20% Chance of Rain PDF Download

Author: Richard B. Jones
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1118116364
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 368

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Book Description
There are plenty of books on specialized risk topics but few that deal with the broad diversity and daily applicability of this subject. Risk applications require a robust knowledge of many attributes of this seemingly simple subject. This book teaches the reader through examples and case studies the fundamental (and subtle) aspects of risk - regardless of the specific situation. The text allows the reader to understand the concept of risk analysis while not getting too involved in the mathematics; in this method the reader can apply these techniques across a wide range of situations. The second edition includes new examples from NASA and several other industries as well as new case studies from legal databases. The many real-life discussion topics enable the reader to form an understanding of the concepts of risk and risk management and apply them to day-to-day issues.

Author: Peter C. Bruce
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 139425380X
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 390

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Book Description
Introductory statistics textbook with a focus on data science topics such as prediction, correlation, and data exploration Statistics for Data Science and Analytics is a comprehensive guide to statistical analysis using Python, presenting important topics useful for data science such as prediction, correlation, and data exploration. The authors provide an introduction to statistical science and big data, as well as an overview of Python data structures and operations. A range of statistical techniques are presented with their implementation in Python, including hypothesis testing, probability, exploratory data analysis, categorical variables, surveys and sampling, A/B testing, and correlation. The text introduces binary classification, a foundational element of machine learning, validation of statistical models by applying them to holdout data, and probability and inference via the easy-to-understand method of resampling and the bootstrap instead of using a myriad of “kitchen sink” formulas. Regression is taught both as a tool for explanation and for prediction. This book is informed by the authors’ experience designing and teaching both introductory statistics and machine learning at Statistics.com. Each chapter includes practical examples, explanations of the underlying concepts, and Python code snippets to help readers apply the techniques themselves. Statistics for Data Science and Analytics includes information on sample topics such as: Int, float, and string data types, numerical operations, manipulating strings, converting data types, and advanced data structures like lists, dictionaries, and sets Experiment design via randomizing, blinding, and before-after pairing, as well as proportions and percents when handling binary data Specialized Python packages like numpy, scipy, pandas, scikit-learn and statsmodels—the workhorses of data science—and how to get the most value from them Statistical versus practical significance, random number generators, functions for code reuse, and binomial and normal probability distributions Written by and for data science instructors, Statistics for Data Science and Analytics is an excellent learning resource for data science instructors prescribing a required intro stats course for their programs, as well as other students and professionals seeking to transition to the data science field.

Author: Lori Barker
Publisher: Teacher Created Materials
ISBN: 1425877346
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 9

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Book Description
All students can learn about percents through text written at four different reading levels. Symbols on the pages represent reading-level ranges to help differentiate instruction. Provided comprehension questions complement the text.

Author: Lori Barker
Publisher: Teacher Created Materials
ISBN: 9781425807856
Category : Education
Languages : en
Pages : 150

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Book Description
With a focus on fractions, decimals, and percents, a guide to using leveled texts to differentiate instruction in mathematics offers fifteen different topics with high-interest text written at four different reading levels, accompanied by matching visuals and practice problems.

Author: Peter Olofsson
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1118626060
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 257

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Book Description
What are the chances? Find out in this entertaining exploration ofprobabilities in our everyday lives “If there is anything you want to know, or remind yourself, about probabilities, then look no further than this comprehensive, yet wittily written and enjoyable, compendium of how to apply probability calculations in real-world situations.” — Keith Devlin, Stanford University, National Public Radio’s “Math Guy” and author of The Math Gene and The Math Instinct “A delightful guide to the sometimes counterintuitive discipline of probability. Olofsson points out major ideas here, explains classic puzzles there, and everywhere makes free use of witty vignettes to instruct and amuse.” — John Allen Paulos, Temple University, author of Innumeracy and A Mathematician Reads the Newspaper “Beautifully written, with fascinating examples and tidbits of information. Olofsson gently and persuasively shows us how to think clearly about the uncertainty that governs our lives.” — John Haigh, University of Sussex, author of Taking Chances: Winning with Probability From probable improbabilities to regular irregularities, Probabilities: The Little Numbers That Rule Our Lives investigates the often-surprising effects of risk and chance in our everyday lives. With examples ranging from WWII espionage to the O. J. Simpson trial, from bridge to blackjack, from Julius Caesar to Jerry Seinfeld, the reader is taught how to think straight in a world of randomness and uncertainty. Throughout the book, readers learn: Why it is not that surprising for someone to win the lottery twice How a faulty probability calculation forced an innocent woman to spend three years in prison How to place bets if you absolutely insist on gambling How a newspaper turned an opinion poll into one of the greatest election blunders in history Educational, eloquent, and entertaining, Probabilities: The Little Numbers That Rule Our Lives is the ideal companion for anyone who wants to obtain a better understanding of the mathematics of chance.

