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A Primer on Machine Learning Methods for Credit Rating Modeling

A Primer on Machine Learning Methods for Credit Rating Modeling PDF Author: Yixiao Jiang
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 0

Book Description
Using machine learning methods, this chapter studies features that are important to predict corporate bond ratings. There is a growing literature of predicting credit ratings via machine learning methods. However, there have been less empirical studies using ensemble methods, which refer to the technique of combining the prediction of multiple classifiers. This chapter compares six machine learning models: ordered logit model (OL), neural network (NN), support vector machine (SVM), bagged decision trees (BDT), random forest (RF), and gradient boosted machines (GBMs). By providing an intuitive description for each employed method, this chapter may also serve as a primer for empirical researchers who want to learn machine learning methods. Moody,Äôs ratings were employed, with data collected from 2001 to 2017. Three broad categories of features, including financial ratios, equity risk, and bond issuer,Äôs cross-ownership relation with the credit rating agencies, were explored in the modeling phase, performed with the data prior to 2016. These models were tested on an evaluation phase, using the most recent data after 2016.

A Primer on Machine Learning Methods for Credit Rating Modeling

A Primer on Machine Learning Methods for Credit Rating Modeling PDF Author: Yixiao Jiang
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 0

Book Description
Using machine learning methods, this chapter studies features that are important to predict corporate bond ratings. There is a growing literature of predicting credit ratings via machine learning methods. However, there have been less empirical studies using ensemble methods, which refer to the technique of combining the prediction of multiple classifiers. This chapter compares six machine learning models: ordered logit model (OL), neural network (NN), support vector machine (SVM), bagged decision trees (BDT), random forest (RF), and gradient boosted machines (GBMs). By providing an intuitive description for each employed method, this chapter may also serve as a primer for empirical researchers who want to learn machine learning methods. Moody,Äôs ratings were employed, with data collected from 2001 to 2017. Three broad categories of features, including financial ratios, equity risk, and bond issuer,Äôs cross-ownership relation with the credit rating agencies, were explored in the modeling phase, performed with the data prior to 2016. These models were tested on an evaluation phase, using the most recent data after 2016.

Novel Financial Applications of Machine Learning and Deep Learning

Novel Financial Applications of Machine Learning and Deep Learning PDF Author: Mohammad Zoynul Abedin
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3031185528
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 235

Book Description
This book presents the state-of-the-art applications of machine learning in the finance domain with a focus on financial product modeling, which aims to advance the model performance and minimize risk and uncertainty. It provides both practical and managerial implications of financial and managerial decision support systems which capture a broad range of financial data traits. It also serves as a guide for the implementation of risk-adjusted financial product pricing systems, while adding a significant supplement to the financial literacy of the investigated study. The book covers advanced machine learning techniques, such as Support Vector Machine, Neural Networks, Random Forest, K-Nearest Neighbors, Extreme Learning Machine, Deep Learning Approaches, and their application to finance datasets. It also leverages real-world financial instances to practice business product modeling and data analysis. Software code, such as MATLAB, Python and/or R including datasets within a broad range of financial domain are included for more rigorous practice. The book primarily aims at providing graduate students and researchers with a roadmap for financial data analysis. It is also intended for a broad audience, including academics, professional financial analysts, and policy-makers who are involved in forecasting, modeling, trading, risk management, economics, credit risk, and portfolio management.

Artificial Intelligence and Credit Risk

Artificial Intelligence and Credit Risk PDF Author: Rossella Locatelli
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3031102363
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 115

Book Description
This book focuses on the alternative techniques and data leveraged for credit risk, describing and analysing the array of methodological approaches for the usage of techniques and/or alternative data for regulatory and managerial rating models. During the last decade the increase in computational capacity, the consolidation of new methodologies to elaborate data and the availability of new information related to individuals and organizations, aided by the widespread usage of internet, set the stage for the development and application of artificial intelligence techniques in enterprises in general and financial institutions in particular. In the banking world, its application is even more relevant, thanks to the use of larger and larger data sets for credit risk modelling. The evaluation of credit risk has largely been based on client data modelling; such techniques (linear regression, logistic regression, decision trees, etc.) and data sets (financial, behavioural, sociologic, geographic, sectoral, etc.) are referred to as “traditional” and have been the de facto standards in the banking industry. The incoming challenge for credit risk managers is now to find ways to leverage the new AI toolbox on new (unconventional) data to enhance the models’ predictive power, without neglecting problems due to results’ interpretability while recognizing ethical dilemmas. Contributors are university researchers, risk managers operating in banks and other financial intermediaries and consultants. The topic is a major one for the financial industry, and this is one of the first works offering relevant case studies alongside practical problems and solutions.

