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A Model for Nuclear Arms Control in the 21st Century

A Model for Nuclear Arms Control in the 21st Century PDF Author: Mark C. Crews
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Arms control
Languages : en
Pages : 0

Book Description
This paper breaks new ground by developing an innovative arms control model to explain how nations use instruments of national power to achieve their strategic arms control objectives. The model uses the principles of feedback to show the cause and effect relationship between two or more countries with competing arms control objectives. Feedback is a natural process present in almost all dynamic systems involving human behavior. The paper develops a notional political feedback loop where the country to be influenced is defined as a system. Another nation then uses its instruments of national power to influence this system to achieve the desired arms control outcome. After an overview of arms control issues in the post-Cold War, the paper transitions into the ideas and concepts used to develop the arms control model. The arms control model described here is fully universal. To present the model, this paper uses the United States and Ukraine as pilot countries. Ukraine is a real-world example where the United States has a vested interest in nuclear arms control. After the United States-Ukraine case study, the authors suggest how nations will employ arms control in the future. Although the focus of this paper is on nuclear arms control, the model is applicable to all weapons of mass destruction. The paper closes with a summary of results and suggests how to use the model for further research.

A Model for Nuclear Arms Control in the 21st Century

A Model for Nuclear Arms Control in the 21st Century PDF Author: Mark C. Crews
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Arms control
Languages : en
Pages : 0

Book Description
This paper breaks new ground by developing an innovative arms control model to explain how nations use instruments of national power to achieve their strategic arms control objectives. The model uses the principles of feedback to show the cause and effect relationship between two or more countries with competing arms control objectives. Feedback is a natural process present in almost all dynamic systems involving human behavior. The paper develops a notional political feedback loop where the country to be influenced is defined as a system. Another nation then uses its instruments of national power to influence this system to achieve the desired arms control outcome. After an overview of arms control issues in the post-Cold War, the paper transitions into the ideas and concepts used to develop the arms control model. The arms control model described here is fully universal. To present the model, this paper uses the United States and Ukraine as pilot countries. Ukraine is a real-world example where the United States has a vested interest in nuclear arms control. After the United States-Ukraine case study, the authors suggest how nations will employ arms control in the future. Although the focus of this paper is on nuclear arms control, the model is applicable to all weapons of mass destruction. The paper closes with a summary of results and suggests how to use the model for further research.

A Model for Nuclear Arms Control in the 21st Century

A Model for Nuclear Arms Control in the 21st Century PDF Author: Mark C. Crews
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Arms control
Languages : en
Pages : 63

Book Description


Arms Control in the 21st Century

Arms Control in the 21st Century PDF Author: Oliver Meier
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1136287620
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 266

Book Description
This volume evaluates the impact of coercive arms control efforts to curb the spread of weapons of mass destruction in the twenty-first century. A new paradigm in arms control is gradually replacing the idea that mutually agreed restrictions on armaments can improve international security. Thus, Hedley Bull’s classic definition of arms control as the "cooperation between antagonistic pairs of states in military affairs" needs to be amended by a new notion of coercive arms control as the set of non-cooperative and non-reciprocal measures to restrict the weapons or military capabilities of certain states. This volume addresses the topic of how this ongoing paradigmatic shift will affect the effectiveness of arms control as a conflict management instrument.While some argue that new instruments can complement and strengthen traditional, multilateral and inclusive arms control regimes, others maintain that conflicts and contradictions between coercive and cooperative arms control regimes will severely limit their effectiveness. This volume provides a forum for academics and practitioners from around the globe to discuss these developments in depth and to assess the specific strengths and weaknesses of these new instruments of arms control. This book will be of much interest to students of arms control, global governance, foreign policy and IR/Security Studies in general.