Author: Michael B. Miller
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1118757645
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 341

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Book Description
Mathematics and Statistics for Financial Risk Management is a practical guide to modern financial risk management for both practitioners and academics. Now in its second edition with more topics, more sample problems and more real world examples, this popular guide to financial risk management introduces readers to practical quantitative techniques for analyzing and managing financial risk. In a concise and easy-to-read style, each chapter introduces a different topic in mathematics or statistics. As different techniques are introduced, sample problems and application sections demonstrate how these techniques can be applied to actual risk management problems. Exercises at the end of each chapter and the accompanying solutions at the end of the book allow readers to practice the techniques they are learning and monitor their progress. A companion Web site includes interactive Excel spreadsheet examples and templates. Mathematics and Statistics for Financial Risk Management is an indispensable reference for today’s financial risk professional.

Author: Pierre Barrouillet
Publisher: Psychology Press
ISBN: 1135083959
Category : Psychology
Languages : en
Pages : 265

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Book Description
Thinking and reasoning are key activities for human beings. In this book a distinguished set of contributors provides a wide readership with up-to-date scientific advances in the developmental psychology of thinking and reasoning, both at the theoretical and empirical levels. The first part of the book illustrates how modern approaches to the study of thinking and reasoning have gone beyond the Piagetian legacy: through the investigation of avenues previously not explored, and by demonstrating that young children have higher capacities than was assumed within the Piagetian tradition. The second part focuses upon theoretical and empirical investigations of the interplay between logic and intuition in reasoning and decision making, and how these forms of thinking evolve with age, through the general framework of what is known as dual-process theories. Contrary to Piaget’s claim, it becomes apparent that elaborate adult reasoning could rely on some form of intuition. The Development of Thinking and Reasoning provides psychologists, educators and everyone interested in child development with an integrated and up-to-date series of chapters, written by prominent specialists in the areas of thinking, reasoning, and decision making.

Author: Patrick J. Lynch
Publisher: Yale University Press
ISBN: 0300264208
Category : Nature
Languages : en
Pages : 453

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Book Description
The first comprehensive natural history guide to the Connecticut River and its environs, with more than 750 illustrations The Connecticut River, New England's longest and most historic river, originates in northern New Hampshire and wends more than four hundred miles to Long Island Sound. It forms the border between Vermont and New Hampshire and widens significantly as it makes its way through Massachusetts and Connecticut. The Connecticut River Valley is one of the most popular tourist destinations in the eastern United States, and more than two million people live in the watershed. Renowned naturalist Patrick J. Lynch offers readers an expansive guide to this majestic region with more than 750 original maps, photographs, and illustrations. Organized around environments rather than particular locations, the book includes geological overviews and descriptions of common plants and animals. Lynch also explains the landscape's environmental history as well as the effects of centuries of human interventions and the growing fallout from climate change. This indispensable guide not only brings the Connecticut River's ecology and pivotal role in American history to life but instills a deeper appreciation for the river's diverse and abundant beauty.

Author: Jack Hirshleifer
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 9780521283694
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 482

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Book Description
Economists have always recognised that human endeavours are constrained by our limited and uncertain knowledge, but only recently has an accepted theory of uncertainty and information evolved. This theory has turned out to have surprisingly practical applications: for example in analysing stock market returns, in evaluating accident prevention measures, and in assessing patent and copyright laws. This book presents these intellectual advances in readable form for the first time. It unifies many important but partial results into a satisfying single picture, making it clear how the economics of uncertainty and information generalises and extends standard economic analysis. Part One of the volume covers the economics of uncertainty: how each person adapts to a given fixed state of knowledge by making an optimal choice among the immediate 'terminal' actions available. These choices in turn determine the overall market equilibrium reflecting the social distribution of risk bearing. In Part Two, covering the economics of information, the state of knowledge is no longer held fixed. Instead, individuals can to a greater or lesser extent overcome their ignorance by 'informational' actions. The text also addresses at appropriate points many specific topics such as insurance, the Capital Asset Pricing model, auctions, deterrence of entry, and research and invention.

Author: Richard W. Katz
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 9780521435710
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 244

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Book Description
Weather and climate extremes can significantly impact the economics of a region. This book examines how weather and climate forecasts can be used to mitigate the impact of the weather on the economy. Interdisciplinary in scope, it explores the meteorological, economic, psychological, and statistical aspects to weather prediction. The contributors encompass forecasts over a wide range of temporal scales, from weather over the next few hours to the climate months or seasons ahead, and address the impact of these forecasts on human behaviour. Economic Value of Weather and Climate Forecasts seeks to determine the economic benefits of existing weather forecasting systems and the incremental benefits of improving these systems, and will be an interesting and essential reference for economists, statisticians, and meteorologists.