Risk Modeling

Risk Modeling PDF Author: Terisa Roberts
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 111982494X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 214

Book Description
A wide-ranging overview of the use of machine learning and AI techniques in financial risk management, including practical advice for implementation Risk Modeling: Practical Applications of Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning, and Deep Learning introduces readers to the use of innovative AI technologies for forecasting and evaluating financial risks. Providing up-to-date coverage of the practical application of current modelling techniques in risk management, this real-world guide also explores new opportunities and challenges associated with implementing machine learning and artificial intelligence (AI) into the risk management process. Authors Terisa Roberts and Stephen Tonna provide readers with a clear understanding about the strengths and weaknesses of machine learning and AI while explaining how they can be applied to both everyday risk management problems and to evaluate the financial impact of extreme events such as global pandemics and changes in climate. Throughout the text, the authors clarify misconceptions about the use of machine learning and AI techniques using clear explanations while offering step-by-step advice for implementing the technologies into an organization's risk management model governance framework. This authoritative volume: Highlights the use of machine learning and AI in identifying procedures for avoiding or minimizing financial risk Discusses practical tools for assessing bias and interpretability of resultant models developed with machine learning algorithms and techniques Covers the basic principles and nuances of feature engineering and common machine learning algorithms Illustrates how risk modeling is incorporating machine learning and AI techniques to rapidly consume complex data and address current gaps in the end-to-end modelling lifecycle Explains how proprietary software and open-source languages can be combined to deliver the best of both worlds: for risk models and risk practitioners Risk Modeling: Practical Applications of Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning, and Deep Learning is an invaluable guide for CEOs, CROs, CFOs, risk managers, business managers, and other professionals working in risk management.

Econometrics - Recent Advances and Applications

Econometrics - Recent Advances and Applications PDF Author:
Publisher: BoD – Books on Demand
ISBN: 1803565241
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 128

Book Description
Econometrics uses statistical methods and real-world data to predict and establish specific trends. This analytical method sustains limitless potential, but the necessary research for professionals to understand and implement this is often lacking. Econometrics - Recent Advances and Applications explores the theoretical and practical aspects of detailed econometric theories and applications within economics, policymaking, and finance. This book covers various topics such as dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models, machine learning, spatial econometrics, and time series analysis. This book is a useful resource for economists, policymakers, financial analysts, researchers, academicians, and graduate students seeking research on the various applications of econometrics.

Application of Machine Learning to a Credit Rating Classification Model

Application of Machine Learning to a Credit Rating Classification Model PDF Author: Ryuichiro Hashimoto
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

Book Description


Machine Learning for Financial Risk Management with Python

Machine Learning for Financial Risk Management with Python PDF Author: Abdullah Karasan
Publisher: "O'Reilly Media, Inc."
ISBN: 1492085200
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 334

Book Description
Financial risk management is quickly evolving with the help of artificial intelligence. With this practical book, developers, programmers, engineers, financial analysts, risk analysts, and quantitative and algorithmic analysts will examine Python-based machine learning and deep learning models for assessing financial risk. Building hands-on AI-based financial modeling skills, you'll learn how to replace traditional financial risk models with ML models. Author Abdullah Karasan helps you explore the theory behind financial risk modeling before diving into practical ways of employing ML models in modeling financial risk using Python. With this book, you will: Review classical time series applications and compare them with deep learning models Explore volatility modeling to measure degrees of risk, using support vector regression, neural networks, and deep learning Improve market risk models (VaR and ES) using ML techniques and including liquidity dimension Develop a credit risk analysis using clustering and Bayesian approaches Capture different aspects of liquidity risk with a Gaussian mixture model and Copula model Use machine learning models for fraud detection Predict stock price crash and identify its determinants using machine learning models

Application of AI in Credit Scoring Modeling

Application of AI in Credit Scoring Modeling PDF Author: Bohdan Popovych
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 365840180X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 93

Book Description
The scope of this study is to investigate the capability of AI methods to accurately detect and predict credit risks based on retail borrowers' features. The comparison of logistic regression, decision tree, and random forest showed that machine learning methods are able to predict credit defaults of individuals more accurately than the logit model. Furthermore, it was demonstrated how random forest and decision tree models were more sensitive in detecting default borrowers.

