasting and forecasting financial variables. Volume 2B investigates commercial applications, with sections on forecasters' objectives and methodologies. Experts provide surveys of a large range of literature scattered across applied and theoretical statistics journals as well as econometrics and empirical economics journals. The Handbook of Economic Forecasting Volumes 2A and 2B provide a unique compilation of chapters giving a coherent overview of forecasting theory and applications in one place and with up-to-date accounts of all major conceptual issues. Focuses on innovation in economic forecasting via industry applications Presents coherent summaries of subjects in economic forecasting that stretch from methodologies to applications Makes details about economic forecasting accessible to scholars in fields outside economics
Author: Rim Jallouli Publisher: Springer Nature ISBN: 3031427882 Category : Computers Languages : en Pages : 443
Book Description
This book constitutes the proceedings of the 8th International Conference on Digital Economy, ICDEc 2023, which took place in Braga, Portugal, in May 2023. The 26 full papers included in this volume were carefully reviewed and selected from 72 submissions. They were organized in topical sections as follows: Digital transformation; e-learning and digital competencies; digital marketing and artificial intelligence; e-finance and digital assets; digital marketing and data analytics; digital economy; online session.
Author: Haichuan Xu
Author: Haichuan Xu
Author: Marjorie Schnader
Author: Jeffrey Racine
Author: Graham Elliott
Author: Graham Elliott
Author: Ka-lin Chan (Karen)
Author: Lutz Bellmann
Author: Alexander Chudik
Author: Graham Elliott
Author: Rim Jallouli