The Case for U.S. Nuclear Weapons in the 21st Century

The Case for U.S. Nuclear Weapons in the 21st Century PDF Author: Brad Roberts
Publisher: Stanford University Press
ISBN: 0804797153
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 351

Book Description
“An excellent contribution to the debate on the future role of nuclear weapons and nuclear deterrence in American foreign policy.” ―Contemporary Security Policy This book is a counter to the conventional wisdom that the United States can and should do more to reduce both the role of nuclear weapons in its security strategies and the number of weapons in its arsenal. The case against nuclear weapons has been made on many grounds—including historical, political, and moral. But, Brad Roberts argues, it has not so far been informed by the experience of the United States since the Cold War in trying to adapt deterrence to a changed world, and to create the conditions that would allow further significant changes to U.S. nuclear policy and posture. Drawing on the author’s experience in the making and implementation of U.S. policy in the Obama administration, this book examines that real-world experience and finds important lessons for the disarmament enterprise. Central conclusions of the work are that other nuclear-armed states are not prepared to join the United States in making reductions, and that unilateral steps by the United States to disarm further would be harmful to its interests and those of its allies. The book ultimately argues in favor of patience and persistence in the implementation of a balanced approach to nuclear strategy that encompasses political efforts to reduce nuclear dangers along with military efforts to deter them. “Well-researched and carefully argued.” ―Foreign Affairs

A New Nuclear Century

A New Nuclear Century PDF Author: Stephen J. Cimbala
Publisher: Bloomsbury Publishing USA
ISBN: 0313012024
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 206

Book Description
Cimbala and Scouras examine the issues related to the control of nuclear weapons in the early 21st century. These issues are both technical and policy oriented; science and values are commingled. This means that arguments about nuclear strategy, arms control, and proliferation are apt to be contentious and confusing. The authors seek to provide readers with a fuller, more accurate understanding of the issues involved. They begin by analyzing the crazy mathematics of nuclear arms races and arms control that preoccupied analysts and policymakers during the Cold War. After examining stability modeling, they argue for a more comprehensive definition of strategic stability and they relate this more inclusive concept to the current relationship between the United States and Russia—one characterized by cooperation as well as competition. They then use the concept of friction to analyze how the gap between theory and practice might influence nuclear force operations and arms control. The problem of nuclear weapons spread or proliferation is then considered from the vantage point of both theory and policy. They conclude with an analysis of whether the United States might get by in the 21st century with fewer legs of its strategic nuclear triplet than weapons based on land, at sea, and airborne. A provocative analysis for arms control policymakers, strategists, and students, scholars, and other researchers involved with nuclear weapons issues.

Nuclear Weapons and Cooperative Security in the 21st Century

Nuclear Weapons and Cooperative Security in the 21st Century PDF Author: Stephen J. Cimbala
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 113520280X
Category : History
Languages : en
Pages : 307

Book Description
This book looks at the prospects for international cooperation over nuclear weapons proliferation in the 21st century. Nuclear weapons served as stabilizing forces during the Cold War, or the First Nuclear Age, on account of their capability for destruction, the fear that this created among politicians and publics, and the domination of the nuclear world order by two superpowers: the United States and the Soviet Union. The end of the Cold War, the dissolution of the Soviet Union, and the potential for nuclear weapons acquisition among revisionist states, or even non-state actors including terrorists, creates the possibility of a 'wolves eat dogs' phenomenon in the present century. In the 21st century, three forces threaten to undo or weaken the long nuclear peace and fast-forward states into a new and more dangerous situation: the existence of large US and Russian nuclear weapons arsenals; the potential for new technologies, including missile defenses and long-range, precision conventional weapons, and a collapse or atrophy of the nuclear nonproliferation regime, and the opening of the door for nuclear weapons to spread among more than the currently acknowledged nuclear states. This book explains how these three 'weakening' forces interact with one another and with US and Russian policy-making in order to create an environment of large possibilities for cooperative security - but also of considerable danger. Instead, the choices made by military planners and policy-makers will create an early twenty-first century story privileging nuclear stability or chaos. The US and Russia can, and should, make incremental progress in arms control and nonproliferation. This book will be of much interest to students of nuclear proliferation and arms control, strategic studies, international security and IR in general. Stephen J. Cimbala is Distinguished Professor of Political Science at Pennsylvania State University. He is the author of numerous works in the fields of international security, defense studies, nuclear arms control and other topics. He has consulted for various US government agencies and defense contractors.

