Author: United States. National Labor Relations Board. Office of the General CounselPublisher: U.S. Government Printing Office
ISBN:
Category : Law
Languages : en
Pages : 68
Book Description
Basic Guide to the National Labor Relations Act
Author: United States. National Labor Relations Board. Office of the General CounselPublisher: U.S. Government Printing Office
ISBN:
Category : Law
Languages : en
Pages : 68
Book Description
British Museum Catalogue of Printed Books
Author: United States Customs Court Reports
Author: United States. Customs CourtPublisher:
ISBN:
Category : Customs administration
Languages : en
Pages : 572
Book Description
Catalogue of Printed Books
Author: Expert Political Judgment
Author: Philip E. TetlockPublisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 1400888816
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 368
Book Description
Since its original publication, Expert Political Judgment by New York Times bestselling author Philip Tetlock has established itself as a contemporary classic in the literature on evaluating expert opinion. Tetlock first discusses arguments about whether the world is too complex for people to find the tools to understand political phenomena, let alone predict the future. He evaluates predictions from experts in different fields, comparing them to predictions by well-informed laity or those based on simple extrapolation from current trends. He goes on to analyze which styles of thinking are more successful in forecasting. Classifying thinking styles using Isaiah Berlin's prototypes of the fox and the hedgehog, Tetlock contends that the fox--the thinker who knows many little things, draws from an eclectic array of traditions, and is better able to improvise in response to changing events--is more successful in predicting the future than the hedgehog, who knows one big thing, toils devotedly within one tradition, and imposes formulaic solutions on ill-defined problems. He notes a perversely inverse relationship between the best scientific indicators of good judgement and the qualities that the media most prizes in pundits--the single-minded determination required to prevail in ideological combat. Clearly written and impeccably researched, the book fills a huge void in the literature on evaluating expert opinion. It will appeal across many academic disciplines as well as to corporations seeking to develop standards for judging expert decision-making. Now with a new preface in which Tetlock discusses the latest research in the field, the book explores what constitutes good judgment in predicting future events and looks at why experts are often wrong in their forecasts.
Proceedings of the City Council of the City of Minneapolis, Minnesota from
Author: Minneapolis (Minn.). City CouncilPublisher:
ISBN:
Category : Minneapolis (Minn.)
Languages : en
Pages : 1488
Book Description
Guidelines Manual
Author: United States Sentencing CommissionPublisher:
ISBN:
Category : Sentences (Criminal procedure)
Languages : en
Pages : 456
Book Description
The National Union Catalog, Pre-1956 Imprints
Author: Report of Cases Adjudged in the Superior Court of Cincinnati at Special and General Terms
Author: William DisneyPublisher:
ISBN:
Category : Law reports, digests, etc
Languages : en
Pages : 1354
Book Description
Notices of Judgment Under the Federal Food, Drug, and Cosmetic Act
Author: United States. Food and Drug AdministrationPublisher:
ISBN:
Category : Food law and legislation
Languages : en
Pages : 812
Book Description