Machine Learning for Finance

Machine Learning for Finance PDF Author: Saurav Singla
Publisher: BPB Publications
ISBN: 9389328624
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 218

Book Description
Understand the essentials of Machine Learning and its impact in financial sector KEY FEATURESÊ _Explore the spectrum of machine learning and its usage. _Understand the NLP and Computer Vision and their use cases. _Understand the Neural Network, CNN, RNN and their applications. _ÊUnderstand the Reinforcement Learning and their applications. _Learn the rising application of Machine Learning in the Finance sector. Ê_Exposure to data mining, data visualization and data analytics. DESCRIPTION The fields of machining adapting, profound learning, and computerized reasoning are quickly extending and are probably going to keep on doing as such for a long time to come. There are many main impetuses for this, as quickly caught in this review. Now and again, the advancement has been emotional, opening new ways to deal with long-standing innovation challenges, for example, progresses in PC vision and picture investigation.Ê Ê The book demonstrates how to solve some of the most common issues in the financial industry.Ê The book addresses real-life problems faced by practitioners on a daily basis. The book explains how machine learning works on structured data, text, and images. You will cover the exploration of Na•ve Bayes, Normal Distribution, Clustering with Gaussian process, advanced neural network, sequence modeling, and reinforcement learning. Later chapters will discuss machine learning use cases in the finance sector and the implications of deep learning. The book ends with traditional machine learning algorithms. Ê Machine Learning has become very important in the finance industry, which is mostly used for better risk management and risk analysis. Better analysis leads to better decisions which lead to an increase in profit for financial institutions. Machine Learning to empower fintech to make massive profits by optimizing processes, maximizing efficiency, and increasing profitability. WHAT WILL YOU LEARN _ Ê Ê Ê You will grasp the most relevant techniques of Machine Learning for everyday use. _ Ê Ê Ê You will be confident in building and implementing ML algorithms. _ Ê Ê Ê Familiarize the adoption of Machine Learning for your business need. _ Ê Ê Ê Discover more advanced concepts applied in banking and other sectors today. _ Ê Ê Ê Build mastery skillset in designing smart AI applications including NLP, Computer Vision and Deep Learning. WHO THIS BOOK IS FORÊ Data Scientist, Machine Learning Engineers and Individuals who want to adopt machine learning in the financial domain. Practitioners are working in banks, asset management, hedge funds or working the first time in the finance domain. Individuals who want to learn about applications of machine learning in finance or individuals entering the fintech domain. TABLE OF CONTENTS 1.Introduction 2.Naive Bayes, Normal Distribution and Automatic Clustering Processes 3.Machine Learning for Data Structuring 4.Parsing Data Using NLP 5.Computer Vision 6.Neural Network, GBM and Gradient Descent 7.Sequence Modeling 8.Reinforcement Learning For Financial Markets 9.Finance Use Cases 10.Impact of Machine Learning on Fintech 11.Machine Learning in Finance 12.eKYC and Anti-Fraud Policy 13.Uses of Data Mining and Data Visualization 14.Advantages and Disadvantages of Machine Learning 15.Applications of Machine Learning in Other Industries 16.Ethical considerations in Artificial Intelligence 17.Artificial Intelligence in Banking 18.Common Machine Learning Algorithms 19.Frequently Asked Questions

Credit Rating Modelling by Neural Networks

Credit Rating Modelling by Neural Networks PDF Author: Petr Hájek
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781616686796
Category : Credit analysis
Languages : en
Pages : 0

Book Description
This book presents the modelling possibilities of neural networks on a complex real-world problem, i.e. credit rating process modelling. Current approaches in credit rating modelling are introduced, as well as the incorporation of previous findings on corporate and municipal credit rating modelling. Based on this analysis, the model is designed to classify US companies and municipalities into credit rating classes. The model includes data pre-processing, the selection process of input variables, and the design of various neural networks' structures for classification.