U.S. nuclear policy in the 21st century a fresh look at national strategy and requirements: final report

U.S. nuclear policy in the 21st century a fresh look at national strategy and requirements: final report PDF Author:
Publisher: DIANE Publishing
ISBN: 1428981322
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 262

Book Description
Sweeping changes are occurring in the international system, presenting the United States with both opportunities and challenges. The East-West strategic rivalry that dominated the global security environment for over forty years has been fundamentally and, in a number of critical ways, irreversibly altered. Yet the world continues to be unpredictable and dangerous. Relations with Russia and China have improved dramatically in the last ten years but remain uncertain. Both states continue to emphasize and modernize their nuclear arsenals. In other regions of vital interest to the United States, potential adversaries increasingly have at their disposal advanced conventional and unconventional capabilities, as well as weapons of mass destruction and the means for their delivery. Together, these and other factors, such as the ongoing revolution in military technology, have engendered major adjustments in U.S. national security policy and in the strategy and forces that support U.S. security interests. A series of U.S. government analyses, including the Nuclear Posture Review and the Quadrennial Defense Review, has guided the restructuring of U.S. conventional forces and provided the basis for the late 1997 Presidential Decision Directive on nuclear weapons policy. Further analyses and adjustments will certainly follow. As a contribution to this dynamic process, this report assesses the rationale and requirements for U.S. nuclear weapons, and the infrastructure and people that are critical to their sustainment, in the current and future security environment. By so doing, the report is intended to promote greater understanding of the issues and the measures that will be necessary to sustain deterrence in an uncertain future. The American public and its leadership in both the Executive and Legislative branches must remain informed, involved, and supportive. Absent concerted and continuing high-level attention to the policies and programs supporting its nuclear forces, 7.

Nuclear Weapons Into the 21st Century

Nuclear Weapons Into the 21st Century PDF Author: Joachim Krause
Publisher: Peter Lang Publishing
ISBN:
Category : History
Languages : en
Pages : 260

Book Description
Bern, Berlin, Bruxelles, Frankfurt/M., New York, Oxford, Wien, 2001.

The Nuclear Non-Proliferation Regime

The Nuclear Non-Proliferation Regime PDF Author: Raju G.C. Thomas
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 1349260533
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 374

Book Description
Leading international security scholars and policy advisors from universities, think-tanks, and nuclear weapons laboratories in the United States analyze the future of nuclear weapons proliferation. In April 1995, the earlier 1970 Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty was renewed indefinitely and without change to the original clauses of the treaty. The authors examine the continuing relevance or irrelevance of the old treaty, the role of coercive sanctions in enforcing restraint, and the impact of biological, chemical and missile proliferation on the nuclear motives and ambitions of various states. Attention is given to proliferation conditions in the former Soviet republics, East and South Asia and the Middle East.

Managing U.S. Nuclear Operations in the 21st Century

Managing U.S. Nuclear Operations in the 21st Century PDF Author: Charles Glaser
Publisher: Brookings Institution Press
ISBN: 0815739621
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 192

Book Description
Exploring how the United States manages its still-powerful nuclear arsenal Arms control agreements and the end of the Cold War have made the prospect of nuclear war a distant fear for the general public. But the United States and its principal rivals—China and Russia—still maintain sizable arsenals of nuclear weapons, along with the systems for managing them and using them if that terrible day ever comes. Managing U.S. Nuclear Operations in the 21st Century focuses on how theories and policies are put into practice in managing nuclear forces in the United States. It addresses such questions as: What have been the guiding priorities of U.S. nuclear strategy since the end of the Cold War? What nuclear attack options would the president have during a war? How are these war plans developed and reviewed by civilian and military leaders? How would presidential orders be conveyed to the uniformed men and women who are entrusted with U.S. nuclear weapons systems? And are these communications systems and supporting capabilities vulnerable to disruption or attack? The answers to such questions depend on the process by which national strategy for nuclear deterrence, developed by civilian leaders, is converted into nuclear war plans and the entire range of procedures for implementing those plans if necessary. The chapter authors have extensive experience in government, the armed forces, and the analytic community. Drawing on their firsthand knowledge, as well as the public record, they provide unique, authoritative accounts of how the United States manages it nuclear forces today. This book will be of interest to the national security community, particularly younger experts who did not grow up in the nuclear-centric milieu of the Cold War. Any national security analyst, professional, or government staffer seeking to learn more about nuclear modernization policy and the U.S. nuclear arsenal should be interested in this book. It should also be of interest to professors and students who want a deep understanding of U.S. nuclear policy.